This Matchweek

Houston DynamoAustin

Houston Dynamo v Austin result

Full-time · Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin

Major League Soccer · · Shell Energy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin — Houston Dynamo won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,074 of 1,429 times (75.2%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Houston Dynamo beat Austin 3–0 at Shell Energy Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 July. It is Houston Dynamo’s first win over Austin since 27 April 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Houston Dynamo led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Houston Dynamo: M. Bogusz (12’, assisted by E. Ponce; 29’, assisted by Guilherme) and Guilherme (32’, assisted by A. Bouzat).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Bogusz’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Houston Dynamo 1.70, Austin 0.84, from 10 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Dujic showed four yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Houston Dynamo: Felipe Andrade (42’) and Lucas Halter (62’); Austin: Ilie Sánchez (18’) and B. Sabovic (62’).

What it changes

Houston Dynamo have scored 23 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Houston Dynamo have conceded 24 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Austin have scored 22 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Austin have conceded 35 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Houston Dynamo have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) 10.8, M. Bogusz (Houston Dynamo) 9.6 and J. Bond (Houston Dynamo) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Austin are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Houston Dynamo.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Houston Dynamo or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Houston Dynamo next host St. Louis City on 8 November 2026.

Austin next host Portland Timbers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Austin: Austin v Portland Timbers, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium · Houston
  • Referee: F. Dujic
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Houston Dynamo 2 · draws 1 · Austin 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Houston Dynamo 1W 3D 1L · Austin 1W 1D 3L

Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.17 / 3.13
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.33 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.17 / 7.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.17 / 2
Cards
against 2.83 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.67 yellows
Referee · F. Dujic
22.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHouston Dynamo for / againstLineAustin for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.17 for · 5.5 against n 6
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.33 for · 11 against n 6
19.5standard
9.88 for · 18.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.33 for · 3.17 against n 6
8.5standard
3.88 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.17 for · 10.33 against n 6
21.5standard
11.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.17 for · 2.83 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: F. Dujic — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo Goalkeeper

Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bond15881317 min362.5 /90241.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Maurer14545 min36 /9000 /9000 /90
Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bond n 890.6
2.15/3
J. Maurer n 355
3.83/1

Houston Dynamo Defensive

Houston Dynamo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Resch1462871 min192 /90161.7 /90121.2 /90424.3 /90151.5 /9030.3 /90
Antonio Carlos13811049 min181.5 /90141.2 /90121 /90413.5 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Felipe Andrade12901076 min262.2 /90161.3 /9060.5 /90514.3 /90181.5 /9060.5 /90
E. Sviatchenko877619 min81.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90304.4 /90111.6 /9040.6 /90
Lucas Halter478311 min82.3 /9020.6 /9041.2 /90164.6 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bond n 890.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
M. Bogusz n 881.8
0.84/2
1.16/1
F. Torres
Guilherme n 879.6
0.84/2
37/7
F. Torres
L. Ennali n 879.5
0.75/0
1.76/4
O. Svatok
A. Resch n 878.8
1.46/3
0.94/2
O. Svatok
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Houston Dynamo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Bogusz n 881.8
1.15/2
Guilherme n 879.6
0.83/1
L. Ennali n 879.5
0.74/1
A. Resch n 878.8
1.97/4
Antonio Carlos n 879.4
1.46/2
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Houston Dynamo Attacking

Houston Dynamo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Bogusz15861286 min20.1 /9010.1 /90362.5 /90181.3 /90141 /90181.3 /90
Guilherme15841266 min80.6 /9040.3 /90302.1 /90201.4 /90332.3 /90372.6 /90
E. Ponce1369902 min00 /9000 /90111.1 /9030.3 /9060.6 /9060.6 /90
Ondrej Lingr750352 min00 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
I. Aliyu460240 min10.4 /9000 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bond n 890.6
00/0
00/0
M. Bogusz n 881.8
2.67/7
1.87/5
Guilherme n 879.6
1.76/3
1.15/2
L. Ennali n 879.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
A. Resch n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Houston Dynamo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bond n 890.6
00/0
00/0
M. Bogusz n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
Guilherme n 879.6
0.43/0
00/0
L. Ennali n 879.5
0.11/0
0.31/1
A. Resch n 878.8
00/0
00/0
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Austin

Austin Goalkeeper

Austin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Stuver16911451 min805 /90322 /9000 /90
Austin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Stuver n 891.4
58/7

Austin Defensive

Austin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Gallagher16811290 min181.3 /9090.6 /9050.3 /90493.4 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
O. Svatok15891340 min120.8 /90191.3 /90151 /90382.6 /90110.7 /9010.1 /90
Guilherme Biro1373948 min131.2 /90131.2 /9050.5 /90605.7 /90131.2 /9030.3 /90
B. Hines-Ike12851017 min80.7 /9040.4 /90141.2 /90282.5 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90
J. Bell1070704 min101.3 /9070.9 /9091.2 /90273.5 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
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Austin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Stuver n 891.4
00/0
00/0
—
J. Rosales n 885.6
2.57/5
2.26/5
—
F. Torres n 883.5
0.52/1
2.47/6
Guilherme
J. Gallagher n 876.4
0.94/2
1.97/5
—
O. Svatok n 888.8
0.84/2
0.31/1
A. Resch
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Austin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rosales n 885.6
1.66/3
F. Torres n 883.5
0.84/2
J. Gallagher n 876.4
1.23/2
O. Svatok n 888.8
0.32/0
M. Uzuni n 887.8
0.54/0
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Austin Attacking

Austin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Uzuni14881227 min60.4 /9000 /90302.2 /90161.2 /9090.7 /90120.9 /90
C. Ramirez1450699 min50.6 /9010.1 /90141.8 /9081 /9070.9 /9000 /90
C. Fodrey444175 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Brandon Vázquez343130 min00 /9000 /9042.8 /9032.1 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Taylor22753 min00 /9011.7 /9023.4 /9000 /9046.8 /9000 /90
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Austin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Stuver n 891.4
00/0
00/0
J. Rosales n 885.6
0.86/0
0.32/0
F. Torres n 883.5
0.54/0
0.54/0
J. Gallagher n 876.4
0.62/1
0.11/0
O. Svatok n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Austin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Stuver n 891.4
00/0
00/0
J. Rosales n 885.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Torres n 883.5
00/0
0.32/0
J. Gallagher n 876.4
00/0
00/0
O. Svatok n 888.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Houston DynamoAustin
46%Possession54%
1.70Expected goals (xG)0.84
10Shots15
4Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box13
1Corners6
3Offsides0
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
425Passes486
90%Pass accuracy90%

Houston Dynamo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bond9600000008.2
A. Resch9600000207.2
Felipe Andrade96000001Y6.9
H. Herrera9600002007.2
L. Ennali9600002206.9
M. Bogusz9620420108.5
Lucas Halter85000001Y7.3
Guilherme8411313008.6
A. Bouzat7001001307.3
E. Ponce7001212006.9
D. Samassekou6300000106.6
Artur sub3300000006.3
J. McGlynn sub2600000006.6
Duncan McGuire sub2600000006.5
Ondrej Lingr sub1200000106.6
E. Sviatchenko sub1100000006.6

Austin Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Stuver9600000005.6
B. Hines-Ike9600000306.6
Guilherme Biro9600100205.9
Owen Wolff9600001106.7
M. Uzuni9600001406.9
Brandon Vázquez9600531006.3
J. Gallagher8200100206.3
F. Torres7100103006.7
O. Svatok7000000006.3
Ilie Sánchez60000001Y6.3
P. Płacheta6000221107
B. Sabovic sub36000001Y6.6
J. Rosales sub3600004007
M. Djordjevic sub2600000006.6
Ervin Torres sub2500000106.9
Z. Kolmanic sub1400000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Houston Dynamo v Austin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Houston DynamoLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AustinDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Houston Dynamo 2 · 1 draw · Austin 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Austin 2–0 Houston Dynamo
  • 2025-08-10 Austin 2–2 Houston Dynamo
  • 2025-05-22 Austin 3–1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2025-04-27 Houston Dynamo 2–0 Austin
  • 2024-09-22 Austin 0–1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-05-16 Austin 1–0 Houston Dynamo
League standing · 2026
Houston Dynamo#5 pos51 pts33 pl+1 GD
Austin#14 pos34 pts33 pl-21 GD
Goals per game
Houston Dynamo scored1.3
Austin scored1.27
Houston Dynamo conceded1.27
Austin conceded1.91

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Houston Dynamo v Austin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Houston Dynamo v Austin was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dynamo and Austin?
In their last 6 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, Austin won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Houston Dynamo and Austin?
Recent form — Houston Dynamo 1W 3D 1L; Austin 1W 1D 3L.

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