Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC prediction

Major League Soccer · Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:30 GMT · BMO Stadium

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Los Angeles FC · Minnesota United FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC, Major League Soccer on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 25 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 466 of 713 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Los Angeles FC host Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer on Monday 2 November (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Minnesota United FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 13 of Minnesota United FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Los Angeles FC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Minnesota United FC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Los Angeles FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Los Angeles FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Los Angeles FC have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00. Los Angeles FC have scored 50 goals, the 15th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Los Angeles FC have conceded 35 goals, the third-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Away from home, Minnesota United FC have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.00. Minnesota United FC have scored 47 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Minnesota United FC have conceded 55 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Los Angeles FC (sixth) and Minnesota United FC (13th) are 12 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Los Angeles FC the stronger side, 67 rating points above Minnesota United FC (Los Angeles FC 1513, Minnesota United FC 1446, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Los Angeles FC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Minnesota United FC. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC.

Team news

Predicted Los Angeles FC XI (4-2-3-1): H. Lloris, Y. Cheberko, S. Palencia, A. Long, R. Porteous, M. Delgado, S. Heung-Min, L. Walta, I. Jesus, M. Choiniere, D. Bouanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Bouanga (5.7 per match over 39 appearances, 25 goals and five assists) and Leo Walta (4.7 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Los Angeles FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Los Angeles FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Bouanga averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 3338 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Walta averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 804 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Minnesota United FC XI (3-4-3): D. Callender, M. Duggan, C. Valerius, J. Diaz, A. Markanich, O. Gene, B. Hlongwane, N. Triantis, K. Yeboah, A. Jackson, M. Caldeira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, J. Pereyra (4.8 per match over 32 appearances, five goals and 12 assists) and A. Markanich (4.5 per match over 32 appearances, eight goals and two assists) have been Minnesota United FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Minnesota United FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Pereyra averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 2564 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Markanich averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 2712 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:30 GMT · Major League Soccer · BMO Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Los Angeles FC 5 · draws 0 · Minnesota United FC 1 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Los Angeles FC 1W 3D 1L · Minnesota United FC 1W 3D 1L

Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.63 / 4.75

Corners

against 5.5 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Los Angeles FC for / against	Line	Minnesota United FC for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC Goalkeeper

Los Angeles FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
H. Lloris	35	913171 min	1123.2 /90	300.9 /90	00 /90
Thomas Hasal	4	75300 min	72.1 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
Cabral Carter	2	75150 min	116.6 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90

Los Angeles FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
H. Lloris n 8	91.3	3.2 7/4

Los Angeles FC Defensive

Los Angeles FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Porteous	33	852804 min	531.7 /90	371.2 /90	210.7 /90	1354.3 /90	280.9 /90	70.2 /90
Nkosi Tafari	32	832649 min	230.8 /90	260.9 /90	270.9 /90	702.4 /90	170.6 /90	30.1 /90
E. Segura	30	852553 min	572 /90	291 /90	200.7 /90	1063.7 /90	361.3 /90	70.2 /90
R. Hollingshead	24	791884 min	401.9 /90	301.4 /90	40.2 /90	1145.4 /90	251.2 /90	20.1 /90
Sergi Palencia	21	811693 min	321.7 /90	150.8 /90	40.2 /90	683.6 /90	271.4 /90	40.2 /90
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Los Angeles FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Bouanga n 8	89.4	1.3 6/4	0.9 6/1	—
Son Heung-Min n 8	88.8	0 0/0	1.1 4/4	—
M. Delgado n 8	81.5	0.7 4/1	0.7 4/1	—
M. Choiniere n 8	62.3	0.5 2/1	1.4 3/2	—
H. Lloris n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Los Angeles FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Bouanga n 8	89.4	0.6 3/2
Son Heung-Min n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0
M. Delgado n 8	81.5	1.2 4/3
M. Choiniere n 8	62.3	1.6 6/2
R. Porteous n 8	87.8	1.4 6/4
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Los Angeles FC Attacking

Los Angeles FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Bouanga	37	853148 min	230.7 /90	50.1 /90	962.7 /90	581.7 /90	611.7 /90	732.1 /90
Son Heung-Min	37	813005 min	90.3 /90	180.5 /90	571.7 /90	341 /90	742.2 /90	401.2 /90
D. Martinez	26	541399 min	100.6 /90	00 /90	271.7 /90	151 /90	181.2 /90	231.5 /90
J. Shaffelburg	20	521048 min	00 /90	40.3 /90	100.9 /90	50.4 /90	211.8 /90	90.8 /90
T. Boyd	17	50842 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	171.8 /90	91 /90	111.2 /90	111.2 /90
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Los Angeles FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Bouanga n 8	89.4	2.8 8/4	1.6 7/3
Son Heung-Min n 8	88.8	2 8/6	1.3 7/3
M. Delgado n 8	81.5	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
M. Choiniere n 8	62.3	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
H. Lloris n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Los Angeles FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Bouanga n 8	89.4	0.9 6/1	0.1 1/0
Son Heung-Min n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0.5 3/1
M. Delgado n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Choiniere n 8	62.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Lloris n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC Goalkeeper

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Callender	31	902780 min	963.1 /90	501.6 /90	00 /90
A. Smir	3	79236 min	62.3 /90	51.9 /90	00 /90

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Callender n 8	90.6	3.1 7/5
A. Smir n 8	84.1	2.5 6/3

Minnesota United FC Defensive

Minnesota United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Duggan	32	882827 min	531.7 /90	461.5 /90	100.3 /90	1243.9 /90	260.8 /90	50.2 /90
J. Diaz	30	792356 min	391.5 /90	311.2 /90	110.4 /90	1284.9 /90	411.6 /90	100.4 /90
Michael Boxall	20	801596 min	160.9 /90	241.4 /90	120.7 /90	583.3 /90	211.2 /90	50.3 /90
D. Padelford	14	54759 min	161.9 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	485.7 /90	111.3 /90	20.2 /90
N. Romero	11	74814 min	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	121.3 /90	333.6 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0.9 4/3	0.8 4/2	—
D. Callender n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
K. Yeboah n 8	82	1.4 5/2	1.4 7/2	—
A. Markanich n 8	90.4	1.5 6/4	1.7 6/6	—
J. Diaz n 8	66.5	1.9 7/4	0.7 4/0	—
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Minnesota United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	2.3 8/4
K. Yeboah n 8	82	0.4 2/1
A. Markanich n 8	90.4	2 7/5
J. Diaz n 8	66.5	1.2 3/3
W. Trapp n 8	83	0.9 6/1
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Minnesota United FC Attacking

Minnesota United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Yeboah	31	782419 min	170.6 /90	30.1 /90	692.6 /90	351.3 /90	230.9 /90	240.9 /90
J. Pereyra	29	852451 min	50.2 /90	110.4 /90	361.3 /90	160.6 /90	792.9 /90	351.3 /90
T. Chancalay	29	692000 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	492.2 /90	190.9 /90	251.1 /90	281.3 /90
Marcus Caldeira	14	50706 min	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	212.7 /90	131.7 /90	91.1 /90	40.5 /90
M. Gonzalez	14	32442 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	122.4 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Callender n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Yeboah n 8	82	3.3 8/7	1.4 7/3
A. Markanich n 8	90.4	1.7 6/4	0.5 4/0
J. Diaz n 8	66.5	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
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Minnesota United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Callender n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Yeboah n 8	82	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
A. Markanich n 8	90.4	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
J. Diaz n 8	66.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Los Angeles FCLDWDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Minnesota United FCLDDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Los Angeles FC 5 · 0 draws · Minnesota United FC 1 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-04-25 Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC
2025-07-17 Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC
2025-02-22 Los Angeles FC 1–0 Minnesota United FC
2024-05-30 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Minnesota United FC
2024-03-17 Minnesota United FC 2–0 Los Angeles FC
2023-10-05 Los Angeles FC 5–1 Minnesota United FC

League standing · 2026

Los Angeles FC#6 pos47 pts32 pl+15 GD

Minnesota United FC#13 pos35 pts31 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Los Angeles FC scored1.56

Minnesota United FC scored1.52

Los Angeles FC conceded1.09

Minnesota United FC conceded1.77

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 5, Minnesota United FC won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC?: Recent form — Los Angeles FC 1W 3D 1L; Minnesota United FC 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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