Lens v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · Fri, 29 Aug 2025 19:45 BST · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Stade Brestois 29 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois 29 — Lens won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1550 landed (95% range 73–77.3%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lens: 4.49 to 0.96 in expected goals, from 30 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 27th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lens beat Stade Brestois 29 3–1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Ligue 1 on Friday 29 August. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lens came from behind: Stade Brestois 29 led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stade Brestois 29: Mama Baldé (24’, assisted by Kamory Doumbia); Lens: Florian Thauvin (60’ pen), M. Guilavogui (78’) and Adrien Thomasson (90’, assisted by Saud Abdulhamid). R. Majecki (55’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Guilavogui’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

A. Kherradji showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Lens: Ruben Aguilar (69’); Stade Brestois 29: Ludovic Ajorque (45’), Hugo Magnetti (48’) and Kenny Lala (57’).

What it changes

Lens move up from ninth to third (three league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 stay 14th after this result (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Florian Thauvin (Lens) 9.3, Adrien Thomasson (Lens) 7.7 and Kamory Doumbia (Stade Brestois 29) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lens or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.2% of the time in the last 90 days (1166 of 1550).

Next up

Lens next host Paris FC on 24 October 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next host Nice on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lens: Lens v Paris FC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Nice, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens
Referee: A. Kherradji
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 4 · draws 1 · Stade Brestois 29 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Lens 3W 1D 1L · Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L

Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.88

Corners

against 4.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 4

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.13 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lens for / against	Line	Stade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Kherradji.

Lens

Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jeremy Agbonifo n 8	37.4	4.2 7/4	1.5 4/1	—
W. Saïd n 8	37.9	3.3 4/4	0 0/0	Mama Baldé
M. Guilavogui n 8	72.4	2.8 7/5	2 7/4	—
N. El Aynaoui n 8	77.9	2 6/4	2 8/5	—
Andy Diouf n 8	69.3	1.8 5/4	0.8 4/1	—

Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Koyalipou n 8	62.1	3.3 8/5	2 6/2
W. Saïd n 8	37.9	2.7 4/2	1.8 4/2
A. Zaroury n 8	54.1	2.3 5/3	1.2 5/1
A. Fulgini n 8	37.5	2.1 4/2	0.9 3/0
F. Sotoca n 8	31.9	2.1 3/1	1.1 1/1

Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Saïd n 8	37.9	0.6 2/0	0.3 1/0
A. Zaroury n 8	54.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
A. Thomasson n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1
N. El Aynaoui n 8	77.9	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
R. Fofana n 4	38.5	0.6 1/0	0 0/0

Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Baidoo n 8	78.9	2.9 6/5
A. Fulgini n 8	37.5	2.4 5/1
N. Mendy n 8	64.5	2.1 5/4
Jeremy Agbonifo n 8	37.4	2.1 5/2
J. Gradit n 8	89.8	2 7/4

Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Ryan n 8	90	3.2 7/7
R. Risser n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Mama Baldé n 8	33.9	3 5/2	2 3/2	W. Saïd
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	2.5 7/6	0.8 4/2	—
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.8	2 6/6	2.4 8/7	—
H. Magnetti n 8	72.5	1.6 7/2	0.6 3/1	—
A. Sima n 8	47.9	1.4 4/2	1.4 4/2	—

Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Mama Baldé n 8	33.9	3 5/4	1 3/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	83.6	2.2 7/5	1.1 6/2
A. Sima n 8	47.9	2.1 5/3	1.6 5/2
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	1.9 6/6	0.8 5/1
M. Camara n 8	68.1	1.3 4/3	0.7 2/2

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sima n 8	47.9	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
K. Doumbia n 8	55.5	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
R. Del Castillo n 8	45.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
K. Lala n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Del Castillo n 8	45.1	3.5 5/3
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.8	3.4 7/7
J. Martin n 8	9.9	3.4 3/0
A. N'Diaye n 8	85	3.3 7/7
K. Doumbia n 8	55.5	3 7/5

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Majecki n 8	90	3.1 6/5
G. Coudert n 8	79.8	3.1 7/3
M. Bizot n 8	90	2.4 5/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lens		Stade Brestois 29
68%	Possession	32%
3.99	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
30	Shots	9
10	Shots on target	2
9	Shots off target	2
11	Blocked shots	5
26	Shots inside the box	7
15	Corners	1
2	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	12
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	7
581	Passes	284
85%	Pass accuracy	73%

Lens player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Risser	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Gradit	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Sarr	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.3
M. Udol	90	0	0	3	1	1	2	0	6.6
M. Sangaré	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7
A. Thomasson	90	1	0	2	1	7	0	0	8.2
W. Saïd	89	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.2
R. Aguilar	76	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.7
F. Thauvin	76	1	0	2	1	3	4	0	7.6
R. Fofana	75	0	0	5	2	1	1	0	7.2
D. Machado	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Baidoo sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
M. Guilavogui sub	15	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.6
Saud Abdulhamid sub	14	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.9
A. Bermont sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
F. Sotoca sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Stade Brestois 29 player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Lala	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9
J. Le Cardinal	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.3
M. Diaz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
H. Magnetti	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.2
L. Ajorque	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	7.9
B. Locko	86	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6
J. Chotard	86	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
K. Doumbia	75	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	7
Mama Baldé	75	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
R. Del Castillo	59	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
R. Majecki	55	0	0	0	0	0	0	R	6.3
G. Coudert sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
H. Makalou sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Bourgault sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Serigne Diop sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Le Guen sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lens v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LensWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Stade Brestois 29WWLDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lens 4 · 1 draw · Stade Brestois 29 1 · 3 goals/game

2025-04-20 Stade Brestois 29 1–3 Lens
2024-08-25 Lens 2–0 Stade Brestois 29
2024-03-09 Lens 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
2023-08-13 Stade Brestois 29 3–2 Lens
2023-02-05 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lens
2023-01-22 Stade Brestois 29 1–3 Lens

League standing · 2025/26

Lens#2 pos70 pts34 pl+31 GD

Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Lens scored1.94

Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26

Lens conceded1.03

Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62

Shot map and expected goals

Lens 4.49 xG from 30 shots, Stade Brestois 29 0.96 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lens (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lens	30	3	4.49
Stade Brestois 29	9	1	0.96

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lens v Stade Brestois 29?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Stade Brestois 29 was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Stade Brestois 29?: In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 4, Stade Brestois 29 won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Stade Brestois 29?: Recent form — Lens 3W 1D 1L; Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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