Stade Brestois 29 v Lille result

Full-time · Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille

Ligue 1 · · Stade Francis-Le Blé

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.7–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Stade Brestois 29 1.57, Lille 1.84 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Stade Brestois 29 and Lille drew 3–3 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

Lille led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Lille: Olivier Giroud (11’, assisted by Félix Correia), Hákon Haraldsson (26’) and Ngal'ayel Mukau (66’, assisted by Nathan Ngoy); Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (34’; 51’, assisted by Mama Baldé) and J. Le Cardinal (75’, assisted by Kenny Lala).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Le Cardinal’s goal on 75 minutes.

Discipline

C. Turpin showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (18’) and B. Chardonnet (35’); Lille: Nathan Ngoy (15’).

What it changes

Stade Brestois 29 are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Lille are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kamory Doumbia (Stade Brestois 29) 9.6, Olivier Giroud (Lille) 7.7 and Mama Baldé (Stade Brestois 29) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lille, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).

Next up

Stade Brestois 29 next host Nice on 23 October 2026.

Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Nice, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 1 · draws 2 · Lille 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L · Lille 3W 1D 1L

Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 5
Corners
against 6.29 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.14 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.36 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
1.64 home / 1.73 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStade Brestois 29 for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 12.71 against n 7
19.5standard
11.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.14 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.86 for · 15.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11.25 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.71 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: C. Turpin — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 23 fouls over 11 matches (1.64 to the home side, 1.73 to the away side).

Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Lees-Melou n 888.8
2.37/6
2.38/6
B. André
Mama Baldé n 829.9
2.34/1
1.12/1
—
L. Ajorque n 882.1
2.27/6
1.15/3
—
H. Magnetti n 869.5
1.87/3
14/2
B. André
M. Haïdara n 877.9
1.46/3
37/5
—
Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mama Baldé n 829.9
2.64/3
0.82/0
A. Sima n 847.9
2.15/3
1.65/2
L. Ajorque n 882.1
1.87/5
16/1
Mathias Pereira Lage n 881.8
1.86/3
0.84/2
M. Camara n 878.6
1.75/4
0.93/3
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Del Castillo n 829.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Sima n 847.9
0.73/0
00/0
K. Doumbia n 845.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
L. Ajorque n 882.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 881.8
00/0
0.42/1
Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Zogbe n 863.6
4.47/5
J. Martin n 89.9
3.43/0
A. N'Diaye n 885
3.37/7
P. Lees-Melou n 888.8
3.27/7
K. Doumbia n 845.4
2.75/3
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 879.8
3.17/3
M. Bizot n 890
2.45/3
Lille
Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. André n 890
25/5
1.66/4
H. Magnetti
Chuba Akpom n 840
25/2
25/1
—
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.1
1.77/3
1.25/1
—
T. Meunier n 871
1.65/3
0.21/0
—
B. Diakité n 887.1
1.55/4
0.85/1
—
Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Chuba Akpom n 840
24/2
0.82/1
E. Mbappé n 828.1
24/1
0.82/0
R. Cabella n 859.5
1.96/3
0.42/0
Jonathan David n 881.8
1.76/3
0.83/2
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.1
1.57/2
1.26/1
Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
R. Cabella n 859.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Jonathan David n 881.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
Chuba Akpom n 840
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. André n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. André n 890
5.18/7
E. Mbappé n 828.1
3.24/3
R. Cabella n 859.5
37/5
Ismaily n 866
2.76/5
H. Haraldsson n 878
2.26/4
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chevalier n 890.9
2.87/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stade Brestois 29Lille
46%Possession54%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.62
18Shots10
5Shots on target6
8Shots off target0
5Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box7
2Corners2
1Offsides2
11Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
366Passes441
74%Pass accuracy82%

Stade Brestois 29 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Majecki9000000006.7
K. Lala9001001106.2
B. Chardonnet90000001Y5.7
J. Le Cardinal9010310107.2
B. Locko9000001506.5
P. Lees-Melou9000202306.9
H. Magnetti9000211206.3
R. Del Castillo9000112507.2
L. Ajorque9000001006.7
K. Doumbia89203222Y8.7
Mama Baldé8901203407.6
H. Makalou sub900000006.6
L. Zogbe sub10000000–

Lille player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000007.2
N. Ngoy90010011Y6.9
Alexsandro Ribeiro9000000006.2
B. André9000001306.6
Félix Correia9001001106.9
O. Giroud9010220207.3
N. Mukau8510110107.5
H. Haraldsson8510112107.9
R. Perraud7200111106.2
O. Touré5200000106.2
M. Broholm4500001106.3
M. Fernandez-Pardo sub4500001006.7
M. Goffi sub3800000106.6
V. Burlet sub1800001006.3
A. Bouaddi sub1400110006.9
N. Bentaleb sub1400000207.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stade Brestois 29LLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
LilleWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stade Brestois 29 1 · 2 draws · Lille 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-05-10 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lille
  • 2024-12-06 Lille 3–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-03-17 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lille
  • 2023-10-22 Lille 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-02-24 Lille 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-01-11 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Lille
League standing · 2025/26
Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26
Lille scored1.53
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62
Lille conceded1.09

Shot map and expected goals

Stade Brestois 29 1.57 xG from 18 shots, Lille 1.84 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ayyoub Bouaddi 92' · 0.34 xGLudovic Ajorque 33' · 0.13 xGOlivier Giroud 63' · 0.11 xGOlivier Giroud 46' · 0.11 xGMama Baldé 16' · 0.10 xGJulien Le Cardinal 48' · 0.10 xGHugo Magnetti 46' · 0.10 xGRomain Perraud 65' · 0.06 xGOlivier Giroud 39' · 0.06 xGMama Baldé 42' · 0.06 xGNabil Bentaleb 84' · 0.05 xGNgal'ayel Mukau 60' · 0.05 xGRomain Del Castillo 78' · 0.03 xGMama Baldé 40' · 0.02 xGKamory Doumbia 16' · 0.02 xGHugo Magnetti 21' · 0.02 xGKamory Doumbia 74' · 0.02 xGPierre Lees-Melou 76' · 0.02 xGKamory Doumbia 80' · 0.02 xGPierre Lees-Melou 8' · 0.02 xGMama Baldé 45' · 0.01 xGJulien Le Cardinal 57' · 0.01 xGNgal'ayel Mukau 65' · 0.60 xG · goalKamory Doumbia 33' · 0.54 xG · goalHákon Haraldsson 25' · 0.35 xG · goalJulien Le Cardinal 74' · 0.27 xG · goalOlivier Giroud 10' · 0.12 xG · goalKamory Doumbia 50' · 0.08 xG · goal
Stade Brestois 29 (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Stade Brestois 291831.57
Lille1031.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lille was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Lille?
In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 1, Lille won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Lille?
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L; Lille 3W 1D 1L.

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