Stade Brestois 29 v Lille result
Team pages: Stade Brestois 29 · Lille · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Stade Brestois 29 1.57, Lille 1.84 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Stade Brestois 29 and Lille drew 3–3 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 August.
The goals
Lille led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Lille: Olivier Giroud (11’, assisted by Félix Correia), Hákon Haraldsson (26’) and Ngal'ayel Mukau (66’, assisted by Nathan Ngoy); Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (34’; 51’, assisted by Mama Baldé) and J. Le Cardinal (75’, assisted by Kenny Lala).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Le Cardinal’s goal on 75 minutes.
Discipline
C. Turpin showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (18’) and B. Chardonnet (35’); Lille: Nathan Ngoy (15’).
What it changes
Stade Brestois 29 are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Lille are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).
With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across nine matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kamory Doumbia (Stade Brestois 29) 9.6, Olivier Giroud (Lille) 7.7 and Mama Baldé (Stade Brestois 29) 6.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Lille, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).
Next up
Stade Brestois 29 next host Nice on 23 October 2026.
Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Nice, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille · Ligue 1
- Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest
- Referee: C. Turpin
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 1 · draws 2 · Lille 3 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L · Lille 3W 1D 1L
Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stade Brestois 29 for / against | Line | Lille for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.29 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.86 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.71 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: C. Turpin — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 23 fouls over 11 matches (1.64 to the home side, 1.73 to the away side).
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | B. André |
| Mama Baldé n 8 | 29.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 82.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| H. Magnetti n 8 | 69.5 | 1.8 | 1 | B. André |
| M. Haïdara n 8 | 77.9 | 1.4 | 3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mama Baldé n 8 | 29.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| A. Sima n 8 | 47.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 82.1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 81.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| M. Camara n 8 | 78.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Del Castillo n 8 | 29.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| A. Sima n 8 | 47.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| K. Doumbia n 8 | 45.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| L. Ajorque n 8 | 82.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Zogbe n 8 | 63.6 | 4.4 |
| J. Martin n 8 | 9.9 | 3.4 |
| A. N'Diaye n 8 | 85 | 3.3 |
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.8 | 3.2 |
| K. Doumbia n 8 | 45.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Coudert n 8 | 79.8 | 3.1 |
| M. Bizot n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Lille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. André n 8 | 90 | 2 | 1.6 | H. Magnetti |
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 40 | 2 | 2 | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — |
| T. Meunier n 8 | 71 | 1.6 | 0.2 | — |
| B. Diakité n 8 | 87.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 40 | 2 | 0.8 |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 28.1 | 2 | 0.8 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 81.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 81.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Chuba Akpom n 8 | 40 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| B. André n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. André n 8 | 90 | 5.1 |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 28.1 | 3.2 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 59.5 | 3 |
| Ismaily n 8 | 66 | 2.7 |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 78 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chevalier n 8 | 90.9 | 2.8 |
The next free picks, by email
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Match statistics & details
| Stade Brestois 29 | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 2.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 0 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 366 | Passes | 441 |
| 74% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
Stade Brestois 29 player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Majecki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Lala | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Chardonnet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.7 |
| J. Le Cardinal | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Locko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Lees-Melou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Magnetti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Del Castillo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Ajorque | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Doumbia | 89 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Y | 8.7 |
| Mama Baldé | 89 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7.6 |
| H. Makalou sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Zogbe sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Lille player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Ngoy | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. André | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Félix Correia | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Giroud | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| N. Mukau | 85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| H. Haraldsson | 85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| R. Perraud | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Touré | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Broholm | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Goffi sub | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| V. Burlet sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Bouaddi sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Bentaleb sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-10 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lille
- 2024-12-06 Lille 3–1 Stade Brestois 29
- 2024-03-17 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lille
- 2023-10-22 Lille 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
- 2023-02-24 Lille 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
- 2023-01-11 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Lille
Shot map and expected goals
Stade Brestois 29 1.57 xG from 18 shots, Lille 1.84 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 18 | 3 | 1.57 |
| Lille | 10 | 3 | 1.84 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lille?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lille was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Lille?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 1, Lille won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Lille?
- Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L; Lille 3W 1D 1L.
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