Paris FC v Metz result

Full-time · Paris FC 3–2 Metz

Ligue 1 · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 16:15 BST · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris FC · Metz · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris FC 3–2 Metz — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 188 of 276 times (68.1%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 3.41 to 1.63 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 24 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 66th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC beat Metz 3–2 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 31 August. It is Paris FC’s first win over Metz since 22 September 2018, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Metz: Sadibou Sané (22’, assisted by Gauthier Hein) and Boubacar Traoré (54’, assisted by Giorgi Tsitaishvili); Paris FC: Ilan Kebbal (45’ pen; 52’, assisted by Moses Simon) and Moses Simon (67’, assisted by Maxime Lopez). Sadibou Sané (80’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Moses Simon’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

G. Angoula showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris FC: Otávio (69’); Metz: Sadibou Sané (45+1’).

What it changes

Paris FC move up from 18th to 15th (shared) (three league matches played). Paris FC have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Metz stay 18th after this result (three league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 72 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

Metz have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ilan Kebbal (Paris FC) 13.8, Moses Simon (Paris FC) 8.7 and Boubacar Traoré (Metz) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Metz are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Paris FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris FC to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.

Metz next travel to Kellermann on 15 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Metz: Kellermann v Metz, Sunday 15 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Paris FC 3–2 Metz · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
Referee: G. Angoula
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Paris FC 1 · draws 1 · Metz 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Paris FC 1W 2D 2L · Metz 2W 1D 2L

Paris FC 3–2 Metz (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4

Corners

against 4 / 4.33 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 3 matches

5 / 1.67

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.29 / 1.67

Cards

against 2.57 / 1.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 3 matches

3.33 yellows

Referee · G. Angoula

24.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Paris FC for / against	Line	Metz for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	13.29 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	8.33 for · 10.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	1.67 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.67 for · 13.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	1.29 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.67 for · 1.67 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: G. Angoula — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Nkambadio	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Nkambadio n 8	84.4	1.7 5/2

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Mbow	2	90180 min	63 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90	115.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
S. Chergui	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
N. Sangui	2	87173 min	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	73.6 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Otávio	1	9090 min	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90	66 /90	22 /90	00 /90
T. Kolodziejczak	1	8585 min	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Chergui n 8	80.6	1.3 5/2	0.1 1/0	Sadibou Sané
M. Lopez n 8	90	1.1 6/2	1.4 5/4	B. Traoré
M. Mbow n 8	89.1	1.1 6/3	0.9 5/1	Sadibou Sané
I. Kebbal n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	2.1 7/5	—
O. Nkambadio n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	89.1	2.1 8/4
M. Lopez n 8	90	1.5 7/3
I. Kebbal n 8	74.5	1.4 5/2
S. Chergui n 8	80.6	0.7 3/1
V. Marchetti n 8	72.8	1.1 5/2
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Kebbal	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	31.5 /90
M. Simon	2	68136 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.6 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90	32 /90
J. Krasso	2	4487 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.1 /90	33.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
W. Geubbels	1	6464 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Lopez	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Kebbal n 8	74.5	1.4 6/2	0.6 3/1
M. Lopez n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
M. Mbow n 8	89.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
O. Nkambadio n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Chergui n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Kebbal n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/0
M. Lopez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1
M. Mbow n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Nkambadio n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Chergui n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Fischer	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Gbamin	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Sadibou Sané	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90	84 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
K. Kouao	2	87174 min	42.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	105.2 /90	63.1 /90	21 /90
U. Mboula	2	66131 min	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	85.5 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
B. Stambouli	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	105 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Stambouli n 8	88.8	1.3 6/3	1 5/2	—
Sadibou Sané n 8	83.6	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/1	M. Mbow
B. Traoré n 8	80.6	2.9 7/7	1 4/2	M. Lopez
K. Kouao n 8	81.4	1.8 7/3	1.7 5/4	—
U. Mboula n 4	77.8	0.6 2/0	2.6 4/3	—
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Stambouli n 8	88.8	3.7 7/7
Sadibou Sané n 8	83.6	2.3 7/6
K. Kouao n 8	81.4	2.8 7/4
B. Traoré n 8	80.6	2.4 8/5
U. Mboula n 4	77.8	1.2 3/1
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Brian Madjo	2	70139 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Ibou Sané	2	2345 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90
B. Stambouli	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90
B. Traoré	2	87174 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90
G. Tsitaishvili	2	76152 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	53 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sadibou Sané n 8	83.6	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
B. Stambouli n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Traoré n 8	80.6	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
K. Kouao n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
U. Mboula n 4	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Stambouli n 8	88.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sadibou Sané n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Kouao n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Traoré n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
U. Mboula n 4	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris FC		Metz
51%	Possession	49%
3.21	Expected goals (xG)	1.84
24	Shots	14
9	Shots on target	2
12	Shots off target	7
3	Blocked shots	5
19	Shots inside the box	10
14	Corners	6
0	Offsides	1
4	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	1
0	Saves	6
485	Passes	472
88%	Pass accuracy	88%

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Trapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Chergui	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
M. Mbow	90	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	6.7
Otávio	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.2
M. Lopez	90	0	1	1	1	8	0	0	7.2
I. Kebbal	90	2	0	3	3	3	0	0	9.6
V. Marchetti	89	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	7
M. Simon	89	1	1	3	1	1	0	0	8.5
T. De Smet	77	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
A. Camara	66	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.6
W. Geubbels	66	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.7
J. Krasso sub	24	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.2
P. Lees-Melou sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
N. Sangui sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
N. Dicko sub	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	–
M. Cafaro sub	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	–

Metz Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Fischer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
K. Kouao	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	6.6
J. Gbamin	90	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	6.7
B. Stambouli	90	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	6.9
G. Hein	90	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.3
B. Traoré	89	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	8
I. Gueye	89	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Sadibou Sané	80	1	0	1	1	0	2	RY	6.3
T. Yegbe	77	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.6
G. Tsitaishvili	62	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	6.3
Giorgi Abuashvili	62	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.3
Ibou Sané sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Bokele Mputu sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Touré sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Brian Madjo sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
J. Deminguet sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Metz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris FCDDWLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

MetzWDWLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Paris FC 1 · 1 draw · Metz 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-01-18 Metz 3–1 Paris FC
2024-09-14 Paris FC 1–2 Metz
2023-04-29 Metz 1–1 Paris FC
2022-11-12 Paris FC 1–4 Metz
2019-02-22 Metz 2–0 Paris FC
2018-09-22 Paris FC 2–1 Metz

League standing · 2025/26

Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD

Metz#18 pos17 pts34 pl-44 GD

Goals per game

Paris FC scored1.38

Metz scored0.94

Paris FC conceded1.47

Metz conceded2.24

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris FC 3.41 xG from 24 shots, Metz 1.63 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paris FC (attacking right)Metz (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Paris FC	24	3	3.41
Metz	14	2	1.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Paris FC 0.70, Metz 0.96. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 3.41 to 1.63, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.78 xG to Paris FC, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Paris FC 3.41 xGMetz 1.63 xGdots = goals · 38 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Metz?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Metz was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Metz?: In their last 6 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Metz won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Metz?: Recent form — Paris FC 1W 2D 2L; Metz 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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