Lille v Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lille · Strasbourg · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Strasbourg, Ligue 1 on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lille host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lille have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Form and the table

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Lille have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.50. Lille have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.00. Strasbourg have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Strasbourg have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lille (second) and Strasbourg (13th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lille the stronger side, 150 rating points above Strasbourg (Lille 1779, Strasbourg 1629, after at least 328 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Strasbourg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lille. The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Lille 1–4 Strasbourg.

Team news

Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, N. Ngoy, A. Ribeiro, T. Nianzou, R. Perraud, B. André, N. Mukau, N. Bentaleb, D. Bakwa, M. Kjærgaard, H. Haraldsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soriba Diaoune (4.4 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soriba Diaoune averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 342 minutes, with a shot in three of the last six appearances. Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, Oso, J. Mitchell, G. Antwi, A. Coulibaly, G. Reyna, P. Diop, D. Essugo, C. Harder, G. Yassine, J. Ortega — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (7.0 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Oso (3.9 per match over seven appearances, two assists) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 957 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Oso averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 786 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 1 · draws 1 · Strasbourg 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Lille 1W 3D 1L · Strasbourg 1W 0D 4L

Lille v Strasbourg (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 2.63

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lille for / against	Line	Strasbourg for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Özer	12	901080 min	393.3 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
Orlando Gill	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	3 6/5

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Ngoy	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90	383.2 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
Alexsandro Ribeiro	11	90990 min	181.6 /90	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	504.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
R. Perraud	11	77852 min	192 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	424.4 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Tiago Santos	7	80562 min	132.1 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90	386.1 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
M. Goffi	6	70422 min	112.3 /90	81.7 /90	00 /90	214.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 4/1	2.4 7/6	—
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1	—
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.7 6/2	0.5 2/1	—
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.9 5/1	1 4/3	—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.6 3/1
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.9 5/1
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 5/2
N. Mukau n 8	78	2 6/3
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	90	1.6 6/5
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Bakwa	11	57632 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	131.9 /90	50.7 /90	101.4 /90	81.1 /90
O. Giroud	10	47466 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
A. Ueda	6	64382 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
G. Perrin	6	35208 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90
S. Diaoune	5	67334 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	92.4 /90	41.1 /90	61.6 /90	113 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 7/1	0.5 3/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Jörgensen	9	90810 min	323.6 /90	121.3 /90	00 /90

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 8	90	3.5 7/5

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Antwi	8	89709 min	162 /90	81 /90	30.4 /90	293.7 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
J. Mitchell	8	80640 min	162.3 /90	142 /90	60.8 /90	334.6 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
Oso	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	334.7 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly	6	66395 min	00 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	122.7 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
I. Doukouré	4	79316 min	41.1 /90	30.9 /90	51.4 /90	164.6 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Jörgensen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Gessime Yassine n 8	84.6	1.6 7/4	3.1 7/7	—
G. Reyna n 8	69.3	0.6 4/0	0.8 4/1	—
G. Antwi n 8	88.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0	—
J. Mitchell n 8	80	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gessime Yassine n 8	84.6	2.9 8/7
G. Reyna n 8	69.3	1 4/2
G. Antwi n 8	88.6	2 7/6
J. Mitchell n 8	80	2.3 6/6
P. Diop n 8	71.1	3.5 7/7
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gessime Yassine	9	85767 min	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	151.8 /90	91.1 /90	101.2 /90	263.1 /90
C. Harder	7	52366 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	102.5 /90	61.5 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90
J. Ortega	7	50349 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.5 /90	51.3 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw	5	44222 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	72.8 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	72.8 /90
S. Mara	2	4284 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Jörgensen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gessime Yassine n 8	84.6	1.7 5/5	1.1 5/2
G. Reyna n 8	69.3	1.5 5/3	0.8 4/1
G. Antwi n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mitchell n 8	80	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Jörgensen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gessime Yassine n 8	84.6	0.5 2/2	0.4 3/0
G. Reyna n 8	69.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
G. Antwi n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mitchell n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lille v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LilleDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

StrasbourgLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lille 1 · 1 draw · Strasbourg 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-01-25 Lille 1–4 Strasbourg
2025-11-09 Strasbourg 2–0 Lille
2025-01-25 Strasbourg 2–1 Lille
2024-09-21 Lille 3–3 Strasbourg
2024-04-21 Lille 1–0 Strasbourg
2023-12-20 Strasbourg 2–1 Lille

League standing · 2026/27

Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD

Strasbourg#13 pos10 pts9 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Lille scored1.33

Strasbourg scored1.89

Lille conceded0.67

Strasbourg conceded2.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Strasbourg?: In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 1, Strasbourg won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Strasbourg?: Recent form — Lille 1W 3D 1L; Strasbourg 1W 0D 4L.

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