Auxerre v Paris FC prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Auxerre · Paris FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Auxerre v Paris FC, Ligue 1 on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,907 of 2,553 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Auxerre host Paris FC in Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Auxerre or Paris FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Auxerre have conceded 23 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Both teams scored in 12 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Auxerre have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Auxerre have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00. Auxerre have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

11 of Paris FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Paris FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Paris FC have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33. Paris FC have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Paris FC have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Auxerre (14th) and Paris FC (fourth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris FC the stronger side, 301 rating points above Auxerre (Paris FC 1799, Auxerre 1498, after at least 43 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Auxerre are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Paris FC. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC.

Team news

Predicted Auxerre XI (3-4-3): P. Nardi, C. Akpa, A. Tuanzebe, C. Makosso, K. Danois, F. Oppegård, N. Ahamada, L. Sy, C. Archer, D. Namaso, R. Labeau Lascary — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Namaso (5.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) and Cameron Archer (4.9 per match over seven appearances, six goals) have been Auxerre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Auxerre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Namaso averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 722 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. Cameron Archer averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 643 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Paris FC XI (4-2-3-1): K. Trapp, D. Coppola, H. Traoré, A. Camara, S. Chergui, M. Lopez, P. Lees-Melou, P. Pagis, I. Kebbal, L. Koleosho, L. Sinayoko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lassine Sinayoko (8.3 per match over nine appearances, eight goals and five assists) and Maxime Lopez (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Paris FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassine Sinayoko averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 780 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. Maxime Lopez averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 742 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Referee: Marc Bollengier
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Auxerre 2 · draws 3 · Paris FC 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Auxerre 2W 1D 2L · Paris FC 3W 0D 2L

Auxerre v Paris FC (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.63

Corners

against 6.88 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.5

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Auxerre for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Marc Bollengier.

Auxerre

Auxerre Goalkeeper

Auxerre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Diop	6	90540 min	233.8 /90	61 /90	00 /90
P. Nardi	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Auxerre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Diop n 6	90	3.8 5/5
P. Nardi n 3	90	2.7 1/1

Auxerre Defensive

Auxerre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Akpa	9	89797 min	131.5 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90	445 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90
C. Makosso	7	78548 min	81.3 /90	111.8 /90	30.5 /90	325.3 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
A. Tuanzebe	6	90540 min	30.5 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	315.2 /90	61 /90	00 /90
R. Mandengue	4	2391 min	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90	1110.9 /90	76.9 /90	11 /90
S. Diomandé	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	94.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Auxerre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Akpa n 8	88.4	1.4 7/2	1.9 7/5	—
K. Danois n 8	86.1	2 7/5	2.1 6/5	—
L. Sy n 8	84.3	1.5 5/4	0.7 5/0	—
D. Namaso n 8	80.6	2 7/3	1.3 5/4	—
N. Ahamada n 8	76	0.9 3/2	0.9 4/2	—
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Auxerre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Akpa n 8	88.4	1.3 5/5
K. Danois n 8	86.1	2.7 6/5
L. Sy n 8	84.3	2.3 6/5
D. Namaso n 8	80.6	1.7 7/3
N. Ahamada n 8	76	0.9 4/1
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Auxerre Attacking

Auxerre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Namaso	9	80722 min	30.4 /90	20.2 /90	172.1 /90	81 /90	131.6 /90	91.1 /90
Cameron Archer	7	89622 min	60.9 /90	00 /90	152.2 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	60.9 /90
R. Labeau Lascary	4	61243 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	83 /90	62.2 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90
J. Casimir	1	1919 min	00 /90	00 /90	29.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90
T. Bair	1	1919 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Auxerre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Akpa n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Danois n 8	86.1	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
L. Sy n 8	84.3	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
D. Namaso n 8	80.6	2.1 7/5	1 5/2
N. Ahamada n 8	76	1.2 5/2	0.4 3/0
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Auxerre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Akpa n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Danois n 8	86.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Sy n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Namaso n 8	80.6	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
N. Ahamada n 8	76	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	8	90720 min	192.4 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
O. Nkambadio	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	2.4 6/4
O. Nkambadio n 8	90	3.1 6/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diego Coppola	9	90810 min	91 /90	141.6 /90	30.3 /90	313.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Camara	8	84672 min	182.4 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	334.4 /90	91.2 /90	00 /90
H. Traoré	6	82492 min	101.8 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	183.3 /90	71.3 /90	40.7 /90
S. Chergui	6	78467 min	40.8 /90	142.7 /90	30.6 /90	101.9 /90	122.3 /90	20.4 /90
Otávio	5	75377 min	102.4 /90	92.1 /90	41 /90	215 /90	92.1 /90	20.5 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Diego Coppola n 8	90	1 6/1	0.1 1/0	—
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	1.4 6/4	1.4 6/4	—
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	1.2 6/2	1.3 5/4	—
M. Lopez n 8	89.4	0.8 4/2	0.6 4/1	—
I. Kebbal n 8	76	1 5/2	3.1 8/3	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.8 4/2
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	3.1 7/4
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	0.9 5/2
M. Lopez n 8	89.4	1.9 7/4
I. Kebbal n 8	76	1.9 6/4
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Sinayoko	9	87780 min	80.9 /90	50.6 /90	202.3 /90	151.7 /90	202.3 /90	60.7 /90
P. Lees-Melou	9	89798 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	60.7 /90	30.3 /90
M. Lopez	9	82742 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
I. Kebbal	9	78698 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	162.1 /90	111.4 /90
P. Pagis	9	76681 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	141.9 /90	50.7 /90	121.6 /90	50.7 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0.9 5/2	0.3 1/1
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	2.4 7/6	1.9 7/5
M. Lopez n 8	89.4	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
I. Kebbal n 8	76	2.2 8/3	0.9 6/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	1 4/3	0.6 4/1
M. Lopez n 8	89.4	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
I. Kebbal n 8	76	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Auxerre v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AuxerreWLWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Paris FCWLWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Auxerre 2 · 3 draws · Paris FC 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-02-08 Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC
2025-11-29 Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre
2024-05-04 Auxerre 2–0 Paris FC
2023-10-07 Paris FC 0–2 Auxerre
2022-02-01 Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC
2021-08-16 Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre

League standing · 2026/27

Auxerre#14 pos10 pts9 pl-10 GD

Paris FC#4 pos17 pts9 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Auxerre scored1.44

Paris FC scored1.78

Auxerre conceded2.56

Paris FC conceded1.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Auxerre v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Auxerre v Paris FC is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Paris FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Paris FC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Auxerre and Paris FC?: Recent form — Auxerre 2W 1D 2L; Paris FC 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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