Lille v Monaco result
Team pages: Lille · Monaco · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Lille 1–0 Monaco — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Lille: 2.41 to 1.52 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 89th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Lille beat Monaco 1–0 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Olivier Giroud (90’, assisted by Matias Fernandez-Pardo).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Olivier Giroud’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
W. Delajod showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Nabil Bentaleb (86’); Monaco: Lamine Camara (87’) and Christian Mawissa Elebi (90+7’).
What it changes
Lille stay fifth after this result (two league matches played).
Monaco move down from first to eighth (shared) (two league matches played).
Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexsandro Ribeiro (Lille) 7.0, Olivier Giroud (Lille) 6.5 and Ayyoub Bouaddi (Lille) 5.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Lille or Monaco (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.
Monaco next host SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Monaco: Monaco v SC Freiburg, Thursday 22 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Lille 1–0 Monaco · Ligue 1
- Referee: W. Delajod
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 3 · draws 2 · Monaco 1 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Lille 2W 2D 1L · Monaco 3W 1D 1L
Lille 1–0 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lille for / against | Line | Monaco for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: W. Delajod — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 26 fouls over 9 matches (1.78 to the home side, 1.67 to the away side).
Lille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. André n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 49.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| O. Giroud n 8 | 45.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| T. Meunier n 8 | 71 | 1.6 | 0.2 | — |
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 41.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Giroud n 8 | 45.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 81.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Félix Correia n 8 | 82.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Giroud n 8 | 45.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 81.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 41.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Félix Correia n 8 | 82.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. André n 8 | 90 | 4.9 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 3 |
| N. Ngoy n 8 | 84.4 | 2.8 |
| Ismaily n 8 | 66 | 2.7 |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 51.5 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Özer n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
| L. Chevalier n 8 | 90.9 | 2.1 |
Monaco
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Michal n 8 | 12.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | — |
| S. Magassa n 8 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.2 | — |
| K. Diatta n 8 | 20.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| W. Singo n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 75.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ilenikhena n 8 | 20.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 31.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| E. Ben Seghir n 8 | 32.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Al Musrati n 8 | 41.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| L. Michal n 8 | 12.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Zakaria n 8 | 79.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 77.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Ilenikhena n 8 | 20.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| E. Dier n 8 | 89.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Magassa n 8 | 36 | 4.7 |
| Vanderson n 8 | 52.4 | 3.9 |
| Al Musrati n 8 | 41.4 | 3.3 |
| E. Ben Seghir n 8 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| L. Michal n 8 | 12.6 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| P. Köhn n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Lille | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 2.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 13 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 417 | Passes | 425 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
Lille player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| T. Meunier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Ngoy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| R. Perraud | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Bouaddi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. André | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Haraldsson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| O. Giroud | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Félix Correia | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| N. Mukau | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo sub | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Bentaleb sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
Monaco player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Dier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Mawissa Elebi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.2 |
| L. Camara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| D. Zakaria | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Akliouche | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Balogun | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Caio Henrique | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Teze | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Golovin | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Minamino | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Biereth sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Vanderson sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Ben Seghir sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Ouattara sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lille v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-22 Lille 2–1 Monaco
- 2024-10-18 Monaco 0–0 Lille
- 2024-04-24 Monaco 1–0 Lille
- 2023-10-29 Lille 2–0 Monaco
- 2023-05-14 Monaco 0–0 Lille
- 2022-10-23 Lille 4–3 Monaco
Shot map and expected goals
Lille 2.41 xG from 18 shots, Monaco 1.52 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 18 | 1 | 2.41 |
| Monaco | 6 | 0 | 1.52 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Lille v Monaco?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Monaco was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Monaco?
- In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 3, Monaco won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lille and Monaco?
- Recent form — Lille 2W 2D 1L; Monaco 3W 1D 1L.
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