Inter Miami v Los Angeles Galaxy result

Full-time · Inter Miami 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Major League Soccer · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 00:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter Miami · Los Angeles Galaxy

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Inter Miami won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 141 of 207 times (68.1%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 August. Inter Miami have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter Miami led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter Miami: Jordi Alba (43’, assisted by Sergio Busquets), L. Messi (84’, assisted by R. de Paul) and L. Suarez (89’); Los Angeles Galaxy: Joseph Paintsil (59’, assisted by Isaiah Parente).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Messi’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Inter Miami 3.49, Los Angeles Galaxy 0.37, from 29 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed no yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Paintsil (Los Angeles Galaxy) 8.8, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 8.7 and Jordi Alba (Inter Miami) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter Miami to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Inter Miami next travel to New York Red Bulls on 24 October 2026.

Los Angeles Galaxy next travel to Los Angeles FC on 26 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter Miami: New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles FC v Los Angeles Galaxy, Monday 26 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Inter Miami 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy · Major League Soccer
Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Inter Miami 0 · draws 1 · Los Angeles Galaxy 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Inter Miami 2W 2D 1L · Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 2D 1L

Inter Miami 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.43 / 4.25

Corners

against 2.86 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 6 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.5 yellows

Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada

1.17 home / 2.33 away

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Inter Miami for / against	Line	Los Angeles Galaxy for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.43 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.14 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.71 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	8.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.17 fouls over 6 matches (1.17 to the home side, 2.33 to the away side).

Home 1.17Away 2.33

Inter Miami

Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Baltasar Rodriguez n 8	28.3	3.2 3/2	2 4/1	—
F. Redondo n 8	51.6	2.6 6/4	1.7 4/3	—
T. Segovia n 8	67.8	2 8/4	0.7 3/1	—
Yannick Bright n 8	44	1.8 4/1	1.5 3/2	—
S. Morales n 4	12.5	1.8 1/0	1.8 1/0	—

Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Baltasar Rodriguez n 8	28.3	2.8 3/2	0.8 2/0
L. Suarez n 8	88.8	2.5 7/5	1 5/3
L. Messi n 8	80.1	2.4 7/7	1.7 6/6
Fafà Picault n 8	24.6	2.3 4/1	1.8 4/0
T. Segovia n 8	67.8	1.5 5/3	1 4/1

Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Morales n 4	12.5	0 0/0	1.8 1/0
L. Messi n 8	80.1	1.1 4/4	0.6 3/1
T. Segovia n 8	67.8	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
Fafà Picault n 8	24.6	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Jordi Alba n 8	89.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Redondo n 8	51.6	3.9 6/4
D. Martinez n 8	48	3.8 5/4
Yannick Bright n 8	44	3.6 6/4
S. Morales n 4	12.5	3.6 2/0
B. Cremaschi n 8	44.3	3.3 4/2

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ó. Ustari n 8	82	4.8 6/5
R. Rios n 8	76	3.1 4/4

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Ramirez n 8	11.9	1.9 2/0	0 0/0	—
Elijah Wynder n 8	30.8	1.5 3/1	1.8 5/0	—
Joseph Paintsil n 8	88.8	1.4 6/3	2.9 8/7	—
Edwin Cerrillo n 8	85.4	1.4 5/4	0.9 4/2	—
Matheus Nascimento n 8	78.6	1.3 6/2	0.9 5/1	—

Los Angeles Galaxy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Paintsil n 8	88.8	3.3 8/7	2.7 8/6
Gabriel Pec n 8	86.6	2.6 8/5	1.3 8/2
Marco Reus n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3	0.7 4/1
Matheus Nascimento n 8	78.6	1.1 5/1	0.9 4/1
C. Ramirez n 8	11.9	0.9 1/0	0.9 1/0

Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Mauricio Cuevas n 8	37.1	0 0/0	1.2 3/1
Joseph Paintsil n 8	88.8	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
Matheus Nascimento n 8	78.6	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
Marco Reus n 8	81.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Gabriel Pec n 8	86.6	0.5 3/1	0 0/0

Los Angeles Galaxy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lucas Sanabria n 8	25.1	4.5 6/3
Carlos Garcés n 8	84.4	3.7 7/6
J. Aude n 8	76.1	3.1 8/7
Zanka n 8	81.3	2.6 7/6
Mauricio Cuevas n 8	37.1	2.4 4/3

Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Novak Mićović n 8	90	3.1 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter Miami		Los Angeles Galaxy
46%	Possession	54%
3.49	Expected goals (xG)	0.37
29	Shots	5
8	Shots on target	3
11	Shots off target	1
10	Blocked shots	1
17	Shots inside the box	4
13	Corners	2
1	Offsides	0
8	Fouls	3
2	Saves	5
461	Passes	560
90%	Pass accuracy	93%

Inter Miami player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Ó. Ustari	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
M. Weigandt	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
G. Lujan	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Falcon	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	6.9
Jordi Alba	90	1	0	2	1	5	2	8.3
Sergio Busquets	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	7.2
L. Suarez	89	1	0	5	3	3	0	7.6
B. Cremaschi	77	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.9
Fafà Picault	77	0	0	3	2	0	4	7.6
T. Allende	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.3
T. Segovia	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.6
R. de Paul sub	45	0	1	1	0	7	1	7.9
L. Messi sub	45	1	1	4	1	5	0	9
Baltasar Rodriguez sub	14	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.9
Yannick Bright sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
N. Allen sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Los Angeles Galaxy player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Novak Mićović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Miki Yamane	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
Zanka	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
Edwin Cerrillo	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
John Nelson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Joseph Paintsil	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	8
Marco Reus	88	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Isaiah Parente	79	0	1	0	0	1	1	7.2
Gabriel Pec	79	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.9
Diego Fagúndez	79	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Elijah Wynder	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Matheus Nascimento sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
J. Aude sub	12	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.7
Mauricio Cuevas sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Lucas Sanabria sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.3
C. Ramirez sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v Los Angeles Galaxy — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Inter MiamiDWDWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Los Angeles GalaxyDWDWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Inter Miami 0 · 1 draw · Los Angeles Galaxy 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2024-02-26 Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Inter Miami
2021-04-18 Inter Miami 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Inter Miami#3 pos65 pts34 pl+26 GD

Los Angeles Galaxy#14 pos30 pts34 pl-20 GD

Goals per game

Inter Miami scored2.38

Los Angeles Galaxy scored1.35

Inter Miami conceded1.62

Los Angeles Galaxy conceded1.94

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v Los Angeles Galaxy?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v Los Angeles Galaxy was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and Los Angeles Galaxy?: In their last 2 meetings, Inter Miami won 0, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Los Angeles Galaxy?: Recent form — Inter Miami 2W 2D 1L; Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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