Guingamp v PAU result

Full-time · Guingamp 1–2 PAU

Ligue 2 · · Stade de Roudourou

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Guingamp · PAU · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Guingamp 1–2 PAU — PAU won this Ligue 2 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PAU won 2–1 at Stade de Roudourou in Ligue 2 on Friday 16 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Guingamp out-shot PAU 19 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.16 xG to 0.63 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

PAU led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — PAU: C. Fall (6’, assisted by L. Rajot) and B. Brahimi (33’, assisted by A. Briançon); Guingamp: T. Averlant (75’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Fall’s goal on 6 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Guingamp: N. Fondja (74’) and J. Dianganga (83’); PAU: A. Briançon (13’), G. Paquiez (25’) and J. Sebas (66’).

What it changes

Guingamp move down from 11th to 13th (nine league matches played). Guingamp have lost their last three matches.

PAU move up from seventh to sixth (nine league matches played). PAU have won their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Fall (PAU) 7.0, A. Hemia (Guingamp) 6.8 and L. Rajot (PAU) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Guingamp or PAU (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Guingamp next travel to Clermont Foot on 23 October 2026.

PAU next host Grenoble on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Guingamp: Clermont Foot v Guingamp, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for PAU: PAU v Grenoble, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Guingamp 1–2 PAU · Ligue 2
  • Venue: Stade de Roudourou · Guingamp
  • Referee: Vincent, Thomas
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Guingamp 3 · draws 1 · PAU 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Guingamp 1W 2D 2L · PAU 2W 2D 1L

Guingamp 1–2 PAU (Ligue 2): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGuingamp for / againstLinePAU for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 18.38 against n 8
21.5standard
15.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Vincent, Thomas.

Guingamp
Guingamp — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Chamakh n 419.3
4.73/1
1.21/0
—
T. Ollila n 849
2.85/4
0.93/1
—
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu n 733.9
2.34/1
2.35/1
—
A. Samoura n 827.1
2.14/1
4.15/3
—
B. Bokangu n 860
1.96/3
3.46/4
—
Guingamp — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Chamakh n 419.3
4.72/2
2.32/0
B. Bokangu n 860
3.28/6
1.76/3
S. Kielt n 867.9
2.78/4
15/1
S. Ben Brahim n 535.4
22/2
12/0
S. Ben Brahim n 584.8
1.95/2
0.83/1
Guingamp — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Bokangu n 860
0.84/0
00/0
D. Gomis n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
S. Ben Brahim n 535.4
0.51/0
00/0
J. Matumona n 864.3
00/0
0.42/0
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu n 733.9
00/0
0.41/0
Guingamp — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Chamakh n 428.8
3.13/1
J. Matumona n 864.3
2.57/5
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu n 733.9
2.34/2
T. Ahile n 860.6
2.27/4
J. Dianganga n 874.3
2.16/6
Guingamp — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adrián Ortolá n 890
3.27/5
PAU
PAU — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Openda n 537.8
2.43/1
3.34/2
—
L. Rajot n 849.5
2.37/3
0.93/1
—
B. Leye n 546.4
2.34/2
1.93/2
—
J. Sebas n 839.4
2.35/2
0.62/0
—
B. Leye n 574.8
2.25/3
1.75/2
—
PAU — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Leye n 546.4
4.75/2
1.93/2
B. Leye n 574.8
4.15/4
2.25/4
J. Sebas n 839.4
2.98/2
1.14/0
C. Fall n 872.8
27/3
0.52/1
A. Lefebvre n 845.8
25/2
1.23/1
PAU — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Leye n 546.4
1.22/1
00/0
B. Leye n 574.8
0.72/1
00/0
L. Rajot n 849.5
0.21/0
0.52/0
A. Lefebvre n 845.8
0.51/1
00/0
J. Benet n 882.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
PAU — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Tourraine n 833.4
2.46/1
S. Basse n 844.5
2.35/4
H. Benali n 870.6
2.16/4
C. Fall n 872.8
27/4
R. Openda n 537.8
1.93/1
PAU — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Maubleu n 890
3.48/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GuingampPAU
64%Possession36%
2.16Expected goals (xG)0.63
19Shots8
4Shots on target3
10Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box6
5Corners2
14Fouls19
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves3
594Passes349

Guingamp player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Adrián Ortolá9000000006.1
E. Koffi9000002206.7
J. Dianganga90000002Y6.1
S. Ben Brahim9000005006.5
A. Hemia9000412206.6
T. Averlant9010523007.7
N. Fondja74000001Y5.8
S. Kielt6700402006.4
T. Ollila5700001205.7
T. Ducrocq5700100005.9
B. Bokangu4500100006
T. Ahile4500210006.8
F. Da Silva3300001006.2
A. Samoura3300101006.5
D. Louiserre2300001006.8

PAU player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Maubleu9000000007
G. Paquiez90001101Y6.3
A. Bamba9000001006.9
M. Tourraine9000001106.8
C. Fall9010211108.2
L. Rajot9001102207.3
T. Pouilly8000001306.8
B. Leye8000100006.4
H. Benali6600100106.3
B. Brahimi6210110007.5
R. Baheng4500000006.8
A. Briançon45010010Y6.7
J. Sebas28000000Y6.5
L. Gadegbeku2400000006.4
A. Abdallah1000000006.5
Abdoulaye Mbaye1000100106.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Guingamp v PAU — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GuingampDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
PAUDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Guingamp 3 · 1 draw · PAU 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-17 PAU 2–1 Guingamp
  • 2025-11-08 Guingamp 2–2 PAU
  • 2025-05-10 PAU 1–3 Guingamp
  • 2024-10-18 Guingamp 0–1 PAU
  • 2024-04-27 PAU 1–2 Guingamp
  • 2023-08-26 Guingamp 4–0 PAU
League standing · 2026/27
Guingamp#13 pos8 pts9 pl-4 GD
PAU#6 pos14 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Guingamp scored1.22
PAU scored1.22
Guingamp conceded1.67
PAU conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Guingamp v PAU?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Guingamp v PAU was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Guingamp and PAU?
In their last 6 meetings, Guingamp won 3, PAU won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Guingamp and PAU?
Recent form — Guingamp 1W 2D 2L; PAU 2W 2D 1L.

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