Montpellier v RED Star FC 93 prediction

Ligue 2 · · Stade de la Mosson

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Montpellier v RED Star FC 93, Ligue 2 on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Montpellier host RED Star FC 93 in Ligue 2 on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Montpellier or RED Star FC 93 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Montpellier have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Montpellier are unbeaten in their last three matches. Four of Montpellier’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Montpellier’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Montpellier have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. Montpellier have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nine of RED Star FC 93’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of RED Star FC 93’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, RED Star FC 93 have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. RED Star FC 93 have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RED Star FC 93 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Montpellier (fifth) and RED Star FC 93 (third) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Montpellier the stronger side, 45 rating points above RED Star FC 93 (Montpellier 1675, RED Star FC 93 1630, after at least 42 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished RED Star FC 93 1–1 Montpellier.

Team news

Predicted Montpellier XI (4-2-3-1): S. Ngapandouetnbu, J. Laporte, T. Sainte-Luce, Y. Mouanga, N. El Hannach, F. Tardieu, N. Pays, N. Mukiele, T. Chennahi, N. Vidal-Cartoux, L. Megnan-Pave — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Sainte-Luce (5.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and S. Ngapandouetnbu (4.7 per match over eight appearances) have been Montpellier’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Montpellier (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Sainte-Luce averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 719 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. S. Ngapandouetnbu averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted RED Star FC 93 XI (4-2-3-1): G. Poussin, D. Durivaux, E. Zidane, T. Magnin, M. Huard, I. Halifa, D. Durand, K. Cissé, S. Khaoui, S. Renel, K. Cabral — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Durand (4.3 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and I. Halifa (3.7 per match over nine appearances, two assists) have been RED Star FC 93’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RED Star FC 93 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Durand averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 718 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. I. Halifa averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 724 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade de la Mosson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Montpellier 0 · draws 2 · RED Star FC 93 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Montpellier 2W 2D 1L · RED Star FC 93 4W 0D 1L

Montpellier v RED Star FC 93 (Ligue 2): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.88
Corners
against 4 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMontpellier for / againstLineRED Star FC 93 for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
17.75 for · 17.5 against n 8
21.5standard
18.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Montpellier
Montpellier — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lacine Megnan-Pave n 662.5
4.15/5
1.24/1
—
Hichem Abderrebi n 835.8
3.15/2
4.75/5
—
Y. Issoufou n 826.3
2.66/0
0.92/0
—
Gregory Ayem n 531.4
2.33/1
00/0
—
T. Chennahi n 871.6
2.25/4
1.96/4
—
Montpellier — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gregory Ayem n 531.4
2.93/1
1.73/0
Daryll Benlahlou n 617.7
2.53/0
00/0
Lacine Megnan-Pave n 662.5
2.24/2
0.52/0
Y. Benhattab n 836.5
1.85/1
0.62/0
M. Camara n 877.9
1.76/5
1.36/3
Montpellier — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daryll Benlahlou n 617.7
00/0
0.81/0
Y. Benhattab n 836.5
00/0
0.61/1
M. Camara n 877.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
N. Mukiele n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Y. Issoufou n 826.3
0.41/0
00/0
Montpellier — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Sainte-Luce n 889.9
3.18/8
Gregory Ayem n 531.4
2.93/1
Y. Zouaoui n 878.5
2.77/4
J. Hatchi n 840.5
2.56/3
Hichem Abderrebi n 835.8
2.54/3
Montpellier — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Ngapandouetnbu n 890
48/6
RED Star FC 93
RED Star FC 93 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mahamadou Diawara n 840.8
57/4
1.14/0
—
J. Ikanga A Ngele n 848.8
4.26/4
2.85/4
—
Idrissa Sabaly n 624.5
3.75/1
1.83/0
—
Cheick Konate n 522.6
3.24/0
0.81/0
—
G. Kyeremeh n 828.4
2.45/1
1.63/1
—
RED Star FC 93 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Bianay Balcot n 310.3
8.72/1
00/0
D. Durand n 878.6
3.38/7
1.65/3
J. Ikanga A Ngele n 848.8
2.85/3
1.84/2
K. Cabral n 879.4
2.78/6
1.37/2
Idrissa Sabaly n 624.5
2.44/0
00/0
RED Star FC 93 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ilija Despotovic n 414
00/0
1.61/0
J. Ikanga A Ngele n 848.8
0.93/1
0.52/0
K. Cabral n 879.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
D. Durand n 878.6
0.74/1
00/0
S. Khaoui n 857
0.21/0
0.21/0
RED Star FC 93 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cheick Konate n 522.6
4.83/1
T. Magnin n 873.3
2.97/6
C. Bianay Balcot n 310.3
2.91/0
S. Renel n 850.8
2.76/5
K. Cissé n 865.9
2.67/3
RED Star FC 93 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Poussin n 890
2.97/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Montpellier v RED Star FC 93 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MontpellierDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
RED Star FC 93WWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Montpellier 0 · 2 draws · RED Star FC 93 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 RED Star FC 93 1–1 Montpellier
  • 2025-08-09 Montpellier 1–1 RED Star FC 93
League standing · 2026/27
Montpellier#5 pos15 pts8 pl+3 GD
RED Star FC 93#3 pos17 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Montpellier scored1
RED Star FC 93 scored1.33
Montpellier conceded0.63
RED Star FC 93 conceded1.11

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Montpellier v RED Star FC 93?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Montpellier v RED Star FC 93 is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and RED Star FC 93?
In their last 2 meetings, Montpellier won 0, RED Star FC 93 won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Montpellier and RED Star FC 93?
Recent form — Montpellier 2W 2D 1L; RED Star FC 93 4W 0D 1L.

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