New England Revolution v Chicago Fire result

Full-time · New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · Gillette Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New England Revolution · Chicago Fire · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire — New England Revolution won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.50 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New England Revolution beat Chicago Fire 1–0 at Gillette Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Chicago Fire out-shot New England Revolution 19 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.09 xG to 0.27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

New England Revolution led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — New England Revolution: M. Polster (26’, assisted by Carles Gil).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Polster’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

Nabil Bensalah, USA showed two yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — New England Revolution: E. Kohler (79’); Chicago Fire: A. Gutman (58’).

What it changes

New England Revolution have scored 55 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). New England Revolution have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Chicago Fire have scored 61 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Chicago Fire have conceded 50 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carles Gil (New England Revolution) 6.0, Matt Turner (New England Revolution) 5.8 and M. Polster (New England Revolution) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

New England Revolution next travel to Orlando City SC on 7 November 2026.

Chicago Fire next host Columbus Crew on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for New England Revolution: Orlando City SC v New England Revolution, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Chicago Fire: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
Venue: Gillette Stadium · Foxborough, Massachusetts
Referee: Nabil Bensalah, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New England Revolution 2 · draws 2 · Chicago Fire 2 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L · Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L

New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.75 / 4.25

Corners

against 7 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.13 / 5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New England Revolution for / against	Line	Chicago Fire for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.88 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Nabil Bensalah, USA.

New England Revolution

New England Revolution Goalkeeper

New England Revolution — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matt Turner	29	902622 min	1113.8 /90	291 /90	00 /90

New England Revolution — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matt Turner n 8	90	3.4 6/5

New England Revolution Defensive

New England Revolution — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
William Sands	29	882540 min	431.5 /90	281 /90	70.2 /90	1495.3 /90	291 /90	50.2 /90
Mamadou Fofana	26	902352 min	522 /90	391.5 /90	140.5 /90	813.1 /90	170.7 /90	40.2 /90
M. Polster	23	751714 min	150.8 /90	160.8 /90	50.3 /90	522.7 /90	221.2 /90	50.3 /90
Ethan Kohler	16	851356 min	130.9 /90	161.1 /90	161.1 /90	473.1 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
Ilay Feingold	12	66795 min	182 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90	465.2 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
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New England Revolution — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	2.4 7/5	M. Haile-Selassie
William Sands n 8	88	1.4 6/4	1 6/2	—
Dor Turgeman n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/1	P. Zinckernagel
Mamadou Fofana n 8	90	1 6/2	0 0/0	—
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New England Revolution — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	0.4 3/0
William Sands n 8	88	1.3 6/3
Dor Turgeman n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0
Mamadou Fofana n 8	90	2.3 7/4
Brooklyn Raines n 8	90	2 8/5
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New England Revolution Attacking

New England Revolution — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dor Turgeman	28	832318 min	90.3 /90	70.3 /90	522 /90	251 /90	230.9 /90	150.6 /90
Peyton Miller	25	751868 min	60.3 /90	60.3 /90	532.6 /90	301.4 /90	201 /90	60.3 /90
Luca Langoni	18	581040 min	30.3 /90	60.5 /90	201.7 /90	121 /90	161.4 /90	80.7 /90
Griffin Yow	17	50852 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	151.6 /90	91 /90	111.2 /90	50.5 /90
Marcos Zambrano	5	45223 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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New England Revolution — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	2 7/4	1.1 4/3
William Sands n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Dor Turgeman n 8	84.4	2.5 7/5	1.2 6/2
Mamadou Fofana n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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New England Revolution — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
William Sands n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dor Turgeman n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	0.4 2/1
Mamadou Fofana n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Brady	31	912828 min	933 /90	441.4 /90	00 /90
J. Cohen	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Brady n 8	91.5	3.1 6/5

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Elliott	30	882641 min	301 /90	220.7 /90	260.9 /90	973.3 /90	260.9 /90	80.3 /90
J. Dean	26	771999 min	421.9 /90	291.3 /90	90.4 /90	954.3 /90	160.7 /90	30.1 /90
A. Gutman	25	761909 min	331.6 /90	180.8 /90	110.5 /90	833.9 /90	291.4 /90	40.2 /90
J. Waterman	18	771384 min	140.9 /90	151 /90	140.9 /90	473.1 /90	181.2 /90	60.4 /90
M. Pineda	18	50907 min	242.4 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90	404 /90	121.2 /90	10.1 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Zinckernagel n 8	78	2.3 8/5	2 6/5	Dor Turgeman
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0	—
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	1 5/1	1.3 7/2	Carles Gil
J. Elliott n 8	85.3	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
A. Saletros n 8	72.5	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	78	1.7 5/4
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	1.2 5/2
J. Elliott n 8	85.3	1.2 5/2
A. Saletros n 8	72.5	1.1 5/2
D. D'Avilla n 8	81.3	0.8 5/1
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Dithejane	22	40889 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	212.1 /90	131.3 /90	171.7 /90	212.1 /90
R. Lewandowski	17	761293 min	70.5 /90	20.1 /90	271.9 /90	130.9 /90	130.9 /90	151 /90
H. Cuypers	11	90989 min	131.2 /90	00 /90	343.1 /90	222 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90
J. Gómez	6	56338 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
Dylan Borso	2	4080 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	78	2.2 7/5	1.2 6/2
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	2.1 6/5	1.8 6/5
J. Elliott n 8	85.3	1.1 6/2	0.1 1/0
A. Saletros n 8	72.5	1.4 6/2	0.6 3/1
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
J. Elliott n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Saletros n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New England Revolution		Chicago Fire
38%	Possession	62%
0.27	Expected goals (xG)	1.09
5	Shots	19
4	Shots on target	6
1	Shots off target	3
0	Blocked shots	10
3	Shots inside the box	12
0	Corners	10
1	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	17
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	3
363	Passes	573
85%	Pass accuracy	90%

New England Revolution Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Wynder	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.9
Carles Gil	90	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
E. Kohler	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
Peyton Miller	90	0	0	3	2	1	1	0	7.6
M. Polster	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
Brooklyn Raines	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Matt Turner	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	8.3
Ilay Feingold	87	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Dor Turgeman	86	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
William Sands	75	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Luca Langoni	65	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
Dániel Gazdag sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Jackson Yueill sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Tanner Beason sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Cody Baker sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9

Chicago Fire Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Zinckernagel	90	2	2	1	1	0	6
M. Haile-Selassie	90	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
A. Hanche-Olsen	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
R. Lewandowski	90	2	1	1	3	0	6.2
M. Mbokazi	90	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
A. Saletros	90	1	1	2	3	0	8
C. Brady	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Leonardo Barroso	79	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
D. D'Avilla	68	1	0	0	4	0	7.3
Jonathan Bamba	67	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
A. Gutman	67	0	0	1	2	Y	6.3
N. Allen sub	23	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
P. Dithejane sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Mekvabishvili sub	22	1	1	3	2	0	7
J. Gómez sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New England RevolutionWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Chicago FireLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New England Revolution 2 · 2 draws · Chicago Fire 2 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-09-13 Chicago Fire 1–2 New England Revolution
2025-10-18 New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire
2025-09-07 Chicago Fire 3–2 New England Revolution
2025-05-20 New England Revolution 1–3 Chicago Fire
2024-05-05 Chicago Fire 0–1 New England Revolution
2024-03-23 New England Revolution 1–1 Chicago Fire

League standing · 2026

New England Revolution#3 pos58 pts33 pl+9 GD

Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts33 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

New England Revolution scored1.67

Chicago Fire scored1.85

New England Revolution conceded1.39

Chicago Fire conceded1.52

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New England Revolution v Chicago Fire?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New England Revolution v Chicago Fire was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire?: In their last 6 meetings, New England Revolution won 2, Chicago Fire won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New England Revolution and Chicago Fire?: Recent form — New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L; Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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