Columbus Crew v Inter Miami result

Full-time · Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami

Major League Soccer · · Lower.com Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami — Columbus Crew won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami 2–1 at Lower.com Field in Major League Soccer on Monday 28 September. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Columbus Crew: Josef Martínez (28’ pen) and J. Thiare (90’); Inter Miami: L. Messi (33’). S. Morales (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Thiare’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Columbus Crew 1.87, Inter Miami 0.27, from 14 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Victor Rivas, USA showed 12 yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

It is Columbus Crew’s first win over Inter Miami since 13 August 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Columbus Crew have won their last three matches in all competitions. Inter Miami are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josef Martínez (Columbus Crew) 6.4, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 5.7 and Reguilón (Inter Miami) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Columbus Crew or Inter Miami (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Columbus Crew next travel to FC Cincinnati on 18 October 2026.

Inter Miami next travel to New York Red Bulls on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Columbus Crew: FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Inter Miami: New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Lower.com Field · Columbus, Ohio
  • Referee: Victor Rivas, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Columbus Crew 1 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Columbus Crew 3W 0D 2L · Inter Miami 1W 4D 0L

Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.14 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.43 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · Victor Rivas, USA
1.8 home / 2.4 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameColumbus Crew for / againstLineInter Miami for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.71 for · 13.14 against n 7
19.5standard
14.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.71 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
13.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Victor Rivas, USA — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 19.2 fouls over 5 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.4 to the away side).

Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Tapia n 839.1
46/3
2.36/2
—
T. Karumanchi n 866.5
2.26/5
1.74/4
—
Santiago Rodríguez n 847.9
1.65/1
2.86/2
—
Dániel Gazdag n 841.1
1.65/1
0.83/0
—
J. Thiare n 832.9
1.43/1
1.74/1
—
Columbus Crew — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tapia n 839.1
3.77/3
1.45/0
Santiago Rodríguez n 847.9
2.85/5
1.44/2
A. Zaroury n 857.8
2.56/3
0.82/2
J. Thiare n 832.9
2.13/2
0.31/0
Andres Herrera n 824.9
1.83/1
00/0
Columbus Crew — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Santiago Rodríguez n 847.9
0.93/1
00/0
G. Tapia n 839.1
0.31/0
0.62/0
Brais Méndez n 881.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Mohamed Farsi n 879.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Dániel Gazdag n 841.1
0.31/0
00/0
Columbus Crew — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dylan Chambost n 845
2.86/3
T. Karumanchi n 866.5
2.24/3
Sean Zawadzki n 891
2.16/4
Santiago Rodríguez n 847.9
2.15/2
Dániel Gazdag n 841.1
1.93/2
Columbus Crew — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Patrick Schulte n 891
4.28/6
Inter Miami
Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 412
3.82/0
00/0
—
A. Shaw n 616.3
2.82/1
0.91/0
—
Matías Galarza n 878.9
2.78/6
1.95/4
—
F. Caicedo n 675.2
2.65/4
0.42/0
—
D. Ayala n 822.3
2.53/2
0.51/0
—
Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 890
4.58/6
2.98/5
L. Delinois n 448.3
3.33/2
1.42/1
G. Berterame n 879.1
1.87/5
0.42/1
A. Shaw n 616.3
1.82/0
0.91/0
Mateo Silvetti n 847.9
1.44/1
0.73/0
Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 890
0.95/1
0.54/0
Mateo Silvetti n 847.9
0.52/0
0.73/0
A. Shaw n 616.3
0.91/0
00/0
Daniel Pinter n 839
0.62/0
00/0
R. de Paul n 890.9
00/0
0.54/0
Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yannick Bright n 890.9
3.88/8
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 412
3.81/1
Matías Galarza n 878.9
3.77/5
F. Caicedo n 675.2
3.46/5
F. Mura n 836.3
2.23/2
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Rios n 895.6
3.58/7
D. St.Clair n 883.5
2.35/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Columbus CrewInter Miami
44%Possession56%
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.27
14Shots5
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots0
6Shots inside the box2
9Corners1
1Offsides4
18Fouls17
5Yellow cards7
0Red cards1
2Saves4
390Passes524
88%Pass accuracy89%

Columbus Crew player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Patrick Schulte9000000006.3
Mohamed Farsi9000002006.2
Sean Zawadzki9000000307.5
Malte Amundsen9000001007
A. Zaroury9000401006.7
Taha Habroune9000001206.9
Brais Méndez90004432Y6.9
Santiago Rodríguez9000001207.2
E. Bailly83000000Y6.7
Josef Martínez8310210007.2
Dylan Chambost78000000Y6.6
Andres Herrera sub1800100106.9
J. Thiare sub18101100Y6.9
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura sub12000000Y6.9

Inter Miami player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Rios9000000005.3
G. Lujan90000001Y6.3
Micael90000002Y6.6
R. de Paul9000111107.2
Casemiro90001001Y7.2
L. Suarez9000000206.3
L. Messi9010322007.6
Reguilón8600000406.7
Daniel Pinter86000001Y6.5
F. Mura7100000006.9
Yannick Bright4000000006
D. Ayala sub5000001206.9
Riquelme Fillipi sub1900000106.7
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda sub1500000006.5
S. Morales sub10000000RY4.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Columbus Crew v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Columbus CrewWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Inter MiamiWDDDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Columbus Crew 1 · 1 draw · Inter Miami 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-08-01 Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus Crew
  • 2025-05-31 Inter Miami 5–1 Columbus Crew
  • 2025-04-19 Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter Miami
  • 2024-10-02 Columbus Crew 2–3 Inter Miami
  • 2024-08-13 Columbus Crew 3–2 Inter Miami
  • 2024-06-19 Inter Miami 2–1 Columbus Crew
League standing · 2026
Columbus Crew#13 pos32 pts29 pl-3 GD
Inter Miami#2 pos55 pts30 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Columbus Crew scored1.52
Inter Miami scored2.43
Columbus Crew conceded1.62
Inter Miami conceded1.7

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Columbus Crew v Inter Miami?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Columbus Crew v Inter Miami was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Columbus Crew and Inter Miami?
In their last 6 meetings, Columbus Crew won 1, Inter Miami won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Columbus Crew and Inter Miami?
Recent form — Columbus Crew 3W 0D 2L; Inter Miami 1W 4D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →