Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls prediction

Major League Soccer · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT · Geodis Park

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 00:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · New York Red Bulls · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls, Major League Soccer on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 158 of 238 times (66.4%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nashville SC host New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 21:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Nashville SC to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Nashville SC have conceded 23 goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Nashville SC have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Nashville SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Nashville SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Nashville SC have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.43 and conceding 0.57. Nashville SC have scored 66 goals, the second-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Six of New York Red Bulls’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of New York Red Bulls’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, New York Red Bulls have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.00. New York Red Bulls have scored 41 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). New York Red Bulls have conceded 56 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs.

Nashville SC (first) and New York Red Bulls (ninth) are 31 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nashville SC the stronger side, 331 rating points above New York Red Bulls (Nashville SC 1801, New York Red Bulls 1470, after at least 235 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 August 2026, finished New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.

Team news

Predicted Nashville SC XI (4-2-3-1): B. Schwake, M. Woledzi, J. Palacios, A. Najar, R. Baker-Whiting, H. Mukhtar, M. Corcoran, C. Espinoza, P. Yazbek, E. Saad, S. Surridge — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Surridge (4.1 per match over 32 appearances, 20 goals and one assist) and H. Mukhtar (4.0 per match over 40 appearances, 17 goals and seven assists) have been Nashville SC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Nashville SC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Surridge averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 2409 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. H. Mukhtar averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 3229 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted New York Red Bulls XI (4-4-2): E. Horvath, J. Bazan, D. Nealis, D. Padelford, T. Parker, M. Sofo, R. Donkor, A. Mehmeti, E. Forsberg, J. Hall, C. Cowell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julian Hall (3.8 per match over 31 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and J. Bazan (3.7 per match over 17 appearances) have been New York Red Bulls’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for New York Red Bulls (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julian Hall averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2837 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. J. Bazan averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1341 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT · Major League Soccer · Geodis Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 2 · draws 2 · New York Red Bulls 2 · 1.17 goals/game
Recent form: Nashville SC 4W 1D 0L · New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L

Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 5.25

Corners

against 3.75 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 5

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nashville SC for / against	Line	New York Red Bulls for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.25 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Schwake	39	903513 min	1092.8 /90	220.6 /90	10 /90
X. Valdez	2	94188 min	31.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
J. Willis	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 8	90.8	2.6 4/4

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Woledzi	37	903333 min	511.4 /90	391.1 /90	190.5 /90	1403.8 /90	250.7 /90	10 /90
A. Najar	36	712559 min	291 /90	351.2 /90	60.2 /90	1093.8 /90	291 /90	50.2 /90
J. Palacios	32	872796 min	541.7 /90	361.2 /90	190.6 /90	1685.4 /90	250.8 /90	60.2 /90
R. Baker-Whiting	29	712068 min	431.9 /90	180.8 /90	70.3 /90	984.3 /90	221 /90	20.1 /90
D. Lovitz	29	681960 min	411.9 /90	170.8 /90	60.3 /90	823.8 /90	321.5 /90	70.3 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Mukhtar n 8	88.4	0.6 5/0	1.7 6/4	—
B. Schwake n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Woledzi n 8	90.8	1 5/3	0.5 4/0	—
M. Corcoran n 8	84.9	1.1 4/3	0.1 1/0	—
A. Najar n 8	74.6	0.9 5/1	0.9 3/1	—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	88.4	0.6 4/1
M. Woledzi n 8	90.8	0.7 5/1
M. Corcoran n 8	84.9	3.4 8/6
A. Najar n 8	74.6	0.6 4/0
C. Espinoza n 8	81.5	1.2 7/2
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Surridge	30	802386 min	190.7 /90	10 /90	702.6 /90	421.6 /90	140.5 /90	110.4 /90
W. Madrigal	23	611401 min	50.3 /90	20.1 /90	241.5 /90	100.6 /90	151 /90	110.7 /90
A. Qasem	23	581331 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	161.1 /90	100.7 /90	60.4 /90	151 /90
Woobens Pacius	8	60478 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	71.3 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	40.8 /90
H. Mukhtar	40	813229 min	170.5 /90	70.2 /90	832.3 /90	441.2 /90	541.5 /90	310.9 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	88.4	3.4 8/7	1.9 7/4
B. Schwake n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Woledzi n 8	90.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Corcoran n 8	84.9	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
A. Najar n 8	74.6	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	88.4	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
B. Schwake n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Woledzi n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Corcoran n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Najar n 8	74.6	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	31	892768 min	1013.3 /90	561.8 /90	10 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	3.7 7/6

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dylan Nealis	27	842259 min	431.7 /90	321.3 /90	180.7 /90	1485.9 /90	341.4 /90	50.2 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	22	671463 min	301.8 /90	140.9 /90	70.4 /90	633.9 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	21	681422 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	00 /90	513.2 /90	161 /90	10.1 /90
J. Che	19	821549 min	342 /90	231.3 /90	211.2 /90	834.8 /90	150.9 /90	50.3 /90
J. Bazan	16	831331 min	362.4 /90	302 /90	120.8 /90	966.5 /90	181.2 /90	50.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1.5 7/3	1.5 6/3	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0.8 5/0	1 4/2	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	1.1 3/1	0.4 2/0	—
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0.9 3/1	1.3 4/1	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.6 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	2.3 5/5
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	0.6 3/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0.9 4/1
Ronald Donkor n 8	80.6	2.5 8/5
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	30	862575 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	592.1 /90	341.2 /90	230.8 /90	401.4 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	29	691989 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	431.9 /90	231 /90	261.2 /90	140.6 /90
Cade Cowell	29	661927 min	20.1 /90	60.3 /90	371.7 /90	261.2 /90	422 /90	261.2 /90
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	12	40482 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	142.6 /90	91.7 /90	81.5 /90	50.9 /90
Rafael Mosquera	9	34306 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	2.9 7/6	1.7 6/2
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	2.3 5/2	1.1 4/1
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	2.2 8/4	1.6 5/4
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nashville SCWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

New York Red BullsLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nashville SC 2 · 2 draws · New York Red Bulls 2 · 1.17 goals/game

2026-08-19 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC
2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls
2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC
2024-06-15 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC
2024-02-24 Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls
2023-10-22 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

Nashville SC#1 pos70 pts31 pl+43 GD

New York Red Bulls#9 pos39 pts31 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Nashville SC scored2.13

New York Red Bulls scored1.32

Nashville SC conceded0.74

New York Red Bulls conceded1.81

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls?: In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, New York Red Bulls won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls?: Recent form — Nashville SC 4W 1D 0L; New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 00:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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