Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC prediction

Major League Soccer · · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atlanta United FC · Toronto FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC, Major League Soccer on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atlanta United FC host Toronto FC in Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 21:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Atlanta United FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Atlanta United FC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Atlanta United FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Atlanta United FC have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Atlanta United FC have scored 37 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Atlanta United FC have conceded 51 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

10 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Toronto FC have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.50. Toronto FC have scored 46 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Toronto FC have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC (14th) and Toronto FC (10th) are six points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toronto FC the stronger side, 161 rating points above Atlanta United FC (Toronto FC 1569, Atlanta United FC 1408, after at least 336 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Atlanta United FC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Toronto FC. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC.

Team news

Predicted Atlanta United FC XI (4-3-3): L. Hoyos, E. Báez, J. Alonso, T. Jacob, P. Diaz, M. Amaro, T. Muyumba, G. Galoppo, B. Embolo, M. Almirón, L. Brennan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Almirón (4.6 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and four assists) and Giuliano Galoppo (4.4 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Atlanta United FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atlanta United FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Almirón averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2505 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Galoppo averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 962 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Toronto FC XI (4-4-2): L. Gavran, M. Pereira, R. Laryea, B. Kuscevic, N. Gomis, N. Dorsch, A. Coello, D. Sallói, T. Corbeanu, J. Sargent, L. Morgan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Dorsch (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Josh Sargent (3.7 per match over 23 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Toronto FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Toronto FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Dorsch averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 832 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Josh Sargent averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1799 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atlanta United FC 2 · draws 3 · Toronto FC 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atlanta United FC 2W 1D 2L · Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L

Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 6.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 6.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAtlanta United FC for / againstLineToronto FC for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luke Brennan n 829.1
3.56/3
1.23/0
—
Sergio Santos n 815.1
32/2
34/0
—
Cooper Sanchez n 846
2.24/3
0.72/1
—
S. Alzate n 821.6
2.13/1
1.63/0
—
Tristan Muyumba n 863
1.65/1
0.42/0
—
Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Santos n 815.1
4.54/2
0.71/0
M. Almirón n 886
2.47/6
0.95/2
Aleksey Miranchuk n 866.1
2.47/5
0.94/1
B. Embolo n 887.9
2.28/6
16/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fafà Picault n 824.9
0.92/0
00/0
B. Embolo n 887.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Almirón n 886
0.43/0
00/0
Giuliano Galoppo n 871.8
0.32/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 866.1
0.32/0
00/0
Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Alzate n 821.6
3.15/1
Luke Brennan n 829.1
2.75/2
Matthew Edwards n 848.8
2.55/2
J. Alonso n 886.5
2.36/5
Ajani Fortune n 845.8
2.25/3
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
1.75/2
Toronto FC
Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
2.57/3
1.86/3
—
N. Dorsch n 883.9
28/3
1.58/3
—
R. Laryea n 875.5
1.85/4
2.58/4
—
Benjamin Kuscevic n 884.9
1.68/3
00/0
—
Jonathan Osorio n 866.9
1.56/3
0.74/0
—
Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Josh Sargent n 885.6
2.56/5
0.93/1
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
2.16/4
1.15/1
L. Morgan n 838.3
2.15/2
1.85/1
Emilio Aristizábal n 820.5
1.62/1
0.51/0
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
1.45/3
0.43/0
Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
0.42/0
0.53/0
D. Mihailovic n 866.8
0.32/0
0.52/1
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
L. Morgan n 838.3
0.62/0
00/0
A. Piedrahita n 863.3
00/0
0.52/1
Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
3.97/5
Kobe Franklin n 847.8
3.16/3
Nickseon Gomis n 848.8
2.85/4
Matheus Pereira n 875.1
2.56/5
N. Dorsch n 883.9
2.47/5
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 881.6
4.36/6
William Yarbrough n 888.9
3.57/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atlanta United FCWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Toronto FCLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atlanta United FC 2 · 3 draws · Toronto FC 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-08-24 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-06-29 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC
  • 2024-03-23 Toronto FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-04-15 Toronto FC 2–2 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2026
Atlanta United FC#14 pos30 pts30 pl-14 GD
Toronto FC#10 pos36 pts30 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Atlanta United FC scored1.23
Toronto FC scored1.53
Atlanta United FC conceded1.7
Toronto FC conceded1.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Toronto FC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC?
Recent form — Atlanta United FC 2W 1D 2L; Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L.

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