New York Red BullsColumbus Crew

New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer · · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls beat Columbus Crew 3–2 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 14 May. It is New York Red Bulls’s first win over Columbus Crew since 29 October 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

New York Red Bulls led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Julian Hall (7’, assisted by Cade Cowell; 40’, assisted by Cade Cowell; 78’); Columbus Crew: Maximilian Arfsten (22’, assisted by Hugo Picard) and Diego Rossi (64’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Julian Hall’s goal on 78 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York Red Bulls 2.79, Columbus Crew 1.51, from 13 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Jorge Ruvalcaba (68’), Omar Valencia (83’) and Rafael Mosquera (90+7’); Columbus Crew: Taha Habroune (45+3’) and Rudy Camacho (71’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 45 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). New York Red Bulls have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Columbus Crew have scored 55 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Columbus Crew have conceded 49 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Columbus Crew have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls) 14.5, Maximilian Arfsten (Columbus Crew) 9.6 and Hugo Picard (Columbus Crew) 9.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew are unbeaten in the last three meetings with New York Red Bulls.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York Red Bulls or Columbus Crew (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

New York Red Bulls next host Atlanta United FC on 7 November 2026.

Columbus Crew next travel to Chicago Fire on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Columbus Crew: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
  • Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 1 · draws 2 · Columbus Crew 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York Red Bulls 1W 1D 3L · Columbus Crew 3W 0D 2L

New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.17 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.17 / 3 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3 / 4.17
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 3.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.63 / 1
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
24.35 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNew York Red Bulls for / againstLineColumbus Crew for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 5.17 against n 6
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3 against n 6
Shots
10.5 for · 13.5 against n 6
19.5standard
12.67 for · 8.67 against n 6
Shots on target
3 for · 5.5 against n 6
8.5standard
4.17 for · 3.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.83 for · 10.17 against n 6
21.5standard
11 for · 9.67 against n 6
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ethan Horvath12911093 min373 /90282.3 /9000 /90
New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 891.6
3.17/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matthew Dos Santos1269823 min101.1 /90131.4 /9000 /90222.4 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty1178854 min171.8 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90343.6 /9050.5 /9000 /90
Dylan Nealis991817 min131.4 /90141.5 /90101.1 /90535.8 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Robert Voloder890723 min131.6 /90131.6 /9010.1 /90384.7 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90
Juan Mina537183 min42 /9042 /9000 /90146.9 /9042 /9000 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 891.6
00/0
00/0
—
Julian Hall n 885.1
1.26/3
0.84/2
—
Adri Mehmeti n 877.9
2.27/5
0.95/1
—
Emil Forsberg n 875
1.14/2
0.85/0
—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 869.5
0.85/0
0.63/1
—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 885.1
0.73/2
Adri Mehmeti n 877.9
2.27/5
Emil Forsberg n 875
0.95/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 869.5
0.63/1
Matthew Dos Santos n 868.5
1.14/2
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julian Hall12861033 min60.5 /9020.2 /90151.3 /9090.8 /90100.9 /90100.9 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba1274893 min40.4 /9000 /90191.9 /90111.1 /90131.3 /9070.7 /90
Cade Cowell1071714 min10.1 /9010.1 /90151.9 /9091.1 /90162 /9081 /90
Rafael Mosquera732221 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9052 /9031.2 /90
Mohammed Sofo645269 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9031 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 885.1
0.94/2
0.43/0
Adri Mehmeti n 877.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Emil Forsberg n 875
1.24/2
0.63/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 869.5
2.67/6
1.36/2
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 885.1
0.43/0
0.31/1
Adri Mehmeti n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
Emil Forsberg n 875
0.21/0
0.32/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 869.5
0.63/1
00/0
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Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew Goalkeeper

Columbus Crew — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Patrick Schulte12911092 min282.3 /90191.6 /9000 /90
Columbus Crew — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Columbus Crew before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Patrick Schulte n 891.5
2.25/4

Columbus Crew Defensive

Columbus Crew — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Sean Zawadzki12911092 min191.6 /90171.4 /9030.2 /90453.7 /9090.7 /9010.1 /90
Rudy Camacho12841009 min111 /90242.1 /9060.5 /90343 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90
Malte Amundsen1187957 min232.2 /90171.6 /9020.2 /90504.7 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
Steven Moreira1181887 min80.8 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90222.2 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Yevhen Cheberko23162 min45.8 /9000 /9000 /9057.3 /9011.5 /9000 /90
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Columbus Crew — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Columbus Crew before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sean Zawadzki n 891.5
0.54/0
0.21/1
—
Patrick Schulte n 891.5
00/0
00/0
—
Diego Rossi n 888
0.32/0
1.37/2
—
Maximilian Arfsten n 886.5
1.68/4
0.95/2
—
Rudy Camacho n 883.3
1.55/3
0.32/0
—
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Columbus Crew — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Columbus Crew before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sean Zawadzki n 891.5
1.24/4
Diego Rossi n 888
0.95/2
Maximilian Arfsten n 886.5
2.38/4
Rudy Camacho n 883.3
0.85/1
Malte Amundsen n 885.9
2.87/4
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Columbus Crew Attacking

Columbus Crew — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Diego Rossi12891064 min40.3 /9010.1 /90221.9 /9080.7 /9090.8 /9090.8 /90
W. Abou Ali781567 min50.8 /9010.2 /90142.2 /9091.4 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
Dániel Gazdag747328 min10.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Thiare525127 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.4 /9021.4 /90
Maximilian Arfsten12881050 min30.3 /9040.3 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90201.7 /90272.3 /90
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Columbus Crew — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Columbus Crew before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Patrick Schulte n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Sean Zawadzki n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Diego Rossi n 888
27/4
0.64/1
Maximilian Arfsten n 886.5
1.38/2
0.85/1
Rudy Camacho n 883.3
0.75/0
0.54/0
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Columbus Crew — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Columbus Crew before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Patrick Schulte n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Sean Zawadzki n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Diego Rossi n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
Maximilian Arfsten n 886.5
0.43/0
0.54/0
Rudy Camacho n 883.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew
31%Possession69%
2.79Expected goals (xG)1.51
13Shots12
6Shots on target4
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
3Corners2
2Offsides3
17Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
299Passes691
74%Pass accuracy88%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000006.3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty9000001206.2
Tim Parker9000000006.2
Ronald Donkor9000003206.9
Adri Mehmeti9000000506.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba90001022Y7
Julian Hall8530540109.7
Dylan Nealis6500000005.6
Emil Forsberg6500101106
Cade Cowell6502112007.9
Matthew Dos Santos4500000106.3
Omar Valencia sub45000002Y6.3
J. Che sub2500000207
Gustav Berggren sub2500111006.9
Rafael Mosquera sub25000012Y6.6
Roald Mitchell sub1500100006.3

Columbus Crew Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Patrick Schulte9000000005.9
Steven Moreira9000100106.2
Rudy Camacho90001000Y6.9
Sean Zawadzki9000000206.9
Maximilian Arfsten9010211207.5
André Gomes9000101007.2
Hugo Picard9001214307
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura8500100307.3
Taha Habroune85000021Y6.3
Owen Presthus6000000206.9
Dániel Gazdag6000001006.3
Mohamed Farsi sub3000000106.2
Diego Rossi sub3010221006.9
Amar Sejdic sub1500000006.3
Nariman Akhundzade sub1500000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York Red BullsDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Columbus CrewWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New York Red Bulls 1 · 2 draws · Columbus Crew 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Columbus Crew 3–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-11-03 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-10-29 Columbus Crew 0–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2024-10-20 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-03-16 Columbus Crew 3–0 New York Red Bulls
League standing · 2026
New York Red Bulls#10 pos39 pts33 pl-17 GD
Columbus Crew#8 pos44 pts33 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
New York Red Bulls scored1.36
Columbus Crew scored1.67
New York Red Bulls conceded1.88
Columbus Crew conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew?
TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew?
In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Columbus Crew won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew?
Recent form — New York Red Bulls 1W 1D 3L; Columbus Crew 3W 0D 2L.

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