Lorient v Lens prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade du Moustoir

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Lens, Ligue 1 on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lorient host Lens in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lorient have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Lorient have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25. Lorient have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lorient have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Lens have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43. Lens have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lorient (seventh) and Lens (eighth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 108 rating points above Lorient (Lens 1723, Lorient 1615, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Lens 0–1 Lorient.

Team news

Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, D. Sylla, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, T. Le Bris, N. Mbamba, P. Katseris, J. Makengo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dembo Sylla (3.5 per match over seven appearances) and Noah Cadiou (3.5 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dembo Sylla averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 612 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Noah Cadiou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, R. Aguilar, M. Cuisance, Y. Titraoui, M. Skóraś, A. Bulatović, M. Udol, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 862 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 738 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade du Moustoir
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 2 · draws 1 · Lens 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lorient 3W 1D 1L · Lens 2W 1D 2L

Lorient v Lens (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 7.13
Corners
against 5 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLorient for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Lorient
Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kone n 845.4
2.25/3
1.76/1
—
Souleymane Isaak Touré n 852.9
1.96/3
0.93/1
—
I. Baldé n 863.3
1.64/4
0.74/0
—
P. Pagis n 873.9
1.58/2
1.87/3
—
J. Makengo n 883.1
1.46/3
37/7
—
Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kone n 845.4
3.56/5
25/2
B. Dieng n 854.4
3.15/5
1.24/2
A. Tosin n 828
2.85/2
0.81/1
P. Pagis n 873.9
2.37/4
0.53/0
I. Baldé n 863.3
2.17/3
1.14/1
Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Baldé n 863.3
0.93/1
00/0
P. Katseris n 854.5
00/0
0.83/1
M. Kone n 845.4
0.52/0
00/0
P. Pagis n 873.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Dieng n 854.4
0.42/0
00/0
Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Avom n 855
3.16/4
T. Le Bris n 857
2.68/4
N. Mbamba n 864.9
2.46/4
A. Faye n 880.9
2.18/6
P. Katseris n 854.5
2.16/2
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.65/4
Lens
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ivanović n 847.4
2.46/3
0.52/0
—
T. Hazard n 831.5
1.85/0
1.12/1
—
M. Skóraś n 852.1
1.75/2
1.77/1
—
R. Aguilar n 862.5
1.65/2
0.53/0
—
M. Cuisance n 868.1
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
37/6
1.76/5
O. Édouard n 839
2.96/3
1.45/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
2.62/2
0.61/0
T. Hazard n 831.5
2.55/2
0.41/0
J. Kadile n 866.6
27/3
1.45/2
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
0.32/0
0.63/2
A. Sima n 869.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
R. Aguilar n 862.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Sotoca n 839.6
0.62/0
00/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
00/0
0.61/0
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bulatović n 870
3.47/6
S. Sagnan n 477.5
3.23/3
Yassine Titraoui n 866.6
2.76/4
R. Aguilar n 862.5
2.75/4
Saud Abdulhamid n 874.6
2.46/4
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.68/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LorientWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LensDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lorient 2 · 1 draw · Lens 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Lens 0–1 Lorient
  • 2026-03-14 Lorient 2–1 Lens
  • 2025-11-02 Lens 3–0 Lorient
  • 2024-05-03 Lens 2–0 Lorient
  • 2023-11-04 Lorient 0–0 Lens
  • 2023-05-21 Lorient 1–3 Lens
League standing · 2026/27
Lorient#7 pos11 pts7 pl+1 GD
Lens#8 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Lorient scored1
Lens scored2
Lorient conceded0.86
Lens conceded1.57

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 2, Lens won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Lens?
Recent form — Lorient 3W 1D 1L; Lens 2W 1D 2L.

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