Paris Saint-Germain v Lille prediction

Ligue 1 · · Parc des Princes

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Lille · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Lille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Paris Saint-Germain host Lille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last six matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lille, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Paris Saint-Germain have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lille have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. Lille have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lille have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain (second) and Lille (fourth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 159 rating points above Lille (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Lille 1723, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.1 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and O. Dembélé (5.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 1314 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1379 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, A. Ribeiro, N. Ngoy, R. Perraud, T. Santos, N. Bentaleb, H. Haraldsson, N. Mukau, E. Mbappé, B. André, O. Giroud — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Alexsandro Ribeiro (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Alexsandro Ribeiro averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc des Princes
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 4 · draws 2 · Lille 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L · Lille 2W 1D 2L

Paris Saint-Germain v Lille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.13
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.75 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParis Saint-Germain for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
22.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
8.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
6.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Digne n 856.8
1.85/3
1.24/1
—
M. Akliouche n 866.5
1.45/2
0.73/1
—
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
1.24/0
0.92/1
—
João Neves n 847.5
0.94/0
0.52/0
—
I. Zabarnyi n 886.5
0.74/1
0.53/1
—
Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
4.38/5
2.28/2
O. Dembélé n 863.6
3.97/5
1.46/2
Ferran Torres n 857.1
3.27/4
1.86/2
A. Hakimi n 870.3
2.67/5
0.64/0
Vitinha n 868.5
2.16/5
1.14/2
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
0.73/0
0.93/1
Ferran Torres n 857.1
13/1
0.21/0
O. Dembélé n 863.6
0.42/0
0.53/0
M. Akliouche n 866.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
Marquinhos n 886.3
0.43/0
00/0
Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Fernández n 836.8
3.77/4
João Neves n 847.5
3.67/3
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
3.65/4
Beraldo n 836.4
3.46/2
D. Doué n 851.8
37/3
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890
3.67/6
Lille
Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Bakwa n 854.9
2.35/2
1.86/3
—
B. André n 868.1
27/4
1.87/2
—
C. Verdonk n 822.5
22/1
0.51/0
—
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.63/2
1.23/3
—
G. Perrin n 829.1
1.54/0
0.82/0
—
Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ueda n 856.6
37/5
2.26/3
M. Kjærgaard n 840.6
1.95/1
0.82/1
E. Mbappé n 856.8
1.87/1
1.24/1
Tiago Santos n 871.8
1.44/4
0.94/2
Félix Correia n 865.5
1.46/2
0.32/0
Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.25/1
0.21/0
O. Giroud n 845.5
0.21/0
0.51/1
D. Bakwa n 854.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Kjærgaard n 840.6
00/0
0.62/0
Félix Correia n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Verdonk n 822.5
4.55/2
B. André n 868.1
37/6
N. Mukau n 853.4
2.76/3
G. Perrin n 829.1
2.74/3
R. Perraud n 876
2.27/6
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Orlando Gill n 891.8
47/5
B. Özer n 890
3.27/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
LilleWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 2 draws · Lille 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-28 Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2026-01-16 Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Lille
  • 2025-10-05 Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-03-01 Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 Lille
  • 2024-09-01 Lille 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2024-02-10 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Lille
League standing · 2026/27
Paris Saint-Germain#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Lille#4 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Paris Saint-Germain scored2
Lille scored1.43
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.29
Lille conceded0.71

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille?
In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 4, Lille won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Lille?
Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L; Lille 2W 1D 2L.

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