Nantes v Metz prediction

Ligue 2 · · Stade de la Beaujoire

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Nantes v Metz, Ligue 2 on Fri, 15 Jan 2027 19:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nantes host Metz in Ligue 2 on Friday 15 January (kick-off 19:00 UK).

The key numbers

Metz are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Nantes.

Form and the table

Eight of Nantes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Nantes’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Nantes have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.43. Nantes have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nantes have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Metz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Metz’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Metz have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.86. Metz have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Metz have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Nantes (14th) and Metz (seventh) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Metz the stronger side, 197 rating points above Nantes (Metz 1600, Nantes 1403, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Metz 0–0 Nantes.

Team news

Predicted Nantes XI (3-4-3): M. Dupé, L. Perrin, K. Amian, S. Sow, J. Lepenant, I. Sissoko, M. Cafaro, R. Hachem, T. Robinet, I. Ganago, K. Corredor — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, W. Younoussa (3.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Bahereba Guirassy (3.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Nantes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nantes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), W. Younoussa averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 386 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances. Bahereba Guirassy averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 416 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Metz XI (4-2-3-1): J. Fischer, C. Devenish, J. Ruiz, F. Miguel, B. Sarr, J. Deminguet, G. Abuashvili, B. Munongo, T. Savanier, J. Pandore, P. Fall — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Savanier (5.9 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and Pape Moussa Fall (5.0 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) have been Metz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Metz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Savanier averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 412 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last six appearances. Pape Moussa Fall averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 752 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade de la Beaujoire
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nantes 1 · draws 2 · Metz 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nantes 2W 1D 2L · Metz 2W 1D 2L

Nantes v Metz (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNantes for / againstLineMetz for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 17.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Nantes
Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Louis Leroux n 821.8
2.64/1
3.13/1
—
Bahereba Guirassy n 852
2.44/3
1.33/2
—
B. Deuff n 844.1
2.35/2
1.53/2
—
B. Pierret n 861.1
2.26/4
1.56/2
—
W. Younoussa n 858.1
2.16/4
2.96/3
—
Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bahereba Guirassy n 852
3.28/4
1.55/2
I. Ganago n 849.8
2.96/4
0.72/1
T. Robinet n 885.6
2.68/6
1.15/1
K. Corredor n 873.5
27/5
1.15/2
W. Younoussa n 858.1
1.96/3
0.41/1
Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Joujou n 811.6
11/0
00/0
W. Younoussa n 858.1
0.41/1
0.42/0
Bahereba Guirassy n 852
0.21/0
0.42/0
T. Robinet n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
K. Corredor n 873.5
0.31/1
00/0
Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Centonze n 856.1
4.27/4
B. Deuff n 844.1
3.36/5
A. Joujou n 811.6
2.91/1
B. Pierret n 861.1
2.85/4
J. Lepenant n 874.3
2.76/5
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Carlgren n 875.5
3.35/4
M. Dupé n 890
1.64/2
Metz
Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Miguel n 865.1
2.48/5
2.87/5
—
H. Diallo n 833.6
2.34/2
1.33/1
—
T. Savanier n 855.3
26/3
2.97/5
—
B. Munongo n 866.6
1.96/4
1.45/2
—
Hamza Kadamani n 850.5
1.85/2
1.13/1
—
Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Giorgi Abuashvili n 877.8
2.68/6
0.64/0
Ibou Sané n 830.5
2.63/2
1.12/1
Pape Moussa Fall n 884.1
2.56/5
1.34/4
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
T. Savanier n 855.3
26/3
0.83/1
Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Savanier n 855.3
0.62/1
0.42/0
Pape Moussa Fall n 884.1
0.83/2
00/0
J. Deminguet n 883.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
H. Diallo n 833.6
0.31/0
00/0
F. Miguel n 865.1
00/0
0.21/0
Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Munongo n 866.6
2.57/5
N. Mendy n 832.3
2.45/2
Hamza Kadamani n 850.5
2.25/3
A. Touré n 872.9
26/3
J. Pandore n 850.6
26/3
Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Sy n 890
3.86/5
J. Fischer n 890
3.68/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nantes v Metz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NantesWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
MetzWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nantes 1 · 2 draws · Metz 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Metz 0–0 Nantes
  • 2025-11-02 Nantes 0–2 Metz
  • 2024-03-03 Nantes 0–2 Metz
  • 2023-11-12 Metz 3–1 Nantes
  • 2022-02-27 Metz 0–0 Nantes
  • 2021-08-15 Nantes 2–0 Metz
League standing · 2026/27
Nantes#14 pos8 pts9 pl-5 GD
Metz#7 pos13 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Nantes scored1.22
Metz scored1.67
Nantes conceded1.78
Metz conceded1.44

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nantes and Metz?
In their last 6 meetings, Nantes won 1, Metz won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nantes and Metz?
Recent form — Nantes 2W 1D 2L; Metz 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →