Strasbourg v Auxerre prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Strasbourg v Auxerre, Ligue 1 on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,786 of 2,404 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Strasbourg host Auxerre in Ligue 1 on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Strasbourg or Auxerre (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Auxerre have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Auxerre.

Form and the table

11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 2.00. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Auxerre have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.38. Auxerre have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Auxerre have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Strasbourg (16th) and Auxerre (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Auxerre the stronger side, 31 rating points above Strasbourg (Auxerre 1579, Strasbourg 1548, after at least 116 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg.

Team news

Strasbourg have three names on the availability list: J. Panichelli (out, Knee Injury), F. Balde (doubtful, Leg Injury) and S. Amo-Ameyaw (doubtful, Inactive) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, A. Coulibaly, P. Diop, G. Reyna, D. Sousa, C. Harder, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (5.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Mitchell (3.6 per match over seven appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 867 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. J. Mitchell averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1258 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Auxerre have four names on the availability list: A. Diousse (out, Knee Injury), B. Okoh (out, Knee Injury), R. Labeau Lascary (out, Injury) and S. Fofana (out, Groin Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Auxerre XI (3-4-2-1): M. Diop, C. Akpa, A. Tuanzebe, C. Makosso, K. Danois, F. Oppegård, N. Ahamada, L. Sy, A. Piedfort, D. Namaso, C. Archer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, D. Namaso (5.5 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) and Kévin Danois (5.0 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Auxerre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Auxerre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Namaso averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 659 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Kévin Danois averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 716 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de la Meinau
  • Referee: Guillaume Paradis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 4 · draws 1 · Auxerre 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 0W 1D 4L · Auxerre 3W 1D 1L

Strasbourg v Auxerre (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
2.5 / 5.75
Corners
against 5 / 6.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineAuxerre for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Jörgensen890720 min313.9 /90121.5 /9000 /90
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
3.98/6

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Antwi889709 min162 /9081 /9030.4 /90293.7 /9060.8 /9000 /90
J. Mitchell788616 min162.3 /90142 /9060.9 /90324.7 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
Oso690540 min101.7 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90315.2 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly561305 min00 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9082.4 /9020.6 /9000 /90
I. Doukouré383250 min41.4 /9031.1 /9051.8 /90145 /9031.1 /9000 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Jörgensen n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Antwi n 888.6
0.84/2
0.11/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 884.6
1.77/5
3.17/7
—
P. Diop n 871.1
1.37/1
0.83/1
—
G. Reyna n 863.6
0.53/0
0.94/1
—
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Antwi n 888.6
27/6
Gessime Yassine n 884.6
2.58/6
P. Diop n 871.1
3.57/7
G. Reyna n 863.6
0.93/2
J. Mitchell n 788
2.36/6
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Ortega750349 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.5 /9051.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
C. Harder648288 min10.3 /9010.3 /9082.5 /9051.6 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
Sebastian Nanasi576380 min00 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw544222 min20.8 /9000 /9072.8 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9072.8 /90
S. Mara24284 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Jörgensen n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Antwi n 888.6
00/0
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 884.6
1.55/5
0.85/1
P. Diop n 871.1
0.95/1
0.32/0
G. Reyna n 863.6
1.24/2
0.94/1
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Jörgensen n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Antwi n 888.6
00/0
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 884.6
0.31/1
0.32/0
P. Diop n 871.1
00/0
00/0
G. Reyna n 863.6
0.42/0
00/0
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Auxerre

Auxerre Goalkeeper

Auxerre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diop690540 min233.8 /9061 /9000 /90
P. Nardi290180 min73.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Auxerre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diop n 690
3.85/5

Auxerre Defensive

Auxerre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Akpa888707 min111.4 /90111.4 /9010.1 /90374.7 /90121.5 /9020.3 /90
C. Makosso681485 min61.1 /90101.9 /9030.6 /90275 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
A. Tuanzebe590450 min30.6 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90255 /9051 /9000 /90
R. Mandengue32164 min22.8 /9022.8 /9000 /90912.7 /9068.4 /9011.4 /90
S. Diomandé290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
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Auxerre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Danois n 889.5
27/6
2.17/5
—
C. Akpa n 888.4
1.57/3
1.56/4
—
L. Sy n 887.6
1.45/4
0.54/0
—
D. Namaso n 882.4
1.87/3
1.46/4
—
N. Ahamada n 878.1
14/2
0.94/2
—
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Auxerre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.5
2.97/6
C. Akpa n 888.4
1.45/5
L. Sy n 887.6
1.96/4
D. Namaso n 882.4
1.87/4
N. Ahamada n 878.1
0.94/1
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Auxerre Attacking

Auxerre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Namaso882659 min30.4 /9020.3 /90172.3 /9081.1 /90111.5 /9081.1 /90
R. Faivre767469 min10.2 /9020.4 /90122.3 /9081.5 /90152.9 /90112.1 /90
Cameron Archer689532 min50.8 /9000 /90132.2 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9061 /90
R. Labeau Lascary461243 min10.4 /9000 /9083 /9062.2 /9010.4 /9062.2 /90
J. Casimir11919 min00 /9000 /9029.5 /9000 /9000 /9014.7 /90
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Auxerre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.5
0.83/2
0.32/0
C. Akpa n 888.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Sy n 887.6
0.85/1
0.32/0
D. Namaso n 882.4
2.38/6
1.16/2
N. Ahamada n 878.1
1.25/2
0.43/0
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Auxerre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
C. Akpa n 888.4
00/0
00/0
L. Sy n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
D. Namaso n 882.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
N. Ahamada n 878.1
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Auxerre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
AuxerreWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 4 · 1 draw · Auxerre 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg
  • 2025-10-29 Strasbourg 3–0 Auxerre
  • 2025-03-02 Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-01-05 Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre
  • 2023-03-19 Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre
  • 2022-08-27 Auxerre 1–0 Strasbourg
League standing · 2026/27
Strasbourg#16 pos7 pts8 pl-6 GD
Auxerre#12 pos10 pts8 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.5
Auxerre scored1.5
Strasbourg conceded2.25
Auxerre conceded2.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Strasbourg v Auxerre?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Auxerre is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Auxerre?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 4, Auxerre won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Auxerre?
Recent form — Strasbourg 0W 1D 4L; Auxerre 3W 1D 1L.

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