Guingamp v Saint Etienne prediction

Ligue 2 · · Stade de Roudourou

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Guingamp v Saint Etienne, Ligue 2 on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Guingamp host Saint Etienne in Ligue 2 on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Guingamp or Saint Etienne (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Saint Etienne have scored 23 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Saint Etienne have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Saint Etienne are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Guingamp’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Guingamp’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Guingamp have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Guingamp have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Guingamp have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

10 of Saint Etienne’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Saint Etienne’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Saint Etienne have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.71. Saint Etienne have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Saint Etienne have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Guingamp (11th) and Saint Etienne (first) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Saint Etienne the stronger side, 346 rating points above Guingamp (Saint Etienne 1769, Guingamp 1423, after at least 121 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Guingamp 1–2 Saint Etienne.

Team news

Predicted Guingamp XI (4-4-2): A. Ortolá, E. Koffi, A. Demouchy, D. Gomis, T. Ollila, S. Ben Brahim, D. Louiserre, T. Averlant, T. Ducrocq, A. Hemia, S. Kielt — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Ben Brahim (4.8 per match over seven appearances, three goals) and Adrián Ortolá (4.1 per match over 10 appearances) have been Guingamp’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Guingamp (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Ben Brahim averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 582 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Adrián Ortolá averages 2.8 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Saint Etienne XI (4-2-3-1): G. Larsonneur, K. Pedro, S. Nair, J. Le Cardinal, B. Old, Á. Csongvai, A. Boakye, M. Bernauer, J. Breum, T. Ballo, I. Cardona — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Boakye (5.8 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and T. Ballo (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Saint Etienne’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Saint Etienne (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Boakye averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 812 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. T. Ballo averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 619 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade de Roudourou
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Guingamp 3 · draws 1 · Saint Etienne 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Guingamp 2W 0D 3L · Saint Etienne 3W 1D 1L

Guingamp v Saint Etienne (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGuingamp for / againstLineSaint Etienne for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 18.88 against n 8
21.5standard
16.25 for · 15.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Guingamp

Guingamp Goalkeeper

Guingamp — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Adrián Ortolá1090900 min282.8 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
Guingamp — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guingamp before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adrián Ortolá n 890
2.65/4

Guingamp Defensive

Guingamp — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Koffi1079787 min50.6 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90242.7 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
A. Demouchy987783 min151.7 /90111.3 /9020.2 /90556.3 /90121.4 /9020.2 /90
D. Gomis781564 min101.6 /9061 /9020.3 /90375.9 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu734237 min62.3 /9041.5 /9000 /90166.1 /9062.3 /9000 /90
T. Ollila658350 min41 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90133.3 /90102.6 /9000 /90
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Guingamp — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guingamp before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Adrián Ortolá n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Koffi n 875.9
0.42/1
0.64/0
—
D. Louiserre n 875.4
1.65/3
0.43/0
—
S. Kielt n 863.9
1.14/2
1.45/3
—
T. Averlant n 865.6
0.32/0
1.55/3
—
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Guingamp — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guingamp before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Koffi n 875.9
0.74/1
D. Louiserre n 875.4
1.86/3
S. Kielt n 863.9
0.93/1
T. Averlant n 865.6
1.54/2
T. Ahile n 858.1
2.16/3
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Guingamp Attacking

Guingamp — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Kielt1069691 min20.3 /9010.1 /90202.6 /9060.8 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90
A. Samoura823183 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9094.4 /90
A. Hemia684504 min00 /9020.4 /90112 /9030.5 /9091.6 /9071.3 /90
J. Chamakh429115 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9043.1 /9021.6 /90
J. Chamakh32265 min00 /9000 /9022.8 /9011.4 /9034.2 /9011.4 /90
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Guingamp — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guingamp before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adrián Ortolá n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Koffi n 875.9
0.73/2
0.43/0
D. Louiserre n 875.4
0.64/0
0.32/0
S. Kielt n 863.9
2.58/3
0.73/1
T. Averlant n 865.6
1.55/2
0.94/1
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Guingamp — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guingamp before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adrián Ortolá n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Koffi n 875.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Louiserre n 875.4
00/0
00/0
S. Kielt n 863.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
T. Averlant n 865.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne Goalkeeper

Saint Etienne — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Larsonneur890718 min141.8 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Mamour Ndiaye290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Saint Etienne — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saint Etienne before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Larsonneur n 889.8
1.84/2

Saint Etienne Defensive

Saint Etienne — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Pedro1087866 min323.3 /90141.5 /9000 /90515.3 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
S. Nair990810 min111.2 /9080.9 /9070.8 /90626.9 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Le Cardinal983744 min131.6 /90131.6 /9040.5 /90435.2 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
B. Old757399 min40.9 /9051.1 /9000 /90163.6 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
João Ferreira663375 min61.4 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90174.1 /9092.2 /9010.2 /90
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Saint Etienne — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saint Etienne before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Áron Csongvai n 890
1.56/4
0.54/0
—
K. Pedro n 885.8
1.46/3
0.52/1
—
M. Bernauer n 883.6
1.96/5
0.95/2
—
A. Boakye n 885.6
1.85/4
1.86/4
—
I. Cardona n 872.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
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Saint Etienne — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saint Etienne before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Áron Csongvai n 890
1.36/2
K. Pedro n 885.8
2.97/6
M. Bernauer n 883.6
1.65/4
A. Boakye n 885.6
2.68/6
I. Cardona n 872.5
0.21/0
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Saint Etienne Attacking

Saint Etienne — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Cardona1071708 min50.6 /9040.5 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90192.4 /9010.1 /90
Z. Davitashvili957512 min10.2 /9020.4 /9081.4 /9061.1 /90152.6 /9061.1 /90
J. Duffus924215 min10.4 /9000 /9072.9 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9052.1 /90
L. Stassin23161 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9045.9 /9023 /90
Áron Csongvai1090900 min10.1 /9020.2 /9080.8 /9050.5 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
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Saint Etienne — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saint Etienne before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Áron Csongvai n 890
0.96/1
0.64/1
K. Pedro n 885.8
0.83/2
0.52/1
M. Bernauer n 883.6
0.74/1
0.74/1
A. Boakye n 885.6
2.28/6
0.96/1
I. Cardona n 872.5
28/4
0.64/0
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Saint Etienne — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saint Etienne before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Áron Csongvai n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Pedro n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
M. Bernauer n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Boakye n 885.6
0.86/0
0.32/0
I. Cardona n 872.5
0.32/0
0.63/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Guingamp v Saint Etienne — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GuingampWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Saint EtienneLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Guingamp 3 · 1 draw · Saint Etienne 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Guingamp 1–2 Saint Etienne
  • 2025-09-27 Saint Etienne 2–3 Guingamp
  • 2024-05-04 Guingamp 2–2 Saint Etienne
  • 2023-12-05 Saint Etienne 1–3 Guingamp
  • 2023-05-06 Saint Etienne 3–2 Guingamp
  • 2022-09-17 Guingamp 2–1 Saint Etienne
League standing · 2026/27
Guingamp#11 pos11 pts10 pl-2 GD
Saint Etienne#1 pos25 pts10 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Guingamp scored1.3
Saint Etienne scored2.3
Guingamp conceded1.5
Saint Etienne conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Guingamp v Saint Etienne?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Guingamp v Saint Etienne is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Guingamp and Saint Etienne?
In their last 6 meetings, Guingamp won 3, Saint Etienne won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Guingamp and Saint Etienne?
Recent form — Guingamp 2W 0D 3L; Saint Etienne 3W 1D 1L.

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