Strasbourg v Estac Troyes prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Estac Troyes, Ligue 1 on Sun, 16 May 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Strasbourg host Estac Troyes in Ligue 1 on Sunday 16 May (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Estac Troyes have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.00. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Estac Troyes have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.38. Estac Troyes have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estac Troyes have conceded 16 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Strasbourg (14th) and Estac Troyes (17th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Strasbourg the stronger side, 342 rating points above Estac Troyes (Strasbourg 1592, Estac Troyes 1250, after at least 121 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg.

Team news

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Oso (3.9 per match over five appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Oso averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 606 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Estac Troyes XI (4-2-3-1): P. Beach, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, A. Ouzenadji, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, D. Karim, I. Gomis, H. Picard, R. Ripart — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antoine Mille (4.5 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Anis Ouzenadji (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Estac Troyes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estac Troyes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antoine Mille averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 533 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Anis Ouzenadji averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de la Meinau
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 2 · draws 3 · Estac Troyes 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L · Estac Troyes 0W 0D 5L

Strasbourg v Estac Troyes (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.38 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 7.5
Corners
against 5.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineEstac Troyes for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748.7
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.66/4
0.95/1
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.56/1
0.73/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Ortega n 748.7
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.45/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Karim n 866.1
2.77/4
1.24/3
—
M. Detourbet n 837
2.44/3
1.85/1
—
Yacouba Kone n 58.2
2.21/0
00/0
—
J. Le Douaron n 848.4
2.15/2
1.44/2
—
Noah Donkor n 842.5
2.15/2
0.83/0
—
Estac Troyes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
3.15/4
1.34/1
J. Le Douaron n 848.4
2.65/4
0.73/0
T. Bentayeb n 846
2.45/3
1.75/1
Yacouba Kone n 58.2
2.21/0
2.21/0
R. Ripart n 857.6
2.14/4
14/1
Estac Troyes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Bentayeb n 846
0.73/0
0.21/0
Y. Titi n 854.6
00/0
0.63/0
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
K. Diawara n 842.6
00/0
0.31/0
Noah Donkor n 842.5
00/0
0.31/0
Estac Troyes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Karim n 866.1
3.27/6
A. Mille n 877.9
2.96/4
A. Monfray n 890
2.67/6
A. Ouzenadji n 871
2.56/6
Yacouba Kone n 58.2
2.21/0
Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Beach n 890
35/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Estac Troyes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Estac TroyesLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 2 · 3 draws · Estac Troyes 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-06 Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg
  • 2023-05-21 Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg
  • 2023-01-02 Strasbourg 2–3 Estac Troyes
  • 2022-04-17 Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg
  • 2021-08-22 Strasbourg 1–1 Estac Troyes
  • 2018-02-11 Strasbourg 2–1 Estac Troyes
League standing · 2026/27
Strasbourg#14 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Estac Troyes#17 pos4 pts7 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.71
Estac Troyes scored0.71
Strasbourg conceded2.14
Estac Troyes conceded2.29

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Estac Troyes?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 2, Estac Troyes won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Estac Troyes?
Recent form — Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L; Estac Troyes 0W 0D 5L.

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