Monaco v Le Havre result

Full-time · Monaco 3–1 Le Havre

Ligue 1 · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 18:00 BST · Stade Louis II

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 3–1 Le Havre — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monaco: 1.88 to 0.43 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Monaco beat Le Havre 3–1 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Saturday 16 August. Le Havre have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Monaco led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Le Havre: an own goal by Gautier Lloris (32’) and Rassoul Ndiaye (67’, assisted by Y. Kechta); Monaco: Eric Dier (61’, assisted by Lamine Camara) and Maghnes Akliouche (74’, assisted by D. Zakaria).

Discipline

R. Buquet showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Havre: Gautier Lloris (89’).

What it changes

Monaco are first after this result (one league match played).

Le Havre are 18th after this result (one league match played).

Monaco’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eric Dier (Monaco) 7.3, D. Zakaria (Monaco) 6.6 and Lamine Camara (Monaco) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.7% of the time in the last 90 days (87 of 165).

Next up

Monaco next host SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026.

Le Havre next travel to Marseille on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Monaco v SC Freiburg, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Le Havre: Marseille v Le Havre, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Monaco 3–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
Referee: R. Buquet
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Monaco 1 · draws 3 · Le Havre 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Monaco 2W 2D 1L · Le Havre 2W 1D 2L

Monaco 3–1 Le Havre (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.63

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.83 yellows

Referee · R. Buquet

1.25 home / 1.58 away

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Monaco for / against	Line	Le Havre for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Buquet — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.42 fouls over 12 matches (1.25 to the home side, 1.58 to the away side).

Home 1.25Away 1.58

Monaco

Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Michal n 8	12.6	3.6 3/1	3.6 4/0	—
S. Magassa n 8	36	2.8 5/3	2.2 4/1	—
K. Diatta n 8	20.5	2.2 4/0	1.6 2/1	—
G. Ilenikhena n 8	22.8	2 3/1	1 1/1	—
D. Zakaria n 8	79.3	1.8 7/4	1.1 6/2	—

Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 8	22.8	4.5 4/3	3.5 4/2
F. Balogun n 8	31.1	2.5 5/1	1.8 4/1
Al Musrati n 8	41.4	2.2 4/3	0.8 3/0
M. Akliouche n 8	77.6	1.9 6/5	1 4/3
E. Ben Seghir n 8	34.9	1.9 4/2	0.6 1/1

Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 8	22.8	1.5 2/1	0 0/0
D. Zakaria n 8	79.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
M. Akliouche n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0.6 3/1
M. Biereth n 8	74.3	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
F. Balogun n 8	31.1	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Magassa n 8	36	4.7 7/4
Vanderson n 8	57.5	3.5 6/4
Al Musrati n 8	41.4	3.3 4/4
L. Michal n 8	12.6	2.7 2/1
L. Camara n 8	73.1	2.6 6/4

Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 8	90	2.5 6/5

Le Havre

Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Koka n 8	43.3	2.1 6/2	0 0/0	—
J. Mwanga n 8	90	1.8 8/4	0.6 3/2	—
Y. Kechta n 8	73.4	1.7 6/4	1.2 5/2	—
A. Ayew n 8	48.3	1.6 7/0	1.4 5/1	—
Mahamadou Diawara n 8	21.3	1.6 3/0	0.5 1/0	—

Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Housni n 8	11.1	2 2/0	0 0/0
R. Ndiaye n 8	12.3	1.8 2/0	0.9 1/0
I. Soumaré n 8	78.5	1.7 5/4	0.7 4/1
A. Touré n 8	89.1	1.6 5/5	0.9 4/3
A. Ayew n 8	48.3	1.6 5/2	0.7 3/0

Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Touré n 8	89.1	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
Koka n 8	43.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Mwanga n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Casimir n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
I. Soumaré n 8	78.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Ndiaye n 8	12.3	6.4 2/2
T. Pembélé n 8	51.5	3.7 4/4
Y. Zouaoui n 8	47.5	2.8 7/4
L. Négo n 8	89.8	2.6 8/6
Mahamadou Diawara n 8	21.3	2.6 3/2

Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Gorgelin n 8	90	3.6 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Monaco		Le Havre
74%	Possession	26%
1.76	Expected goals (xG)	0.60
13	Shots	9
3	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	3
5	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	5
5	Corners	4
5	Offsides	1
5	Fouls	14
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
725	Passes	243
89%	Pass accuracy	72%

Monaco player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
L. Hrádecký	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
E. Dier	90	1	0	1	1	1	0	8.7
C. Mawissa Elebi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Caio Henrique	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
D. Zakaria	90	0	1	0	0	3	1	8.3
M. Akliouche	90	1	0	2	1	1	1	7.2
A. Golovin	89	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.2
T. Minamino	81	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.2
M. Biereth	80	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.7
J. Teze	63	0	0	1	0	0	1	7.3
L. Camara	63	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.2
Vanderson sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	3	6.9
E. Ben Seghir sub	27	0	0	1	0	0	2	6.2
Paris Josua Brunner sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Bamba sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
G. Ilenikhena sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Le Havre player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Diaw	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
A. Seko	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
G. Lloris	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.3
Y. Zouaoui	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Y. Kechta	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.3
I. Soumaré	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
R. Ndiaye	79	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.5
A. Sangante	78	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.7
É. Youté	78	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Y. Namli	58	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
S. Ebonog	58	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
F. Doucouré sub	32	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6
M. Samatta sub	32	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.9
F. Mambimbi sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
G. Kyeremeh sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
D. Mosengo sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Le Havre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MonacoDDWWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Le HavreLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Monaco 1 · 3 draws · Le Havre 0 · 2 goals/game

2025-04-26 Le Havre 1–1 Monaco
2024-09-22 Monaco 3–1 Le Havre
2024-02-04 Monaco 1–1 Le Havre
2023-11-11 Le Havre 0–0 Monaco

League standing · 2025/26

Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD

Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Monaco scored1.76

Le Havre scored0.94

Monaco conceded1.59

Le Havre conceded1.29

Shot map and expected goals

Monaco 1.88 xG from 13 shots, Le Havre 0.43 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Monaco (attacking right)Le Havre (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Monaco	13	2	1.88
Le Havre	10	1	0.43

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Le Havre?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Le Havre was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Le Havre?: In their last 4 meetings, Monaco won 1, Le Havre won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Le Havre?: Recent form — Monaco 2W 2D 1L; Le Havre 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.