Rennes v Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 · · Roazhon Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rennes · Strasbourg · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Rennes vs Strasbourg, Ligue 1 on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1485 landed (95% range 72.9–77.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rennes host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Rennes or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

13 of Rennes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Rennes have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.13. Rennes have scored 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rennes have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Strasbourg have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.88. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Rennes (fourth) and Strasbourg (12th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rennes the stronger side, 160 rating points above Strasbourg (Rennes 1751, Strasbourg 1592, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Rennes are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Strasbourg. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes.

Team news

Predicted Rennes XI (4-3-3): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, M. Nagida, A. Rouault, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, E. Lepaul, M. Tamari, I. Soumaré — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrien Thomasson (4.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 530 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 484 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Mitchell (3.6 per match over six appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. J. Mitchell averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1168 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 3 · draws 1 · Strasbourg 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rennes 3W 1D 1L · Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L

Rennes v Strasbourg (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 2.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 6.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRennes for / againstLineStrasbourg for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5our book
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
18.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 17.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Rennes
Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Thomasson n 877.5
2.88/5
1.77/4
—
D. Cissé n 820.5
2.74/1
1.12/0
—
Przemysław Frankowski n 859.1
1.93/3
0.63/0
—
Q. Merlin n 873.9
1.76/4
0.63/1
—
M. Camara n 882.5
1.54/2
1.46/3
—
Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Esteban Lepaul n 865.8
4.67/7
1.76/3
L. Blas n 847.1
3.68/4
1.24/1
A. Nordin n 830.9
3.36/2
1.54/0
I. Soumaré n 860.6
2.67/3
1.15/1
Eliezer Mayenda n 819.6
2.33/1
00/0
Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Dia n 834.1
0.71/1
0.31/0
A. Nordin n 830.9
00/0
0.72/0
A. Thomasson n 877.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Szymański n 870.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
I. Soumaré n 860.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Nagida n 860.5
3.96/5
Przemysław Frankowski n 859.1
2.96/4
V. Rongier n 876
2.58/5
S. Szymański n 870.8
2.27/3
A. Thomasson n 877.5
27/5
Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Samba n 890
2.96/5
N. Lemaitre n 883.5
2.86/4
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Diego Moreira n 857.3
1.86/2
0.83/1
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.76/5
0.95/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
Diego Moreira n 857.3
0.62/1
00/0
J. Ortega n 748
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.15/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RennesWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rennes 3 · 1 draw · Strasbourg 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes
  • 2025-11-02 Rennes 4–1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-02-02 Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg
  • 2024-08-25 Strasbourg 3–1 Rennes
  • 2024-03-31 Strasbourg 2–0 Rennes
  • 2023-10-29 Rennes 1–1 Strasbourg
League standing · 2026/27
Rennes#4 pos13 pts6 pl+2 GD
Strasbourg#12 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Rennes scored2
Strasbourg scored1.71
Rennes conceded1.67
Strasbourg conceded2.14

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Strasbourg is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Strasbourg?
In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 3, Strasbourg won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Strasbourg?
Recent form — Rennes 3W 1D 1L; Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L.

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