New York Red Bulls v San Diego result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego

Major League Soccer · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · Red Bull Arena

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · San Diego

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls beat San Diego 4–1 at Red Bull Arena in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October. San Diego are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

New York Red Bulls led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Julian Hall (16’, assisted by Jorge Ruvalcaba), D. Padelford (20’, assisted by Cade Cowell), Jorge Ruvalcaba (27’, assisted by Ronald Donkor) and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (90’, assisted by M. Dos Santos); San Diego: C. Bakambu (60’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Julian Hall’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York Red Bulls 4.16, San Diego 2.12, from 28 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Malik Badawi, USA showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: J. Bazan (42’) and D. Padelford (82’); San Diego: J. Tverskov (30’), M. Duah (55’) and Kieran Sargeant (85’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 45 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). New York Red Bulls have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

San Diego have scored 57 goals, the 12th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). San Diego have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ronald Donkor (New York Red Bulls) 11.8, Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls) 9.1 and Jorge Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) 8.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York Red Bulls or San Diego (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

New York Red Bulls next host Atlanta United FC on 7 November 2026.

San Diego next host Sporting Kansas City on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for San Diego: San Diego v Sporting Kansas City, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego · Major League Soccer
Venue: Red Bull Arena · Harrison, New Jersey
Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L · San Diego 0W 2D 3L

New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.25

Corners

against 6.63 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.07 yellows

Referee · Malik Badawi, USA

23.29 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	San Diego for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.88 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Malik Badawi, USA — 5.07 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 23.29 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	27	892408 min	913.4 /90	511.9 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	4.1 7/6

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dylan Nealis	23	841929 min	341.6 /90	251.2 /90	170.8 /90	1235.7 /90	261.2 /90	40.2 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	21	681422 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	00 /90	513.2 /90	161 /90	10.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	20	701400 min	301.9 /90	140.9 /90	70.5 /90	603.9 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90
J. Che	16	851360 min	322.1 /90	221.5 /90	201.3 /90	775.1 /90	140.9 /90	50.3 /90
J. Bazan	12	81971 min	292.7 /90	211.9 /90	100.9 /90	767 /90	121.1 /90	30.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1 4/2	1.8 7/3	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.4	0.4 3/0	1 4/2	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	53.8	1.3 3/1	0.6 2/1	—
Cade Cowell n 8	61.8	0.5 3/0	2 7/2	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.4	1.4 5/2
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	53.8	0.2 1/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.8	0.7 4/0
Ronald Donkor n 8	85.6	2.1 6/5
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	26	852220 min	100.4 /90	30.1 /90	431.7 /90	261.1 /90	160.6 /90	341.4 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	25	701745 min	70.4 /90	00 /90	341.8 /90	191 /90	211.1 /90	120.6 /90
Cade Cowell	25	681690 min	20.1 /90	50.3 /90	311.7 /90	211.1 /90	341.8 /90	251.3 /90
Mohammed Sofo	17	46784 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	111.3 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	80.9 /90
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	9	43385 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1.7 6/4	1 5/2
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	53.8	1 5/0	0.4 2/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.8	1.5 6/2	1.1 4/2
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	53.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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San Diego

San Diego Goalkeeper

San Diego — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Ferree	17	911547 min	583.4 /90	311.8 /90	00 /90
C. J. dos Santos	14	901264 min	523.7 /90	201.4 /90	10.1 /90
P. Sisniega	3	90270 min	155 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

San Diego — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Ferree n 8	91.4	2.5 6/5
C. J. dos Santos n 8	88.8	3.3 8/4

San Diego Defensive

San Diego — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Duah	31	892761 min	401.3 /90	451.5 /90	260.8 /90	1274.1 /90	180.6 /90	30.1 /90
O. Verhoeven	28	711989 min	291.3 /90	160.7 /90	90.4 /90	592.7 /90	180.8 /90	50.2 /90
C. McVey	26	772004 min	291.3 /90	331.5 /90	130.6 /90	622.8 /90	241.1 /90	120.5 /90
Luca Bombino	22	761675 min	492.6 /90	221.2 /90	80.4 /90	1116 /90	291.6 /90	60.3 /90
Kieran Sargeant	20	691370 min	362.4 /90	130.9 /90	50.3 /90	533.5 /90	110.7 /90	10.1 /90
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San Diego — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Dreyer n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.8 5/1	—
M. Duah n 8	90	0.6 3/1	2 8/5	—
O. Valakari n 8	60.1	0.7 3/1	1.3 6/1	—
A. Godoy n 8	75.4	1.5 6/3	2.2 8/4	—
J. Tverskov n 8	75.9	0.9 4/2	1.9 8/4	—
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San Diego — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	90	0.8 4/1
M. Duah n 8	90	1.6 7/4
O. Valakari n 8	60.1	1.3 4/2
A. Godoy n 8	75.4	0.9 3/2
J. Tverskov n 8	75.9	2.1 5/4
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San Diego Attacking

San Diego — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Dreyer	32	882814 min	120.4 /90	120.4 /90	612 /90	411.3 /90	852.7 /90	200.6 /90
M. Ingvartsen	28	701959 min	120.6 /90	30.1 /90	492.3 /90	211 /90	200.9 /90	110.5 /90
A. Pellegrino	19	631199 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	211.6 /90	120.9 /90	141.1 /90	50.4 /90
L. Morgan	15	51765 min	00 /90	30.4 /90	121.4 /90	40.5 /90	101.2 /90	20.2 /90
A. Mighten	15	48727 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	81 /90	40.5 /90	101.2 /90	151.9 /90
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San Diego — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	90	2 7/6	1 6/2
M. Duah n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Valakari n 8	60.1	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
A. Godoy n 8	75.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tverskov n 8	75.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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San Diego — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.5 2/1
M. Duah n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Valakari n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Godoy n 8	75.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Tverskov n 8	75.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		San Diego
37%	Possession	63%
4.16	Expected goals (xG)	2.12
28	Shots	14
12	Shots on target	5
9	Shots off target	8
7	Blocked shots	1
20	Shots inside the box	12
4	Corners	7
0	Offsides	1
20	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	8
348	Passes	576
76%	Pass accuracy	80%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Bazan	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.7
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Julian Hall	90	1	0	7	6	2	2	0	8.2
Adri Mehmeti	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.9
Dylan Nealis	90	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	8.2
D. Padelford	88	1	0	1	1	0	3	Y	8.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba	81	1	1	4	1	4	1	0	8.3
Mohammed Sofo	71	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	6.2
Cade Cowell	71	0	1	2	2	2	0	0	6.2
Ronald Donkor	71	0	1	0	0	4	5	0	7.6
J. Che	61	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
Tim Parker sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Kone sub	19	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.5
Emil Forsberg sub	19	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting sub	19	1	0	2	1	3	0	0	8
M. Dos Santos sub	10	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	9	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6

San Diego Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Verhoeven	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.5
Kieran Sargeant	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	5.9
M. Duah	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	8.2
A. Dreyer	90	0	1	3	1	5	0	0	7.6
C. J. dos Santos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Godoy	89	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	7.5
Elias Achouri	79	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
I. Murphy	61	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Gabriel Pirani	61	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Tverskov	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
M. Ingvartsen	45	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	6.9
A. Alvarado Jr sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
C. Bakambu sub	45	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	7.3
C. McVey sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Nyangono sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
A. Pellegrino sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
O. Valakari sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v San Diego — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsDLWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

San DiegoLLLDD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026

New York Red Bulls#10 pos39 pts33 pl-17 GD

San Diego#13 pos38 pts33 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.36

San Diego scored1.73

New York Red Bulls conceded1.88

San Diego conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v San Diego?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v San Diego was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and San Diego?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L; San Diego 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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