Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes result
Team pages: Colorado Rapids · San Jose Earthquakes · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Colorado Rapids out-shot San Jose Earthquakes 13 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.07 xG to 0.72 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
The goals
Colorado Rapids led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Colorado Rapids: D. Phillip (27’, assisted by P. Aaronson); San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney (57’, assisted by R. Vieira).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Romney’s goal on 57 minutes.
What it changes
Colorado Rapids are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. San Jose Earthquakes have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Edwards (San Jose Earthquakes) 7.1, R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) 6.5 and W. Frederick (Colorado Rapids) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Colorado Rapids or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).
Next up
Colorado Rapids next host Vancouver Whitecaps on 25 October 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes next travel to FC Dallas on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Colorado Rapids: Colorado Rapids v Vancouver Whitecaps, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for San Jose Earthquakes: FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
- Venue: Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Commerce City, Colorado
- Referee: Filip Dujic
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Colorado Rapids 3 · draws 1 · San Jose Earthquakes 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Colorado Rapids 1W 2D 2L · San Jose Earthquakes 3W 2D 0L
Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Colorado Rapids for / against | Line | San Jose Earthquakes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.57 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.43 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.63 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 16.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.14 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Filip Dujic.
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harris n 8 | 21.1 | 3.2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Atencio n 8 | 52.8 | 2.6 | 0 | R. Vieira |
| H. Ojediran n 8 | 64.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| D. Sealy n 8 | 52.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Youssef Maziz n 8 | 42.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Whittaker n 8 | 79.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| D. Phillip n 7 | 50.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| D. Sealy n 8 | 52.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Rafael Navarro n 8 | 80.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| G. Minoungou n 8 | 61 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Aaronson n 8 | 87.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Rafael Navarro n 8 | 80.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| D. Phillip n 7 | 50.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Youssef Maziz n 8 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| M. Whittaker n 8 | 79.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Navarro n 8 | 80.6 | 2.2 |
| W. Frederick n 8 | 65.1 | 2.1 |
| H. Ojediran n 8 | 64.5 | 2.1 |
| R. Holding n 8 | 89.1 | 2 |
| J. Atencio n 8 | 52.8 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Hansen n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| A. Beaudry n 4 | 90 | 2 |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fernandez n 8 | 34.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 | — |
| O. Bouda n 8 | 68.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| R. Vieira n 8 | 77.6 | 2.2 | 1 | J. Atencio |
| Benjamin Kikanović n 8 | 65.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Jack Jasinski n 8 | 54 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Judd n 8 | 51 | 3.1 | 2 |
| T. Werner n 8 | 70 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| E. Lowen n 8 | 78.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| O. Bouda n 8 | 68.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| L. Jovanović n 8 | 40 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Judd n 8 | 51 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Beau Leroux n 8 | 75.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| N. Tsakiris n 8 | 73.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| T. Werner n 8 | 70 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| E. Lowen n 8 | 78.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Marie n 8 | 39.4 | 3.7 |
| J. Ricketts n 8 | 63 | 2.3 |
| N. Fernandez n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 |
| M. Floriani n 8 | 70.5 | 1.9 |
| Vitor Costa n 8 | 46.1 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Edwards n 8 | 76.1 | 2.8 |
| A. Gunn n 8 | 91.3 | 2.3 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.72 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Offsides | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 9 |
| 438 | Passes | 250 |
Colorado Rapids player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hansen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Holding | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Loïc Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.4 |
| M. Navarro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Whittaker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| P. Aaronson | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| W. Frederick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Atencio | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Saied Abu Farchi | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Sayed Abu Farkhi | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| R. Cannon | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Phillip | 59 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| G. Minoungou | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Rosenberry | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Yapi | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Ojediran | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| I. Sadiq | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
San Jose Earthquakes player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Edwards | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 |
| D. Munie | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Romney | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Lowen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| R. Vieira | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.1 |
| P. Judd | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Beau Leroux | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Jack Jasinski | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| P. Marie | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Vitor Costa | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.1 |
| T. Werner | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| O. Bouda | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Ricketts | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| N. Fernandez | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.4 |
| M. Floriani | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| I. Harkes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-21 Colorado Rapids 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-05-11 Colorado Rapids 0–2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-03-16 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Colorado Rapids
- 2024-05-12 Colorado Rapids 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2024-04-14 San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 Colorado Rapids
- 2023-06-04 Colorado Rapids 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Colorado Rapids won 3, San Jose Earthquakes won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes?
- Recent form — Colorado Rapids 1W 2D 2L; San Jose Earthquakes 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.