Estac Troyes v Lens prediction
Team pages: Estac Troyes · Lens · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Estac Troyes vs Lens, Ligue 1 on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.
The match
Estac Troyes host Lens in Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Lens to win, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Estac Troyes have lost their last four matches.
Lens are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estac Troyes, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Estac Troyes have failed to score in their last three matches. Nine of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Estac Troyes have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43. Estac Troyes have scored four goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estac Troyes have conceded 13 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.
10 of Lens’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lens’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Lens have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.71. Lens have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Estac Troyes (17th) and Lens (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 442 rating points above Estac Troyes (Lens 1709, Estac Troyes 1267, after at least 120 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 4 February 2026, finished Estac Troyes 2–4 Lens.
Team news
Predicted Estac Troyes XI (4-2-3-1): P. Beach, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, A. Ouzenadji, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, D. Karim, I. Gomis, H. Picard, R. Ripart — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antoine Mille (4.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Anis Ouzenadji (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Estac Troyes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estac Troyes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antoine Mille averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 443 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Anis Ouzenadji averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.
Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, M. Cuisance, R. Aguilar, Y. Titraoui, M. Udol, A. Haidara, M. Skóraś, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over eight appearances, five goals and four assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 705 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 648 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de l'Aube
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Estac Troyes 0 · draws 1 · Lens 5 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Estac Troyes 1W 0D 4L · Lens 2W 1D 2L
Estac Troyes v Lens (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 12 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estac Troyes for / against | Line | Lens for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Estac Troyes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Karim n 8 | 57.1 | 2.4 | 1 | — |
| M. Detourbet n 8 | 37.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| J. Le Douaron n 8 | 53.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Noah Donkor n 8 | 40.3 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Mille n 8 | 77.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 52.4 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| R. Ripart n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| J. Le Douaron n 8 | 53.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Timothee Nkada n 8 | 38.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| I. Gomis n 8 | 50 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 52.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Mille n 8 | 77.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| K. Diawara n 8 | 46.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Y. Titi n 8 | 54.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Noah Donkor n 8 | 40.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Mille n 8 | 77.9 | 3 |
| D. Karim n 8 | 57.1 | 2.8 |
| A. Monfray n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| A. Ouzenadji n 8 | 71 | 2.5 |
| L. Maronnier n 8 | 63.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Beach n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Lens
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ivanović n 8 | 54.1 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| R. Aguilar n 8 | 60.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| M. Skóraś n 8 | 52.8 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| T. Hazard n 8 | 31.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid n 8 | 79.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin n 8 | 88.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| O. Édouard n 8 | 42.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Mezian Mesloub n 4 | 35.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| T. Hazard n 8 | 31.5 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| F. Sotoca n 8 | 34 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin n 8 | 88.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| J. Kadile n 8 | 69.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| A. Sima n 8 | 69.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| F. Sotoca n 8 | 34 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Mezian Mesloub n 4 | 35.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bulatović n 8 | 61.8 | 3.3 |
| R. Aguilar n 8 | 60.8 | 3.3 |
| S. Sagnan n 4 | 77.5 | 3.2 |
| I. Ganiou n 8 | 83.8 | 2.3 |
| K. Antonio n 8 | 77.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Risser n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estac Troyes v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-04 Estac Troyes 2–4 Lens
- 2023-01-28 Estac Troyes 1–1 Lens
- 2022-09-09 Lens 1–0 Estac Troyes
- 2022-05-14 Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens
- 2021-11-05 Lens 4–0 Estac Troyes
- 2020-02-04 Lens 1–0 Estac Troyes
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Estac Troyes v Lens is Away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Estac Troyes and Lens?
- In their last 6 meetings, Estac Troyes won 0, Lens won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estac Troyes and Lens?
- Recent form — Estac Troyes 1W 0D 4L; Lens 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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