Rennes v Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Ligue 1 · · Roazhon Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rennes · Paris Saint-Germain · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rennes host Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rennes have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.13. Rennes have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rennes have conceded 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.22. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Rennes (fourth) and Paris Saint-Germain (first) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 131 rating points above Rennes (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Rennes 1751, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Rennes 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Predicted Rennes XI (4-3-3): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, M. Nagida, A. Rouault, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, E. Lepaul, M. Tamari, I. Soumaré — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrien Thomasson (4.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 530 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 484 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, O. Dembélé (5.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and six assists) and Désiré Doué (5.8 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1379 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Désiré Doué averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1314 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 1 · draws 1 · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rennes 3W 1D 1L · Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L

Rennes v Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 6.13 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 8.75
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 0.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRennes for / againstLineParis Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
18.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
22.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
8.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
6.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Rennes
Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Thomasson n 877.5
2.88/5
1.77/4
—
D. Cissé n 820.5
2.74/1
1.12/0
—
Przemysław Frankowski n 859.1
1.93/3
0.63/0
—
Q. Merlin n 873.9
1.76/4
0.63/1
—
M. Camara n 882.5
1.54/2
1.46/3
—
Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Esteban Lepaul n 865.8
4.67/7
1.76/3
L. Blas n 847.1
3.68/4
1.24/1
A. Nordin n 830.9
3.36/2
1.54/0
I. Soumaré n 860.6
2.67/3
1.15/1
Eliezer Mayenda n 819.6
2.33/1
00/0
Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Dia n 834.1
0.71/1
0.31/0
A. Nordin n 830.9
00/0
0.72/0
A. Thomasson n 877.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Szymański n 870.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
I. Soumaré n 860.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Nagida n 860.5
3.96/5
Przemysław Frankowski n 859.1
2.96/4
V. Rongier n 876
2.58/5
S. Szymański n 870.8
2.27/3
A. Thomasson n 877.5
27/5
Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Samba n 890
2.96/5
N. Lemaitre n 883.5
2.86/4
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Digne n 856.8
1.85/3
1.24/1
—
M. Akliouche n 866.5
1.45/2
0.73/1
—
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
1.24/0
0.92/1
—
João Neves n 847.5
0.94/0
0.52/0
—
I. Zabarnyi n 886.5
0.74/1
0.53/1
—
Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
4.18/5
28/1
O. Dembélé n 863.6
3.97/5
1.46/2
Ferran Torres n 857.1
3.27/4
1.86/2
A. Hakimi n 870.3
2.67/5
0.64/0
Vitinha n 868.5
2.16/5
1.14/2
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
0.42/0
0.93/1
Ferran Torres n 857.1
13/1
00/0
O. Dembélé n 863.6
0.42/0
0.53/0
M. Akliouche n 866.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
Marquinhos n 886.3
0.43/0
00/0
Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Fernández n 836.8
3.77/4
João Neves n 847.5
3.67/3
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
3.65/4
Beraldo n 836.4
3.46/2
D. Doué n 851.8
3.37/4
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890
3.67/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RennesWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rennes 1 · 1 draw · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-23 Rennes 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2026-02-13 Rennes 3–1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-12-06 Paris Saint-Germain 5–0 Rennes
  • 2025-03-08 Rennes 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2024-09-27 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Rennes
  • 2024-04-03 Paris Saint-Germain 1–0 Rennes
League standing · 2026/27
Rennes#4 pos13 pts6 pl+2 GD
Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Rennes scored2
Paris Saint-Germain scored2
Rennes conceded1.67
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.29

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Paris Saint-Germain?
In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Paris Saint-Germain?
Recent form — Rennes 3W 1D 1L; Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L.

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