Le Mans v Lille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Lille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Mans host Lille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lille have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Le Mans have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Lille have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86. Lille have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Le Mans (17th) and Lille (second) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lille the stronger side, 413 rating points above Le Mans (Lille 1779, Le Mans 1366, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 January 2018, finished Le Mans 2–4 Lille.

Team news

Predicted Le Mans XI (3-1-4-2): N. Kocik, S. Yohou, N. Boissé, H. Voyer, L. Bretelle, L. Calodat, L. Buadés, J. Vercruysse, A. Lauray, L. Mafouta, D. Guèye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bourabaa (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Lucas Calodat (3.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Le Mans’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Mans (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bourabaa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 398 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Lucas Calodat averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 547 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, N. Ngoy, A. Ribeiro, T. Nianzou, R. Perraud, B. André, N. Mukau, N. Bentaleb, D. Bakwa, M. Kjærgaard, H. Haraldsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soriba Diaoune (4.4 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soriba Diaoune averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 342 minutes, with a shot in three of the last six appearances. Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Head-to-head (last 1): Le Mans 0 · draws 0 · Lille 1 · 6 goals/game
Recent form: Le Mans 1W 1D 3L · Lille 1W 3D 1L

Le Mans v Lille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 4.25

Corners

against 5.25 / 3.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 2 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Le Mans for / against	Line	Lille for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Kocik	7	89621 min	273.9 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
E. Hatfout	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 8	88.9	3.5 6/5
E. Hatfout n 7	90.7	2.4 5/3

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Yohou	7	79556 min	81.3 /90	101.6 /90	50.8 /90	233.7 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90
N. Boissé	7	76532 min	183 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	274.6 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
H. Voyer	6	88527 min	61 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	162.7 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
D. Sidibé	4	70278 min	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	185.8 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Raúl Torrente	3	80241 min	103.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	186.7 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.8 4/2	1.2 6/2	—
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	1.8 5/2	0.7 3/0	—
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	1.7 7/2	1.8 5/4	—
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.5 3/0	1 4/2	—
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.4 8/4	0.4 2/0	—
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0.9 4/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	2.2 6/3
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	2 7/3
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.8 7/5
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Mafouta	9	83749 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	172 /90	111.3 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
D. Guèye	9	53475 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
A. Rabillard	7	44308 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	61.8 /90
H. Diallo	7	42295 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90
B. Brahimi	5	27136 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	2 7/5	1.2 5/3
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	2 5/4	0.2 1/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0.7 2/2	0.4 2/0
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Özer	12	901080 min	393.3 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
Orlando Gill	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	3 6/5

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Ngoy	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90	383.2 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
Alexsandro Ribeiro	11	90990 min	181.6 /90	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	504.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
R. Perraud	11	77852 min	192 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	424.4 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Tiago Santos	7	80562 min	132.1 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90	386.1 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
M. Goffi	6	70422 min	112.3 /90	81.7 /90	00 /90	214.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 4/1	2.4 7/6	—
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1	—
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.7 6/2	0.5 2/1	—
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.9 5/1	1 4/3	—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.6 3/1
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.9 5/1
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 5/2
N. Mukau n 8	78	2 6/3
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	90	1.6 6/5
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Bakwa	11	57632 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	131.9 /90	50.7 /90	101.4 /90	81.1 /90
O. Giroud	10	47466 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
A. Ueda	6	64382 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
G. Perrin	6	35208 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90
S. Diaoune	5	67334 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	92.4 /90	41.1 /90	61.6 /90	113 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 7/1	0.5 3/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le MansWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

LilleDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Le Mans 0 · 0 draws · Lille 1 · 6 goals/game

2018-01-06 Le Mans 2–4 Lille

League standing · 2026/27

Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD

Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Le Mans scored1.22

Lille scored1.33

Le Mans conceded2

Lille conceded0.67

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and Lille?: In their last 1 meetings, Le Mans won 0, Lille won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Mans and Lille?: Recent form — Le Mans 1W 1D 3L; Lille 1W 3D 1L.

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