Rennes v Lens prediction

Ligue 1 · · Roazhon Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Lens, Ligue 1 on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rennes host Lens in Ligue 1 on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rennes have scored 15 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Lens are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rennes, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rennes have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.14. Rennes have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Lens have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.71. Lens have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Rennes (sixth) and Lens (eighth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 12 rating points above Rennes (Lens 1723, Rennes 1711, after at least 223 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2026, finished Lens 3–1 Rennes.

Team news

Predicted Rennes XI (4-3-3): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, A. Rouault, M. Nagida, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, M. Tamari, I. Soumaré, B. Dia — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal (4.5 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 460 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, S. Sagnan, J. Todibo, R. Aguilar, M. Cuisance, Y. Titraoui, M. Skóraś, A. Bulatović, M. Udol, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (6.9 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 894 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 828 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 0 · draws 4 · Lens 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rennes 2W 1D 2L · Lens 2W 0D 3L

Rennes v Lens (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 7
Corners
against 5.38 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRennes for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
18.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Rennes
Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Cissé n 826.1
35/2
1.72/1
—
A. Thomasson n 870.8
2.48/5
1.66/3
—
Przemysław Frankowski n 856.9
2.23/3
0.63/0
—
Q. Merlin n 873.9
1.76/4
0.63/1
—
Bryan Reynolds n 850.5
1.66/1
0.42/0
—
Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Esteban Lepaul n 867.3
4.57/7
2.27/4
A. Nordin n 830.9
3.36/2
1.54/0
L. Blas n 850.5
2.97/3
1.14/1
Eliezer Mayenda n 820.6
2.23/1
00/0
I. Soumaré n 849.1
1.85/2
0.73/0
Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Dia n 825.8
1.32/1
00/0
Esteban Lepaul n 867.3
0.72/1
00/0
Bryan Reynolds n 850.5
00/0
0.72/1
A. Nordin n 830.9
00/0
0.72/0
A. Thomasson n 870.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Przemysław Frankowski n 856.9
3.26/5
V. Rongier n 872.4
3.18/6
M. Nagida n 866.1
3.16/4
S. Szymański n 872
26/3
A. Ait Boudlal n 880
1.84/3
Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Samba n 890
3.27/5
Lens
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ivanović n 847
2.25/3
0.73/0
—
T. Hazard n 836.5
1.86/0
0.92/1
—
J. Todibo n 849
1.65/2
0.21/0
—
M. Soares n 318.7
1.61/0
1.61/0
—
M. Skóraś n 852.1
1.55/1
1.56/1
—
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 879.9
3.27/6
1.86/5
T. Hazard n 836.5
3.16/3
0.62/0
O. Édouard n 840.6
2.86/3
1.45/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
2.62/2
0.61/0
J. Kadile n 866.6
2.47/4
1.55/3
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Soares n 318.7
1.61/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 879.9
0.11/0
0.73/2
A. Sima n 869.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
F. Sotoca n 839.6
0.62/0
00/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
00/0
0.61/0
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bulatović n 870
3.47/6
Yassine Titraoui n 859
3.46/5
Saud Abdulhamid n 874.6
3.37/5
S. Sagnan n 477.5
3.23/3
R. Aguilar n 869.3
2.86/5
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.28/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RennesLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
LensLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rennes 0 · 4 draws · Lens 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Lens 3–1 Rennes
  • 2025-09-28 Rennes 0–0 Lens
  • 2025-03-15 Lens 1–0 Rennes
  • 2024-09-21 Rennes 1–1 Lens
  • 2024-05-12 Rennes 1–1 Lens
  • 2023-08-20 Lens 1–1 Rennes
League standing · 2026/27
Rennes#6 pos13 pts7 pl+1 GD
Lens#8 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Rennes scored2.14
Lens scored2
Rennes conceded2
Lens conceded1.57

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 0, Lens won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Lens?
Recent form — Rennes 2W 1D 2L; Lens 2W 0D 3L.

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