Stade Brestois 29 v Nice prediction
Team pages: Stade Brestois 29 · Nice · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice, Ligue 1 on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.
The match
Stade Brestois 29 host Nice in Ligue 1 on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
Form and the table
10 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Stade Brestois 29 have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Nice’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Nice’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Nice have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25. Nice have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nice have conceded seven goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Stade Brestois 29 (eighth) and Nice (10th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stade Brestois 29 the stronger side, 51 rating points above Nice (Stade Brestois 29 1653, Nice 1602, after at least 251 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29.
Team news
Predicted Stade Brestois 29 XI (4-2-3-1): E. Selvik, B. Locko, K. Lala, G. Lloris, R. Le Guen, J. Chotard, K. Doumbia, P. Mboup, H. Magnetti, J. Nonge Boende, L. Ajorque — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kamory Doumbia (5.4 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and Pathé Mboup (4.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Stade Brestois 29’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stade Brestois 29 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kamory Doumbia averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 568 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Pathé Mboup averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 559 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Nice XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Diouf, X. Mandza, Y. Ndayishimiye, M. Abdelmonem, J. Clauss, D. Coulibaly, A. Witsel, N. Nkounkou, M. Bard, E. Pereira, G. Hein — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jonathan Clauss (3.8 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Niels Nkounkou (3.8 per match over four appearances) have been Nice’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nice (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jonathan Clauss averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 518 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last six appearances. Niels Nkounkou averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 313 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 1 · draws 3 · Nice 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L · Nice 2W 1D 2L
Stade Brestois 29 v Nice (Ligue 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stade Brestois 29 for / against | Line | Nice for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.63 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.63 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mboup n 8 | 80.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | — |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 89 | 2.7 | 1.3 | — |
| M. Diambou n 8 | 45.1 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Nonge Boende n 8 | 30.8 | 1.8 | 5.1 | — |
| Mama Baldé n 8 | 32.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante n 3 | 11.3 | 7.9 | 2.6 |
| P. Mboup n 8 | 80.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 89 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Mama Baldé n 8 | 32.4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| N. Edjouma n 8 | 23.1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mama Baldé n 8 | 32.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| K. Doumbia n 8 | 80.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| D. Guindo n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 89 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| P. Mboup n 8 | 80.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante n 3 | 11.3 | 5.3 |
| M. Diambou n 8 | 45.1 | 4.5 |
| D. N´Guessan n 8 | 20.4 | 3.9 |
| H. Magnetti n 8 | 68.9 | 3.3 |
| N. Edjouma n 8 | 23.1 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Nice
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Pereira n 8 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| C. Vanhoutte n 8 | 67.4 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Coulibaly n 8 | 71 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 46 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cho n 8 | 38.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| E. Wahi n 8 | 57.4 | 2 | 1.2 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Nathan N'Goumou n 8 | 30.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diop n 8 | 48.4 | 0 | 0.7 |
| T. Louchet n 8 | 48.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Cho n 8 | 38.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Dante n 8 | 74.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 46 | 4.9 |
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 3.4 |
| C. Vanhoutte n 8 | 67.4 | 2.7 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 51.6 | 2.6 |
| T. Louchet n 8 | 48.9 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-01 Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29
- 2025-09-20 Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nice
- 2025-05-17 Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29
- 2024-11-02 Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Nice
- 2024-02-04 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nice
- 2023-10-01 Nice 0–0 Stade Brestois 29
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Nice is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Nice?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 1, Nice won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Nice?
- Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L; Nice 2W 1D 2L.
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