Lyon v Nice prediction
Team pages: Lyon · Nice · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Lyon vs Nice, Ligue 1 on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.
The match
Lyon host Nice in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Lyon to win.
Form and the table
11 of Lyon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Lyon have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.50. Lyon have scored 11 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyon have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Nice’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Nice’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Nice have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25. Nice have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nice have conceded seven goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Lyon (fourth) and Nice (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 173 rating points above Nice (Lyon 1775, Nice 1602, after at least 326 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Lyon 2–0 Nice.
Team news
Lyon have three names on the availability list: L. Openda (out, Leg Injury), M. Ouedraogo (out, Knee Injury) and N. Tagliafico (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Lyon XI (4-2-3-1): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, F. Bacher, Abner, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, M. Bidstrup, T. Morton, E. Nuamah, P. Šulc, K. Boudache — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.6 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 945 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Nice have five names on the availability list: A. Mendy (out, Knee Injury), L. Abergel (out, Knee Injury), M. Bombito (out, Leg Injury), M. Sanson (out, Knee Injury) and A. Abdi (doubtful, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Nice XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Diouf, X. Mandza, Y. Ndayishimiye, M. Abdelmonem, J. Clauss, D. Coulibaly, A. Witsel, N. Nkounkou, M. Bard, E. Pereira, G. Hein — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jonathan Clauss (3.8 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Niels Nkounkou (3.8 per match over four appearances) have been Nice’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nice (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jonathan Clauss averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 518 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last six appearances. Niels Nkounkou averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 313 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc Olympique Lyonnais
- Referee: Francois Letexier
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Lyon 4 · draws 1 · Nice 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Lyon 3W 1D 1L · Nice 2W 1D 2L
TACTIX runs Lyon v Nice (Ligue 1) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lyon for / against | Line | Nice for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.63 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Francois Letexier.
Lyon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Niakhaté n 8 | 84.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Tagliafico n 8 | 63.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Ouédraogo n 8 | 55.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loïs Openda n 8 | 58.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| K. Boudache n 8 | 32.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| M. Fofana n 8 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| A. Maitland-Niles n 8 | 69 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Merah n 8 | 53.1 | 4.9 |
| M. Bidstrup n 8 | 49.5 | 4.1 |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 2.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 2.2 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Greif n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| R. Descamps n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Nice
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Pereira n 8 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Coulibaly n 8 | 71 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 46 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| C. Vanhoutte n 8 | 70.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cho n 8 | 38.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| E. Wahi n 8 | 57.4 | 2 | 1.2 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Nathan N'Goumou n 8 | 30.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diop n 8 | 48.4 | 0 | 0.7 |
| T. Louchet n 8 | 48.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Cho n 8 | 38.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Dante n 8 | 74.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 46 | 4.9 |
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 3.4 |
| C. Vanhoutte n 8 | 70.5 | 3.2 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 51.6 | 2.6 |
| T. Louchet n 8 | 48.9 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lyon v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-15 Lyon 2–0 Nice
- 2025-10-18 Nice 3–2 Lyon
- 2025-03-09 Nice 0–2 Lyon
- 2024-12-01 Lyon 4–1 Nice
- 2024-02-16 Lyon 1–0 Nice
- 2023-08-27 Nice 0–0 Lyon
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Lyon vs Nice?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Nice is Home win (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Nice?
- In their last 6 meetings, Lyon won 4, Nice won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lyon and Nice?
- Recent form — Lyon 3W 1D 1L; Nice 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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