Inter Miami v Charlotte prediction

Major League Soccer · · Nu Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Inter Miami v Charlotte, Major League Soccer on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 529 of 822 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Inter Miami host Charlotte in Major League Soccer on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Inter Miami have scored 75 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). 12 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Charlotte have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Inter Miami have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 1.56. Inter Miami have conceded 55 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game).

12 of Charlotte’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Charlotte’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Charlotte have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 2.00. Charlotte have scored 63 goals, the fifth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Charlotte have conceded 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Inter Miami (third) and Charlotte (fifth) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Charlotte the stronger side, 69 rating points above Inter Miami (Charlotte 1619, Inter Miami 1549, after at least 176 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Charlotte 0–0 Inter Miami.

Team news

Predicted Inter Miami XI (4-3-3): D. St.Clair, Casemiro, Micael, G. Lujan, Reguilón, R. de Paul, D. Ayala, M. Galarza, L. Suarez, L. Messi, G. Berterame — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, L. Messi (7.6 per match over 32 appearances, 28 goals and 13 assists) and R. de Paul (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, six goals and 10 assists) have been Inter Miami’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Inter Miami (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Messi averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 3677 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. R. de Paul averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 3545 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Charlotte XI (4-2-3-1): K. Kahlina, H. Kessler, N. Byrne, M. Agyemang, H. Toffolo, P. Biel, A. Westwood, D. Diani, A. Saint-Maximin, L. Abada, I. Jorno — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Saint-Maximin (4.8 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Pep Biel (4.3 per match over 34 appearances, 12 goals and eight assists) have been Charlotte’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Charlotte (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Saint-Maximin averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1000 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Pep Biel averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2988 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Nu Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter Miami 2 · draws 2 · Charlotte 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L · Charlotte 2W 1D 2L

Inter Miami v Charlotte (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.75 / 6.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 8 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter Miami for / againstLineCharlotte for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 20.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 8 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. St.Clair28902527 min762.7 /90431.5 /9020.1 /90
R. Rios895756 min313.7 /90151.8 /9000 /90
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 890
2.45/2
R. Rios n 894.5
3.78/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Micael27882389 min411.5 /90361.4 /90230.9 /90993.7 /90331.2 /9060.2 /90
I. Fray26701809 min391.9 /90211 /90130.6 /901035.1 /90251.2 /9070.3 /90
F. Mura24621492 min171 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90291.7 /90100.6 /9000 /90
G. Lujan23801835 min341.7 /90180.9 /9090.4 /90854.2 /90251.2 /9050.2 /90
N. Allen21631315 min302.1 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90513.5 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Messi n 883
0.95/2
1.25/4
—
T. Segovia n 849.4
2.15/3
1.13/1
—
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.53/1
1.78/5
—
G. Berterame n 883.8
1.56/3
1.24/4
—
D. St.Clair n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Messi n 883
0.11/0
T. Segovia n 849.4
1.84/2
R. de Paul n 888.5
16/2
G. Berterame n 883.8
0.95/1
Yannick Bright n 874.5
3.87/6
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Messi32872783 min280.9 /90130.4 /901264.1 /90772.5 /90822.7 /90601.9 /90
G. Berterame30812431 min90.3 /9070.3 /90501.9 /90261 /90351.3 /90140.5 /90
L. Suarez25801997 min150.7 /9060.3 /90452 /90291.3 /90391.8 /90130.6 /90
Mateo Silvetti1461856 min20.2 /9030.3 /90192 /90111.2 /90131.4 /9060.6 /90
Daniel Pinter1249591 min20.3 /9000 /9081.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 883
4.67/7
2.76/5
T. Segovia n 849.4
0.73/0
00/0
R. de Paul n 888.5
1.16/3
0.53/1
G. Berterame n 883.8
1.56/4
0.74/1
D. St.Clair n 890
00/0
00/0
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 883
0.95/2
0.11/0
T. Segovia n 849.4
00/0
0.52/0
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.11/0
0.54/0
G. Berterame n 883.8
0.32/0
0.42/1
D. St.Clair n 890
00/0
00/0
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Charlotte

Charlotte Goalkeeper

Charlotte — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Kahlina32912914 min1484.6 /90441.4 /9000 /90
T. Miller292183 min104.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Charlotte — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Kahlina n 890
6.57/7

Charlotte Defensive

Charlotte — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Byrne28852371 min220.8 /90150.6 /9050.2 /90772.9 /90100.4 /9040.2 /90
Morrison Agyemang23902059 min231 /90301.3 /90170.7 /90954.2 /90261.1 /9050.2 /90
T. Ream22891959 min140.6 /90150.7 /90110.5 /90452.1 /9080.4 /9030.1 /90
D. Schnegg21701479 min171 /90181.1 /9060.4 /90603.7 /90201.2 /9080.5 /90
H. Toffolo21701472 min352.1 /90120.7 /9030.2 /90734.5 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90
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Charlotte — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pep Biel n 888.3
1.36/3
0.95/2
—
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 884.6
1.65/4
2.35/4
—
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Westwood n 884.9
0.95/2
1.36/3
—
N. Byrne n 881.8
0.42/1
1.45/3
—
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Charlotte — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pep Biel n 888.3
1.16/3
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 884.6
0.43/0
A. Westwood n 884.9
0.43/0
N. Byrne n 881.8
1.25/3
D. Diani n 883
2.48/6
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Charlotte Attacking

Charlotte — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Idan Toklomati Jorno33742458 min150.5 /9050.2 /90481.8 /90281 /90250.9 /90140.5 /90
R. Aloko2243956 min30.3 /9020.2 /90151.4 /9060.6 /9070.7 /90191.8 /90
A. Goodwin1336463 min40.8 /9000 /90122.3 /9071.4 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
Tyger Smalls923210 min20.9 /9010.4 /9073 /9052.1 /9031.3 /9020.9 /90
Pep Biel34882988 min120.4 /9080.2 /90521.6 /90260.8 /90672 /90260.8 /90
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Charlotte — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pep Biel n 888.3
1.16/3
0.43/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 884.6
27/6
1.57/3
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Westwood n 884.9
0.84/2
0.32/0
N. Byrne n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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Charlotte — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pep Biel n 888.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 884.6
0.96/1
0.43/0
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Westwood n 884.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
N. Byrne n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v Charlotte — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Inter MiamiWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
CharlotteLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter Miami 2 · 2 draws · Charlotte 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Charlotte 0–0 Inter Miami
  • 2025-09-13 Charlotte 3–0 Inter Miami
  • 2025-03-09 Inter Miami 1–0 Charlotte
  • 2024-09-28 Inter Miami 1–1 Charlotte
  • 2024-07-03 Charlotte 1–2 Inter Miami
  • 2023-10-22 Charlotte 1–0 Inter Miami
League standing · 2026
Inter Miami#3 pos56 pts32 pl+20 GD
Charlotte#5 pos53 pts33 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Inter Miami scored2.34
Charlotte scored1.91
Inter Miami conceded1.72
Charlotte conceded1.45

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Inter Miami v Charlotte?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v Charlotte is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and Charlotte?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter Miami won 2, Charlotte won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Charlotte?
Recent form — Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L; Charlotte 2W 1D 2L.

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