Lens v Paris FC result

Full-time · Lens 2–1 Paris FC

Ligue 1 · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Paris FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lens 2–1 Paris FC — Lens won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Lens 0.70, Paris FC 0.71 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lens beat Paris FC 2–1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October.

The goals

Lens came from behind: Paris FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: Luca Koleosho (45+2’, assisted by Lassine Sinayoko); Lens: Florian Thauvin (63’, assisted by Thorgan Hazard) and Thorgan Hazard (83’, assisted by Florian Thauvin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thorgan Hazard’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

M. Vernice showed six yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Lens move up from seventh to sixth (eight league matches played). Lens have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lens have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris FC move down from second to fourth (eight league matches played). Paris FC have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Paris FC have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Florian Thauvin (Lens) 9.0, Thorgan Hazard (Lens) 7.4 and Luca Koleosho (Paris FC) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lens are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Paris FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lens or Paris FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Paris FC next travel to Auxerre on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lens 2–1 Paris FC · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens
Referee: M. Vernice
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 4 · draws 1 · Paris FC 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Lens 2W 0D 3L · Paris FC 3W 1D 1L

Lens 2–1 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

7 / 3.75

Corners

against 3.13 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.08 yellows

Referee · M. Vernice

26.5 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lens for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Vernice — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Risser	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Risser n 8	90	3.2 8/6

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Aguilar	10	63627 min	213 /90	101.4 /90	00 /90	304.3 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90
I. Ganiou	8	88703 min	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	364.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
K. Antonio	8	84669 min	162.2 /90	121.6 /90	40.5 /90	354.7 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
S. Sagnan	4	78310 min	113.2 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90	195.5 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
J. Todibo	4	46185 min	52.4 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	94.4 /90	52.4 /90	00 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	0.8 6/0	1 4/3	—
M. Udol n 8	81	0.6 4/0	0.7 4/1	P. Lees-Melou
R. Aguilar n 8	69.3	1.3 5/1	0.5 3/0	Diego Coppola
M. Skóraś n 8	63.6	1.2 6/1	1.4 7/1	—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	0.7 3/1
M. Udol n 8	81	2.1 6/4
R. Aguilar n 8	69.3	2.8 6/5
M. Skóraś n 8	63.6	1.2 4/2
M. Cuisance n 8	71.3	1.7 5/3
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Thauvin	11	81894 min	50.5 /90	60.6 /90	292.9 /90	181.8 /90	414.1 /90	141.4 /90
F. Ivanović	9	50446 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	173.4 /90
O. Édouard	9	38344 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
A. Sima	7	76534 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90
J. Kadile	5	53263 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.1 /90	31 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	3.2 7/6	1.8 6/5
M. Udol n 8	81	1.9 6/5	0.7 4/1
R. Aguilar n 8	69.3	1.1 4/3	0.3 2/0
M. Skóraś n 8	63.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	0.1 1/0	0.7 3/2
M. Udol n 8	81	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Aguilar n 8	69.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
M. Skóraś n 8	63.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	7	90630 min	172.4 /90	71 /90	00 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diego Coppola	7	90630 min	60.9 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	223.1 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
A. Camara	7	86605 min	162.4 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90	304.5 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
S. Chergui	5	84422 min	30.6 /90	112.3 /90	30.6 /90	71.5 /90	112.3 /90	20.4 /90
H. Traoré	5	81403 min	81.8 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	30.7 /90
Otávio	3	66197 min	41.8 /90	41.8 /90	41.8 /90	73.2 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0	R. Aguilar
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	1 5/3	1 5/3	M. Udol
L. Sinayoko n 7	87.3	1.3 5/3	1.8 6/5	—
A. Camara n 8	86.9	1 4/2	0.6 5/0	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.8 3/2
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	3.1 7/5
L. Sinayoko n 7	87.3	1.6 6/3
A. Camara n 8	86.9	2.7 6/5
M. Lopez n 8	73.1	2 6/4
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Sinayoko	7	87611 min	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	172.5 /90	121.8 /90	152.2 /90	50.7 /90
P. Lees-Melou	7	88618 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90
M. Lopez	7	80562 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
I. Kebbal	7	78549 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	61 /90	152.5 /90	101.6 /90
P. Pagis	7	75524 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90	101.7 /90	50.9 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
L. Sinayoko n 7	87.3	2.5 7/5	1.8 6/4
A. Camara n 8	86.9	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Sinayoko n 7	87.3	0.9 3/2	0.4 2/1
A. Camara n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lens		Paris FC
56%	Possession	44%
1.10	Expected goals (xG)	0.44
9	Shots	4
3	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	2
0	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	4
6	Corners	1
0	Offsides	1
17	Fouls	17
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	2
555	Passes	457

Lens Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Risser	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
S. Baidoo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
R. Aguilar	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.8
M. Cuisance	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.4
M. Udol	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
F. Thauvin	90	1	1	2	1	2	1	Y	7.9
Saud Abdulhamid	85	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
F. Sotoca	85	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	6
A. Haidara	71	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Todibo	61	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
F. Ivanović	61	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Hazard	29	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	7.5
K. Antonio	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Yassine Titraoui	19	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
M. Skóraś	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Kadile	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Nkambadio	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Diego Coppola	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
M. Mbow	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.4
Otávio	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
M. Lopez	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
P. Lees-Melou	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	Y	5.9
L. Sinayoko	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
I. Kebbal	76	0	0	2	0	0	4	0	6.1
A. Camara	67	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.4
P. Pagis	67	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.8
E. Mbemba	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Koleosho	45	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.4
M. Simon	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
E. Zabi	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
R. Matondo	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
T. De Smet	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lens v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LensLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Paris FCWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lens 4 · 1 draw · Paris FC 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-02-14 Paris FC 0–5 Lens
2025-10-19 Lens 2–1 Paris FC
2020-03-02 Paris FC 0–2 Lens
2019-09-28 Lens 2–1 Paris FC
2019-03-03 Paris FC 2–0 Lens
2018-09-28 Lens 0–0 Paris FC

League standing · 2026/27

Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD

Paris FC#4 pos17 pts9 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Lens scored1.78

Paris FC scored1.78

Lens conceded1.44

Paris FC conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lens 0.70 xG from 9 shots, Paris FC 0.71 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lens (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lens	9	2	0.70
Paris FC	4	1	0.71

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lens 0.23, Paris FC 0.03. At full time, xG was level: Lens 0.70, Paris FC 0.71. The widest gap was 0.43 xG to Paris FC, in the 54th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Lens 0.70 xGParis FC 0.71 xGdots = goals · 13 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lens v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Paris FC was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Paris FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 4, Paris FC won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Paris FC?: Recent form — Lens 2W 0D 3L; Paris FC 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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