Auxerre v Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Auxerre v Marseille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Auxerre host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Auxerre have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Auxerre have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Auxerre have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86. Auxerre have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Marseille have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Auxerre (12th) and Marseille (ninth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Marseille the stronger side, 84 rating points above Auxerre (Marseille 1668, Auxerre 1584, after at least 115 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Marseille 1–0 Auxerre.

Team news

Predicted Auxerre XI (3-4-3): M. Diop, C. Akpa, C. Makosso, A. Tuanzebe, K. Danois, N. Ahamada, A. Piedfort, L. Sy, D. Namaso, C. Archer, R. Faivre — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Namaso (5.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals and two assists) and Cameron Archer (5.0 per match over five appearances, four goals) have been Auxerre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Auxerre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Namaso averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 573 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Cameron Archer averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 455 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances.

Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, P. Højbjerg, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Auxerre 2 · draws 0 · Marseille 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Auxerre 3W 0D 2L · Marseille 2W 0D 3L

Auxerre v Marseille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5
Corners
against 7.13 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAuxerre for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Auxerre
Auxerre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Owusu n 877.1
2.36/4
0.63/1
—
K. Danois n 890
27/6
27/4
—
D. Namaso n 880.6
1.87/3
1.15/3
—
Cameron Archer n 866.6
1.74/3
0.32/0
—
E. Legros n 531
1.71/1
00/0
—
Auxerre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Labeau Lascary n 841.4
2.74/3
2.23/3
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
2.68/6
1.97/5
Cameron Archer n 866.6
2.47/5
1.25/2
S. Mara n 846.3
2.24/2
12/1
D. Namaso n 880.6
2.17/5
1.16/2
Auxerre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
14/3
0.42/1
Cameron Archer n 866.6
0.74/0
0.21/0
S. Mara n 846.3
0.72/1
0.21/0
D. Namaso n 880.6
0.42/1
0.32/0
R. Faivre n 858.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Auxerre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Danois n 890
2.97/6
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.77/3
D. Namaso n 880.6
1.77/3
T. Siwe n 478.8
1.73/3
E. Legros n 531
1.72/1
Auxerre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diop n 890
47/7
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.85/5
Marseille
Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Moumbagna n 89.8
3.53/0
3.52/1
—
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
3.21/0
—
T. Nnadi n 854.9
2.76/5
1.46/1
—
K. Abdallah n 839.1
25/1
0.62/0
—
B. Meité n 880.9
1.86/6
1.55/3
—
Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Abdallah n 839.1
3.56/3
1.23/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 872.4
2.66/4
0.94/2
A. Gouiri n 870.3
1.64/3
12/2
A. Harit n 875.4
1.26/2
0.75/0
Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 870.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
0.51/0
00/0
H. Abdelli n 880.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Harit n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 888.4
00/0
0.31/1
Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
2.93/2
T. Weah n 888.4
2.56/6
G. Kondogbia n 852.1
2.44/4
Q. Timber n 853.9
2.15/4
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
3.97/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Auxerre v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AuxerreLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MarseilleLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Auxerre 2 · 0 draws · Marseille 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-13 Marseille 1–0 Auxerre
  • 2025-11-01 Auxerre 0–1 Marseille
  • 2025-02-22 Auxerre 3–0 Marseille
  • 2024-11-08 Marseille 1–3 Auxerre
  • 2023-04-30 Marseille 2–1 Auxerre
  • 2022-09-03 Auxerre 0–2 Marseille
League standing · 2026/27
Auxerre#12 pos9 pts7 pl-6 GD
Marseille#9 pos9 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Auxerre scored1.57
Marseille scored2
Auxerre conceded2.43
Marseille conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Marseille won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Auxerre and Marseille?
Recent form — Auxerre 3W 0D 2L; Marseille 2W 0D 3L.

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