Monaco v Lille prediction
Team pages: Monaco · Lille · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Monaco v Lille, Ligue 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.
The match
Monaco host Lille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Monaco or Lille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Monaco have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.17. Monaco have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lille have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. Lille have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lille have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Monaco (fifth) and Lille (fourth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monaco the stronger side, 27 rating points above Lille (Monaco 1750, Lille 1723, after at least 327 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Lille are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Monaco. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Monaco 0–1 Lille.
Team news
Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, F. Nazinho, Vanderson, E. Dier, L. Camara, A. Golovin, D. Zakaria, S. Idumbo-Muzambo, M. Coulibaly, P. Brunner — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (6.0 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Mamadou Coulibaly (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 660 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Mamadou Coulibaly averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 276 minutes.
Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, A. Ribeiro, N. Ngoy, R. Perraud, T. Santos, N. Bentaleb, H. Haraldsson, N. Mukau, E. Mbappé, B. André, O. Giroud — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Alexsandro Ribeiro (3.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Alexsandro Ribeiro averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Louis II
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 1 · draws 1 · Lille 4 · 1.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Monaco 2W 2D 1L · Lille 2W 1D 2L
Monaco v Lille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monaco for / against | Line | Lille for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Monaco
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Soubeir n 7 | 22 | 2.9 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Detourbet n 8 | 37 | 2.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Flávio Nazinho n 8 | 82.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Golovin n 8 | 80.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Zakaria n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 82.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 57 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| M. Abline n 8 | 45.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Pape Cabral n 7 | 17.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| T. Minamino n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 82.5 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 68.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Ansu Fati n 8 | 56.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| M. Biereth n 8 | 26.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Golovin n 8 | 80.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pape Cabral n 7 | 17.3 | 6 |
| A. Soubeir n 7 | 22 | 4.7 |
| Vanderson n 8 | 74.1 | 3.6 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 68.1 | 3.1 |
| L. Camara n 8 | 86.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Lille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | — |
| B. André n 8 | 68.1 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| C. Verdonk n 8 | 22.5 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| G. Perrin n 8 | 29.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 3 | 2.2 |
| M. Kjærgaard n 8 | 40.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 56.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Tiago Santos n 8 | 71.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| O. Giroud n 8 | 45.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Kjærgaard n 8 | 40.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Félix Correia n 8 | 65.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Verdonk n 8 | 22.5 | 4.5 |
| B. André n 8 | 68.1 | 3 |
| N. Mukau n 8 | 53.4 | 2.7 |
| G. Perrin n 8 | 29.1 | 2.7 |
| R. Perraud n 8 | 76 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Gill n 8 | 91.8 | 4 |
| B. Özer n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Monaco v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-10 Monaco 0–1 Lille
- 2025-08-24 Lille 1–0 Monaco
- 2025-02-22 Lille 2–1 Monaco
- 2024-10-18 Monaco 0–0 Lille
- 2024-04-24 Monaco 1–0 Lille
- 2023-10-29 Lille 2–0 Monaco
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Monaco v Lille?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Lille is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lille?
- In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 1, Lille won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Monaco and Lille?
- Recent form — Monaco 2W 2D 1L; Lille 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.