FC CincinnatiInter Miami

FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami

Major League Soccer · · TQL Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Inter Miami · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami — Inter Miami won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away saves under 4.5.

Free pick
Away saves under 4.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami won 5–3 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 14 May. FC Cincinnati have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter Miami have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Inter Miami: L. Messi (24’; 55’, assisted by R. de Paul), Mateo Silvetti (79’, assisted by L. Messi) and G. Berterame (84’); FC Cincinnati: Kévin Denkey (41’ pen), Pavel Bucha (49’, assisted by Bryan Ramirez), Evander (64’, assisted by Kévin Denkey) and an own goal by Roman Celentano (89’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Cincinnati 1.76, Inter Miami 2.21, from 10 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Alexis Da Silva, USA showed five yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo (76’) and Evander (90+4’); Inter Miami: I. Fray (38’), G. Lujan (40’) and Yannick Bright (77’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 13 goals, the most of the 15 clubs.

Inter Miami have scored 15 goals, the most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Inter Miami have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 13, across 14 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 17.8, Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati) 9.4 and Mateo Silvetti (Inter Miami) 9.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter Miami saves under 4.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati
  • Referee: Alexis Da Silva, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 3 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Cincinnati 2W 3D 0L · Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L

FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 2.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.63
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.93 yellows
Referee · Alexis Da Silva, USA
27.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Cincinnati for / againstLineInter Miami for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.75our book
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 18.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Alexis Da Silva, USA — 4.93 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 27.27 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano13921194 min453.4 /90251.9 /9010.1 /90
Evan Louro394283 min61.9 /9072.2 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 891
4.18/6
Evan Louro n 891.6
3.17/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nick Hagglund1174812 min101.1 /9040.4 /9070.8 /90455 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
M. Robinson1073730 min131.6 /9050.6 /90101.2 /90475.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Gilberto Flores971641 min172.4 /90101.4 /9060.8 /90415.8 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
Kyle Smith968615 min152.2 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90253.7 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Powell940357 min112.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90348.6 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kévin Denkey n 886.3
1.77/4
1.87/5
G. Berterame
Bryan Ramirez n 889.4
2.17/6
0.43/0
T. Segovia
Pavel Bucha n 884.5
0.11/0
0.96/1
T. Segovia
Tom Barlow n 859.5
1.14/1
0.63/0
—
Roman Celentano n 891
00/0
0.11/0
—
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 886.3
0.84/1
Bryan Ramirez n 889.4
3.17/7
Pavel Bucha n 884.5
1.26/3
Tom Barlow n 859.5
0.84/0
Evander n 891.6
0.75/1
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kévin Denkey14841177 min110.8 /9030.2 /90231.8 /90141.1 /90151.1 /90120.9 /90
Tom Barlow1455776 min50.6 /9000 /90141.6 /90111.3 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
Evander13791029 min60.5 /9020.2 /90343 /90211.8 /90312.7 /90232 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem960544 min20.3 /9020.3 /90132.2 /9050.8 /9091.5 /9071.2 /90
Ayoub Jabbari942381 min30.7 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9051.2 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 886.3
1.87/5
16/2
Bryan Ramirez n 889.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
Pavel Bucha n 884.5
0.54/0
0.32/0
Tom Barlow n 859.5
1.15/1
0.94/1
Roman Celentano n 891
00/0
00/0
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 886.3
0.95/2
0.11/0
Bryan Ramirez n 889.4
00/0
00/0
Pavel Bucha n 884.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
Tom Barlow n 859.5
0.42/0
00/0
Roman Celentano n 891
00/0
00/0
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Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. St.Clair13911177 min362.8 /90221.7 /9000 /90
R. Rios19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 890.9
36/5
R. Rios n 892.3
3.78/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Micael13911177 min191.5 /90171.3 /90131 /90463.5 /90171.3 /9040.3 /90
N. Allen1370904 min232.3 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90404 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
F. Mura1170765 min60.7 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90151.8 /9010.1 /9000 /90
G. Lujan1075746 min161.9 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90384.6 /9081 /9020.2 /90
M. Falcon990810 min91 /90161.8 /9040.4 /90364 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Berterame n 873.9
26/4
0.83/1
Kévin Denkey
Micael n 890.9
1.67/4
0.53/1
—
L. Messi n 890.9
1.15/3
1.57/4
—
D. St.Clair n 890.9
00/0
00/0
—
T. Segovia n 883.5
26/3
0.11/0
Pavel Bucha
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Berterame n 873.9
0.95/1
Micael n 890.9
1.27/1
L. Messi n 890.9
0.54/0
T. Segovia n 883.5
1.56/3
N. Allen n 862.4
2.97/6
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Berterame14761058 min30.3 /9020.2 /90242 /90131.1 /90121 /9060.5 /90
T. Allende1060602 min00 /9000 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90
L. Suarez660361 min30.7 /9010.2 /90133.2 /9082 /90112.7 /9020.5 /90
Daniel Pinter445179 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /90
L. Messi13911177 min100.8 /9030.2 /90493.7 /90292.2 /90362.8 /90292.2 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Berterame n 873.9
2.47/4
1.15/2
L. Messi n 890.9
4.78/8
2.78/7
Micael n 890.9
0.63/2
0.22/0
D. St.Clair n 890.9
00/0
00/0
T. Segovia n 883.5
0.73/1
0.31/1
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Berterame n 873.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
L. Messi n 890.9
0.75/1
0.42/1
Micael n 890.9
0.11/0
00/0
D. St.Clair n 890.9
00/0
00/0
T. Segovia n 883.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC CincinnatiInter Miami
46%Possession54%
1.76Expected goals (xG)2.21
10Shots17
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box15
1Corners8
1Offsides1
19Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves0
455Passes513
86%Pass accuracy83%

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000006.2
Kyle Smith9000000005.7
Gerardo Valenzuela9000001206.3
Evander90102101Y7.2
Bryan Ramirez9001003407.3
Kévin Denkey9011212007.6
Pavel Bucha8710210106.6
Matt Miazga7300000005.9
Kenji Mboma Dem7300000206.6
M. Robinson7200000207.3
Samuel Gidi6000001006.2
Ender Echenique sub3000101106.2
Nick Hagglund sub1800000006
O. Nwobodo sub17000000Y6.2
Andrei Chirila sub1400000005.7
Ayoub Lajhar sub1300000006.5
Tom Barlow sub1300000006.3

Inter Miami Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. St.Clair9000000006.2
I. Fray90000002Y5.7
G. Lujan90001001Y5
Micael9000100306.3
R. de Paul9001004107.3
Yannick Bright900010010Y7.7
T. Segovia9000101507.2
L. Messi90315441010
G. Berterame9010111106.9
L. Suarez7700102106.3
Reguilón6500000206.2
F. Mura sub2500000206.9
Mateo Silvetti sub1311111308.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC CincinnatiDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Inter MiamiWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Cincinnati 3 · 1 draw · Inter Miami 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-23 FC Cincinnati 0–4 Inter Miami
  • 2025-07-26 Inter Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati
  • 2025-07-16 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Inter Miami
  • 2024-08-24 Inter Miami 2–0 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Inter Miami
  • 2023-10-07 Inter Miami 0–1 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
FC Cincinnati#9 pos46 pts34 pl-8 GD
Inter Miami#2 pos60 pts34 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
FC Cincinnati scored1.97
Inter Miami scored2.35
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21
Inter Miami conceded1.74

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami was Away saves under 4.5.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3, Inter Miami won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami?
Recent form — FC Cincinnati 2W 3D 0L; Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L.

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