Monaco v SC Freiburg prediction
Team pages: Monaco · SC Freiburg
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Monaco v SC Freiburg, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Monaco host SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Monaco or SC Freiburg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
13 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 12 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
SC Freiburg have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Monaco have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.17.
Away from home, SC Freiburg have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.50.
Monaco (ninth) and SC Freiburg (seventh) are level on points, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Predicted Monaco XI (4-4-2): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, E. Dier, C. Mawissa Elebi, Vanderson, L. Camara, S. Idumbo-Muzambo, D. Zakaria, E. Diop, P. Brunner, M. Biereth — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (6.0 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Mamadou Coulibaly (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 660 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Mamadou Coulibaly averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 276 minutes.
Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, M. Rosenfelder, P. Treu, C. Günter, M. Eggestein, Y. Suzuki, Y. Engelhardt, C. Irié, D. Scherhant, I. Matanović — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.5 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 888 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
The referee
S. Barrott takes charge; across the last 29 matches refereed (all competitions) the referee has shown 3.3 yellow cards a game and 0.00 reds.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Stade Louis II
- Referee: S. Barrott
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Monaco 2W 2D 1L · SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L
Monaco v SC Freiburg (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monaco for / against | Line | SC Freiburg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.63 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.25 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Barrott.
Monaco
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Soubeir n 7 | 22 | 2.9 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Detourbet n 8 | 37 | 2.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Flávio Nazinho n 8 | 82.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Golovin n 8 | 80.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Zakaria n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 82.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 57 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| M. Abline n 8 | 45.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Pape Cabral n 7 | 17.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| T. Minamino n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 82.5 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 68.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Ansu Fati n 8 | 56.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| M. Biereth n 8 | 26.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Golovin n 8 | 80.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pape Cabral n 7 | 17.3 | 6 |
| A. Soubeir n 7 | 22 | 4.7 |
| Vanderson n 8 | 74.1 | 3.6 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 68.1 | 3.1 |
| L. Camara n 8 | 86.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
SC Freiburg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Goto n 8 | 23.6 | 3.8 | 1 | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 8 | 34.1 | 2.3 | 1 | — |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 79.3 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| I. Matanović n 8 | 65 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| Y. Engelhardt n 8 | 74.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 8 | 34.1 | 4 | 1 |
| I. Matanović n 8 | 65 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| V. Grifo n 8 | 31.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 79.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| L. Höler n 8 | 32.6 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Grifo n 8 | 31.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Eggestein n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 79.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Y. Suzuki n 8 | 77.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| L. Kübler n 8 | 40.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Rosenfelder n 8 | 60.9 | 3.7 |
| Berkay Yilmaz n 8 | 59.8 | 3 |
| P. Treu n 8 | 75.1 | 2.2 |
| I. Ogbus n 8 | 44.5 | 2 |
| M. Ginter n 8 | 88.5 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Monaco v SC Freiburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Monaco v SC Freiburg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v SC Freiburg is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betfair).
- What is the recent form of Monaco and SC Freiburg?
- Recent form — Monaco 2W 2D 1L; SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L.
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