Paris FCStade Brestois 29

Paris FC v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29 — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 194 of 283 times (68.6%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 2.92 to 0.73 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC beat Stade Brestois 29 4–0 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 3 May. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Paris FC led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: Rudy Matondo (13’, 67’), Willem Geubbels (20’, assisted by J. Ikoné) and Luca Koleosho (89’, assisted by Vincent Marchetti).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rudy Matondo’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

M. Bollengier showed three yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris FC: Hamari Traoré (24’) and Mamadou Mbow (35’); Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet (26’).

What it changes

Paris FC move up from 12th to 10th (32 league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 move down from 10th to 12th (31 league matches played).

Paris FC’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 32, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rudy Matondo (Paris FC) 11.2, J. Ikoné (Paris FC) 6.3 and Luca Koleosho (Paris FC) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris FC to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next travel to Strasbourg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
  • Referee: M. Bollengier
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Paris FC 1 · draws 2 · Stade Brestois 29 2 · 1.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris FC 3W 1D 1L · Stade Brestois 29 0W 2D 3L

Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 2.75
Corners
against 7 / 6.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · M. Bollengier
26.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParis FC for / againstLineStade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
8.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Bollengier — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 26.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trapp19901710 min542.8 /90261.4 /9010.1 /90
O. Nkambadio15901350 min412.7 /90181.2 /9010.1 /90
Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 890
3.98/7
O. Nkambadio n 890
35/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mbow32882806 min551.8 /90411.3 /90280.9 /901404.5 /90250.8 /9040.1 /90
Otávio22871904 min422 /90271.3 /90180.9 /901055 /90241.1 /9070.3 /90
N. Sangui21851784 min251.3 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90613.1 /9060.3 /9000 /90
T. De Smet18701268 min302.1 /9090.6 /9030.2 /90634.5 /90120.9 /9080.6 /90
H. Traoré1470985 min262.4 /90161.5 /9010.1 /90433.9 /90191.7 /9030.3 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mbow n 890
0.83/1
0.32/0
K. Lala
A. Camara n 878.8
1.36/3
0.63/1
—
I. Kebbal n 858.6
1.25/1
1.75/3
H. Magnetti
M. Simon n 871.6
0.63/1
1.36/2
R. Del Castillo
M. Lopez n 864.6
1.44/2
0.32/0
—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 890
1.86/3
A. Camara n 878.8
2.98/7
I. Kebbal n 858.6
1.35/2
M. Simon n 871.6
0.53/0
M. Lopez n 864.6
1.26/1
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Ikoné22521147 min70.5 /9000 /90191.5 /90110.9 /9080.6 /90171.3 /90
A. Gory2242918 min30.3 /9010.1 /90131.3 /9040.4 /9040.4 /9040.4 /90
J. Krasso21501059 min10.1 /9020.2 /90211.8 /9090.8 /90221.9 /90151.3 /90
W. Geubbels2049971 min30.3 /9010.1 /90222 /9060.6 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
L. Koleosho1533493 min20.4 /9000 /90112 /9081.5 /9091.6 /9061.1 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mbow n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Camara n 878.8
0.32/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 858.6
1.56/2
14/1
M. Simon n 871.6
0.84/1
0.64/0
M. Lopez n 864.6
0.52/1
0.32/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mbow n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Camara n 878.8
00/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 858.6
0.21/0
00/0
M. Simon n 871.6
00/0
0.21/0
M. Lopez n 864.6
00/0
00/0
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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Coudert21871831 min653.2 /90321.6 /9010 /90
R. Majecki1087865 min262.7 /90151.6 /9000 /90
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 890
3.27/6
R. Majecki n 885.6
2.97/4

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lala29872522 min381.4 /90281 /90100.4 /90792.8 /90140.5 /9040.1 /90
B. Chardonnet27882367 min331.3 /90311.2 /90401.5 /901264.8 /90261 /9040.2 /90
D. Guindo18771393 min322.1 /90251.6 /9060.4 /90563.6 /90241.6 /9040.3 /90
M. Diaz17811370 min231.5 /90211.4 /90191.2 /90674.4 /9070.5 /9040.3 /90
B. Locko16781254 min533.8 /90100.7 /9000 /90876.2 /90100.7 /9000 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lala n 881.6
0.64/0
0.32/0
M. Mbow
J. Chotard n 888.3
14/3
0.32/0
—
H. Magnetti n 887.6
0.32/0
1.76/4
I. Kebbal
L. Ajorque n 889.9
2.17/6
2.47/7
—
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.52/1
1.35/3
M. Simon
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
1.55/3
J. Chotard n 888.3
28/4
H. Magnetti n 887.6
2.87/6
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.66/3
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
1.77/4
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Ajorque28882463 min70.3 /9090.3 /90371.4 /90150.5 /90361.3 /90110.4 /90
R. Labeau Lascary22481048 min50.4 /9010.1 /90232 /90141.2 /90100.9 /90171.5 /90
P. Mboup1851909 min10.1 /9000 /90151.5 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90191.9 /90
Mama Baldé1351657 min20.3 /9010.1 /90192.6 /9050.7 /9060.8 /9081.1 /90
J. Chotard29862505 min20.1 /9010 /90170.6 /9070.3 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
H. Magnetti n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.56/3
0.53/1
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.83/3
0.32/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
00/0
0.11/0
H. Magnetti n 887.6
00/0
0.11/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
0.53/1
0.43/0
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris FCStade Brestois 29
51%Possession49%
1.86Expected goals (xG)0.79
17Shots10
8Shots on target1
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box5
7Corners3
2Offsides2
10Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
434Passes411
84%Pass accuracy84%

Paris FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trapp9000000006.7
Diego Coppola9000111007.5
M. Mbow90001001Y7
N. Sangui9000000206.6
M. Munetsi9000000306.5
M. Simon9000301206.9
H. Traoré85000023Y7.3
R. Matondo7720330308.9
J. Ikoné7701003207.5
I. Kebbal6500103007.2
W. Geubbels6510111107.3
M. Lopez sub2500002006.6
L. Koleosho sub2510220107.9
V. Marchetti sub1301001006.6
C. Immobile sub1300000006.7
T. Ollila sub800110006.6

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Coudert9000000006
K. Lala9000001005.5
B. Chardonnet90000010Y5.9
R. Le Guen9000200005.2
L. Zogbe9000100005.6
L. Ajorque9000001006.5
J. Chotard8300112206.7
R. Del Castillo7100000006.9
H. Magnetti7000000206.9
L. Tousart6000100206.7
R. Labeau Lascary6000101106.5
J. Dina Ebimbe sub3000101106.5
H. Makalou sub3000000106.9
K. Doumbia sub2000002106.6
Mama Baldé sub1900000106.6
P. Mboup sub1000000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris FCWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Stade Brestois 29LLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Paris FC 1 · 2 draws · Stade Brestois 29 2 · 1.8 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Paris FC
  • 2019-01-21 Paris FC 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2018-08-10 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Paris FC
  • 2018-02-24 Paris FC 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2017-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Paris FC
League standing · 2025/26
Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD
Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Paris FC scored1.38
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26
Paris FC conceded1.47
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris FC 2.92 xG from 17 shots, Stade Brestois 29 0.73 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jonathan Ikone 42' · 0.32 xGRemy Labeau Lascary 57' · 0.29 xGLuca Koleosho 66' · 0.11 xGRomain Del Castillo 48' · 0.10 xGRaphaël Le Guen 69' · 0.10 xGPathé Mboup 85' · 0.06 xGDiego Coppola 66' · 0.06 xGLucas Tousart 53' · 0.06 xGTuomas Ollila 91' · 0.05 xGRudy Matondo 12' · 0.05 xGMoses Simon 8' · 0.04 xGEric Junior Dina Ebimbe 85' · 0.04 xGJonathan Ikone 11' · 0.04 xGMoses Simon 51' · 0.03 xGMoses Simon 18' · 0.03 xGMoses Simon 42' · 0.03 xGRaphaël Le Guen 35' · 0.03 xGJoris Chotard 81' · 0.02 xGMamadou Mbow 29' · 0.02 xGRudy Matondo 6' · 0.02 xGMama Baldé 80' · 0.02 xGIlan Kebbal 56' · 0.02 xGLuc Zogbe 40' · 0.02 xGRudy Matondo 66' · 0.57 xG · goalRudy Matondo 12' · 0.57 xG · goalWillem Geubbels 19' · 0.51 xG · goalLuca Koleosho 88' · 0.46 xG · goal
Paris FC (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Paris FC1742.92
Stade Brestois 291000.73

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris FC led on xG, 1.62 to 0.04. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 2.92 to 0.73. The widest gap was 2.19 xG to Paris FC, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.91.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Paris FC 12 minGoal - Paris FC 19 minGoal - Paris FC 66 minGoal - Paris FC 88 min
Paris FC 2.92 xGStade Brestois 29 0.73 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Stade Brestois 29?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Stade Brestois 29 was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Stade Brestois 29?
In their last 5 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Stade Brestois 29 won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Stade Brestois 29?
Recent form — Paris FC 3W 1D 1L; Stade Brestois 29 0W 2D 3L.

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