Rodez v Dunkerque prediction

Ligue 2 · · Stade Paul-Lignon

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Rodez v Dunkerque, Ligue 2 on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rodez host Dunkerque in Ligue 2 on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Rodez have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

10 of Rodez’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Rodez’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Rodez have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 2.00. Rodez have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of Dunkerque’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Dunkerque’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Dunkerque have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.29. Dunkerque have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dunkerque have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Rodez (14th) and Dunkerque (10th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rodez the stronger side, 28 rating points above Dunkerque (Rodez 1488, Dunkerque 1460, after at least 194 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Rodez are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Dunkerque. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Dunkerque 1–1 Rodez.

Team news

Predicted Rodez XI (5-3-2): Q. Braat, M. Magnin, R. Lipinski, L. Laurent, R. Ponti, S. Luyambula Biwa, J. Mendes, A. Cartillier, M. Saka, N. Nsingi, M. Touho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahima Baldé (6.3 per match over four appearances, five goals) and R. Lipinski (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rodez’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rodez (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahima Baldé averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 655 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. R. Lipinski averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dunkerque XI (4-2-3-1): M. Airam, O. Sanganté, A. Linguet, O. Touré, L. Vallier, J. Morel, A. Lebeau, E. Prutsev, T. Massock, S. Keita, G. Robail — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Robinet (4.5 per match over four appearances, one goal and two assists) and Egor Prutsev (3.1 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Dunkerque’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dunkerque (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Robinet averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 785 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Egor Prutsev averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 652 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade Paul-Lignon
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rodez 2 · draws 3 · Dunkerque 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rodez 1W 0D 4L · Dunkerque 2W 1D 2L

Rodez v Dunkerque (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 3.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRodez for / againstLineDunkerque for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 17.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Rodez

Rodez Goalkeeper

Rodez — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Margueron590450 min122.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Q. Braat490360 min123 /9030.8 /9000 /90
E. Crombez19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodez — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rodez before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Margueron n 590
2.43/3
Q. Braat n 890
37/4

Rodez Defensive

Rodez — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Magnin1090900 min202 /90141.4 /9060.6 /90454.5 /90161.6 /9020.2 /90
R. Lipinski1090900 min161.6 /90181.8 /9030.3 /90444.4 /90141.4 /9020.2 /90
Loni Laurent1089885 min212.1 /90212.1 /9030.3 /90636.4 /90141.4 /9020.2 /90
C. Roubiou766459 min81.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90265.1 /90122.4 /9010.2 /90
E. Jean-Lambert760418 min71.5 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90224.7 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
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Rodez — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rodez before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Lipinski n 890
1.56/3
1.37/3
—
M. Magnin n 890
1.46/3
0.65/0
—
Loni Laurent n 888.1
1.56/3
1.16/2
—
J. Mendes n 881.3
2.67/7
1.96/5
—
Antonin Cartillier n 872.8
1.14/2
0.53/0
—
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Rodez — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rodez before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Magnin n 890
2.17/6
R. Lipinski n 890
1.66/3
Loni Laurent n 888.1
2.38/4
J. Mendes n 881.3
0.42/1
Antonin Cartillier n 872.8
1.16/1
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Rodez Attacking

Rodez — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nagera1040399 min00 /9030.7 /9071.6 /9020.5 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
M. Touho963570 min00 /9010.2 /90203.2 /9071.1 /9040.6 /9040.6 /90
Nachon Nsingi562308 min00 /9000 /9082.3 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
I. Baldé486344 min51.3 /9000 /90123.1 /9082.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
K. Nsona351152 min00 /9000 /9053 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Rodez — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rodez before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Lipinski n 890
1.15/3
0.11/0
M. Magnin n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
Loni Laurent n 888.1
0.63/2
0.11/0
J. Mendes n 881.3
0.84/2
0.32/0
Antonin Cartillier n 872.8
1.15/2
0.32/0
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Rodez — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rodez before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Lipinski n 890
0.11/0
0.42/1
M. Magnin n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Loni Laurent n 888.1
00/0
00/0
J. Mendes n 881.3
00/0
00/0
Antonin Cartillier n 872.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Dunkerque

Dunkerque Goalkeeper

Dunkerque — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Moha Airam785597 min304.5 /9071.1 /9000 /90
Maxence Prévot475300 min61.8 /9061.8 /9000 /90
Dunkerque — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dunkerque before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Moha Airam n 785.3
4.56/4
Maxence Prévot n 475
1.81/1

Dunkerque Defensive

Dunkerque — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Linguet1090900 min90.9 /9040.4 /9040.4 /90292.9 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
Opa Sanganté1090897 min161.6 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90383.8 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
L. Vallier764451 min122.4 /90102 /9010.2 /90224.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
V. Mayela665392 min30.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90122.8 /9040.9 /9000 /90
B. Lagae587433 min51 /9040.8 /9040.8 /90153.1 /9051 /9010.2 /90
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Dunkerque — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dunkerque before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Linguet n 890
0.53/1
0.85/1
—
Opa Sanganté n 890
14/2
1.35/2
—
Egor Prutsev n 864.3
1.45/2
1.44/2
—
Théna Massock n 868
38/6
26/4
—
Adrien Lebeau n 884.3
1.15/2
2.17/4
—
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Dunkerque — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dunkerque before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Linguet n 890
16/1
Opa Sanganté n 890
1.57/4
Egor Prutsev n 864.3
1.25/2
Théna Massock n 868
2.26/5
Adrien Lebeau n 884.3
0.74/1
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Dunkerque Attacking

Dunkerque — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Ayari953473 min10.2 /9000 /90112.1 /9030.6 /9071.3 /90142.7 /90
G. Robail551256 min20.7 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
T. Robinet486343 min10.3 /9020.5 /90102.6 /9071.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
E. Mayilla429115 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /90
Egor Prutsev1065652 min30.4 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9050.7 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90
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Dunkerque — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dunkerque before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Linguet n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Opa Sanganté n 890
0.52/1
0.42/1
Egor Prutsev n 864.3
1.45/3
0.42/0
Théna Massock n 868
14/2
00/0
Adrien Lebeau n 884.3
0.74/1
0.42/1
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Dunkerque — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dunkerque before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Linguet n 890
00/0
00/0
Opa Sanganté n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Egor Prutsev n 864.3
0.21/0
00/0
Théna Massock n 868
00/0
00/0
Adrien Lebeau n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rodez v Dunkerque — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RodezLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
DunkerqueWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rodez 2 · 3 draws · Dunkerque 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Dunkerque 1–1 Rodez
  • 2025-11-21 Rodez 1–1 Dunkerque
  • 2025-03-10 Rodez 5–1 Dunkerque
  • 2024-08-30 Dunkerque 1–0 Rodez
  • 2024-02-10 Rodez 0–0 Dunkerque
  • 2023-09-23 Dunkerque 1–2 Rodez
League standing · 2026/27
Rodez#14 pos10 pts10 pl-6 GD
Dunkerque#10 pos12 pts10 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Rodez scored1.6
Dunkerque scored1.4
Rodez conceded2.2
Dunkerque conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Rodez v Dunkerque?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rodez v Dunkerque is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Rodez and Dunkerque?
In their last 6 meetings, Rodez won 2, Dunkerque won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rodez and Dunkerque?
Recent form — Rodez 1W 0D 4L; Dunkerque 2W 1D 2L.

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