Lille v Monaco result

Full-time · Lille 1–0 Monaco

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lille 1–0 Monaco — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lille: 2.41 to 1.52 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 89th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lille beat Monaco 1–0 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Olivier Giroud (90’, assisted by Matias Fernandez-Pardo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Olivier Giroud’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

W. Delajod showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Nabil Bentaleb (86’); Monaco: Lamine Camara (87’) and Christian Mawissa Elebi (90+7’).

What it changes

Lille stay fifth after this result (two league matches played).

Monaco move down from first to eighth (shared) (two league matches played).

Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexsandro Ribeiro (Lille) 7.0, Olivier Giroud (Lille) 6.5 and Ayyoub Bouaddi (Lille) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lille or Monaco (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.

Monaco next host SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Monaco: Monaco v SC Freiburg, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Lille 1–0 Monaco · Ligue 1
  • Referee: W. Delajod
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 3 · draws 2 · Monaco 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lille 2W 2D 1L · Monaco 3W 1D 1L

Lille 1–0 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.63 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · W. Delajod
1.78 home / 1.67 away
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLille for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: W. Delajod — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 26 fouls over 9 matches (1.78 to the home side, 1.67 to the away side).

Lille
Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. André n 890
1.84/4
1.87/4
—
A. Bouaddi n 849.4
1.85/2
0.93/1
—
O. Giroud n 845.4
1.74/3
1.53/2
—
T. Meunier n 871
1.65/3
0.21/0
—
Chuba Akpom n 841.4
1.64/2
2.26/1
—
Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Giroud n 845.4
3.26/4
1.74/2
R. Cabella n 859.5
1.96/3
0.42/0
Chuba Akpom n 841.4
1.94/2
0.82/1
Jonathan David n 881.8
1.76/3
0.83/2
Félix Correia n 882.1
1.15/2
0.84/2
Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Giroud n 845.4
0.73/0
0.21/0
R. Cabella n 859.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Jonathan David n 881.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
Chuba Akpom n 841.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Félix Correia n 882.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. André n 890
4.98/7
R. Cabella n 859.5
37/5
N. Ngoy n 884.4
2.88/7
Ismaily n 866
2.76/5
G. Gudmundsson n 851.5
2.46/4
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 890
3.27/4
L. Chevalier n 890.9
2.15/4
Monaco
Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Michal n 812.6
3.63/1
3.64/0
—
S. Magassa n 836
2.85/3
2.24/1
—
K. Diatta n 820.5
2.24/0
1.62/1
—
W. Singo n 890
1.68/3
1.35/2
—
T. Kehrer n 875.1
1.67/4
0.42/1
—
Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 820.3
3.33/2
2.23/1
F. Balogun n 831.1
2.55/1
1.84/1
E. Ben Seghir n 832.6
2.45/2
0.71/1
Al Musrati n 841.4
2.24/3
0.83/0
L. Michal n 812.6
1.82/0
0.91/0
Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Zakaria n 879.3
0.43/0
0.43/0
M. Akliouche n 877.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
G. Ilenikhena n 820.3
0.61/0
00/0
E. Dier n 889.5
0.54/0
00/0
F. Balogun n 831.1
0.41/0
00/0
Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Magassa n 836
4.77/4
Vanderson n 852.4
3.96/4
Al Musrati n 841.4
3.34/4
E. Ben Seghir n 832.6
2.85/3
L. Michal n 812.6
2.72/1
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
2.97/5
P. Köhn n 890
2.56/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LilleMonaco
50%Possession50%
2.92Expected goals (xG)1.25
18Shots6
1Shots on target1
13Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box5
8Corners3
2Offsides0
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves0
417Passes425
83%Pass accuracy80%

Lille player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000107.9
T. Meunier9000200006.9
N. Ngoy9000402107
Alexsandro Ribeiro9000000307.9
R. Perraud9000101307.5
A. Bouaddi9000000207.2
B. André9000102207.3
H. Haraldsson9000202006.7
O. Giroud9010414107.6
Félix Correia8100003107.5
N. Mukau6000000106.9
M. Fernandez-Pardo sub3001001007.2
N. Bentaleb sub9000000Y6.7

Monaco player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000006.5
E. Dier9000000006.5
C. Mawissa Elebi90000003Y6.2
L. Camara90000021Y6.7
D. Zakaria9000000106.2
M. Akliouche9000211207.3
F. Balogun9000100006.5
Caio Henrique8500000106.9
J. Teze7400000206.9
A. Golovin7400000307.2
T. Minamino7400000006.3
M. Biereth sub1600100006
Vanderson sub1600101006.5
E. Ben Seghir sub1600000006.3
K. Ouattara sub1400000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lille v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LilleWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
MonacoDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lille 3 · 2 draws · Monaco 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 Lille 2–1 Monaco
  • 2024-10-18 Monaco 0–0 Lille
  • 2024-04-24 Monaco 1–0 Lille
  • 2023-10-29 Lille 2–0 Monaco
  • 2023-05-14 Monaco 0–0 Lille
  • 2022-10-23 Lille 4–3 Monaco
League standing · 2025/26
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Lille scored1.53
Monaco scored1.76
Lille conceded1.09
Monaco conceded1.59

Shot map and expected goals

Lille 2.41 xG from 18 shots, Monaco 1.52 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Olivier Giroud 98' · 0.76 xGMaghnes Akliouche 8' · 0.53 xGFolarin Balogun 13' · 0.39 xGMika Biereth 98' · 0.38 xGOlivier Giroud 72' · 0.35 xGHákon Haraldsson 20' · 0.32 xGMaghnes Akliouche 38' · 0.09 xGVanderson 76' · 0.09 xGBenjamin André 79' · 0.09 xGOlivier Giroud 60' · 0.08 xGNathan Ngoy 67' · 0.06 xGHákon Haraldsson 27' · 0.05 xGMaghnes Akliouche 77' · 0.04 xGNathan Ngoy 16' · 0.04 xGNathan Ngoy 50' · 0.04 xGThomas Meunier 18' · 0.03 xGRomain Perraud 79' · 0.03 xGHákon Haraldsson 89' · 0.02 xGAyyoub Bouaddi 89' · 0.02 xGThomas Meunier 33' · 0.02 xGRomain Perraud 59' · 0.02 xGAyyoub Bouaddi 59' · 0.02 xGNathan Ngoy 84' · 0.01 xGOlivier Giroud 90' · 0.47 xG · goal
Lille (attacking right)Monaco (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lille1812.41
Monaco601.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lille v Monaco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Monaco was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 3, Monaco won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Monaco?
Recent form — Lille 2W 2D 1L; Monaco 3W 1D 1L.

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