Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · Sat, 05 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Stade Océane

Updated 19 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Havre · Stade Brestois 29 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29 — Stade Brestois 29 won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.12 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Stade Brestois 29: 3.02 to 1.61 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Le Havre’s from a penalty, from 19 shots to 18, ahead on xG from the 50th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 at Stade Océane in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 September. Stade Brestois 29 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Stade Brestois 29 led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (12’ pen; 51’, assisted by Mama Baldé); Le Havre: Rayan Fofana (79’ pen). Junior Mwanga (45+2’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kamory Doumbia’s goal on 12 minutes.

Discipline

Marc Bollengier, France showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Le Havre: L. Mpasi (10’); Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (39’).

What it changes

Le Havre stay 15th after this result (three league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 move up from eighth to fourth (three league matches played).

Le Havre are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Stade Brestois 29 are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kamory Doumbia (Stade Brestois 29) 10.5, Ahmed Touba (Le Havre) 7.2 and Gautier Lloris (Stade Brestois 29) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Le Havre next travel to Estac Troyes on 21 November 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next travel to Strasbourg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Havre: Estac Troyes v Le Havre, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Océane · Le Havre
Referee: Marc Bollengier, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 1 · draws 0 · Stade Brestois 29 5 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Le Havre 1W 2D 2L · Stade Brestois 29 0W 3D 2L

Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Le Havre for / against	Line	Stade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.88 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Marc Bollengier, France.

Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Mpasi	2	90180 min	115.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Mpasi n 6	82.5	4.7 6/4

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Seko	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	52.5 /90	21 /90	52.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
J. Mwanga	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
F. Doucouré	2	4895 min	10.9 /90	43.8 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	32.8 /90	21.9 /90
A. Touba	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90
V. Sasso	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Richardson n 8	67.6	2.2 6/5	1.2 6/1	J. Chotard
J. Mwanga n 8	90	1.4 7/3	0.4 2/1	R. Le Guen
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	1.3 4/4	1.6 6/4	—
A. Seko n 8	90	1 7/1	0.3 1/1	B. Locko
L. Mpasi n 6	82.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0	—
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	3.6 8/7
J. Mwanga n 8	90	2.3 8/4
A. Richardson n 8	67.6	1.5 4/2
A. Seko n 8	90	1 6/2
S. Ebonog n 8	58.9	2.1 6/4
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Ndiaye	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90
M. Samatta	2	80159 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
J. Maja	2	2345 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	00 /90
Kaito Mizuta	1	6565 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.8 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90
E. Koffi Vinette	1	5050 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.6 /90	11.8 /90	11.8 /90	11.8 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Richardson n 8	67.6	1.3 7/1	0.8 5/0
J. Mwanga n 8	90	1 7/1	0.5 4/0
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1
A. Seko n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
L. Mpasi n 6	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Mwanga n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Richardson n 8	67.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Seko n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Mpasi n 6	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Selvik	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Locko	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90	157.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
K. Lala	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	63 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Le Guen	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	94.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Tousart	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90	66 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Lloris	1	8383 min	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	55.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Ajorque n 8	90	2.1 7/6	1.3 5/3	—
B. Locko n 8	78.4	1 5/2	2.3 7/3	A. Seko
R. Le Guen n 6	90	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0	J. Mwanga
K. Lala n 8	81.6	0.7 4/1	0.6 3/1	—
J. Chotard n 8	79	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0	A. Richardson
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Locko n 8	78.4	4.2 8/7
J. Chotard n 8	79	1.7 7/5
R. Le Guen n 6	90	1.2 4/2
L. Ajorque n 8	90	1 3/2
K. Lala n 8	81.6	0.8 4/2
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Ajorque	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	94.5 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90
Mama Baldé	2	2142 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.3 /90	00 /90	24.3 /90	24.3 /90
J. Chotard	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90
K. Doumbia	2	82164 min	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	42.2 /90
P. Mboup	2	77154 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.9 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	42.3 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ajorque n 8	90	2.1 5/4	0.6 3/2
R. Le Guen n 6	90	1.3 4/3	0.2 1/0
J. Chotard n 8	79	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
K. Lala n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Locko n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Ajorque n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Lala n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Chotard n 8	79	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Locko n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Le Guen n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le Havre		Stade Brestois 29
56%	Possession	44%
2.02	Expected goals (xG)	2.37
18	Shots	19
4	Shots on target	9
10	Shots off target	8
4	Blocked shots	2
13	Shots inside the box	12
5	Corners	5
1	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	18
1	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
8	Saves	3
455	Passes	370
83%	Pass accuracy	78%

Le Havre Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Seko	90	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
A. Touba	90	0	0	0	1	5	0	7.6
S. Ebonog	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
A. Richardson	90	0	2	1	2	4	0	7.3
M. Samatta	90	0	4	2	0	2	0	6.5
L. Mpasi	89	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.6
Elias Jelert	79	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
T. Pembélé	62	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.3
J. Maja	62	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Mwanga	47	0	0	0	0	0	R	5.2
R. Ndiaye	45	0	0	0	3	0	0	7
S. Nakamura sub	45	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
E. Koffi Vinette sub	28	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.6
R. Fofana sub	28	1	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
D. Ouziad sub	11	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
G. Gallon sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Selvik	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Le Guen	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	7.2
G. Lloris	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
B. Locko	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
J. Chotard	90	0	0	1	1	3	1	0	7.2
L. Ajorque	90	0	0	3	1	2	1	0	7.3
H. Magnetti	75	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.2
K. Doumbia	75	2	0	3	2	2	2	Y	8.3
P. Mboup	75	0	0	3	2	2	1	0	6.9
Mama Baldé	67	0	1	2	1	1	2	0	6.9
K. Lala	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
L. Zogbe sub	68	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
N. Edjouma sub	23	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
J. Nonge Boende sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Tousart sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
G. Versini sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
G. Versini sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le HavreDLWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Stade Brestois 29LLDDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Le Havre 1 · 0 draws · Stade Brestois 29 5 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-03-08 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Le Havre
2025-10-29 Le Havre 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
2025-01-26 Le Havre 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
2024-10-06 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Le Havre
2024-03-03 Stade Brestois 29 1–0 Le Havre
2023-08-20 Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29

League standing · 2026/27

Le Havre#18 pos2 pts10 pl-13 GD

Stade Brestois 29#9 pos15 pts10 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Le Havre scored0.9

Stade Brestois 29 scored1.8

Le Havre conceded2.2

Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Havre 1.61 xG from 18 shots, Stade Brestois 29 3.02 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Le Havre (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Le Havre	18	1	1.61
Stade Brestois 29	19	2	3.02

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Stade Brestois 29 led on xG, 1.17 to 0.47, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Stade Brestois 29 led on xG, 3.02 to 1.61, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Le Havre’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.05 xG to Stade Brestois 29, in the 70th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Le Havre 1.61 xGStade Brestois 29 3.02 xGdots = goals · 37 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29 was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.12 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29?: In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 1, Stade Brestois 29 won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29?: Recent form — Le Havre 1W 2D 2L; Stade Brestois 29 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 19 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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