Philadelphia Union v Charlotte result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte

Major League Soccer · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:30 BST · Subaru Park

Updated 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Charlotte · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.38 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union and Charlotte drew 2–2 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer on Saturday 17 October. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (24’ pen) and Bruno Damiani (73’, assisted by Danley Jean Jacques); Charlotte: R. Aloko (48’, assisted by Idan Toklomati Jorno) and Idan Toklomati Jorno (62’, assisted by D. Schnegg).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Damiani’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Philadelphia Union out-shot Charlotte 21 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.65 xG to 1.65 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Charlotte: A. Saint-Maximin (19’), Morrison Agyemang (44’) and D. Schnegg (45+1’).

What it changes

Philadelphia Union have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Idan Toklomati Jorno (Charlotte) 8.4, R. Aloko (Charlotte) 7.8 and Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Philadelphia Union next host New England Revolution on 24 October 2026.

Charlotte next travel to Portland Timbers on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Charlotte: Portland Timbers v Charlotte, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte · Major League Soccer
Venue: Subaru Park · Chester, Pennsylvania
Referee: Jon Freemon
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 2 · draws 1 · Charlotte 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L · Charlotte 2W 1D 2L

Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

5.75 / 5.75

Corners

against 4 / 7.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 7.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.88 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Philadelphia Union for / against	Line	Charlotte for / against
Goals scored	3.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.75 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.25 for · 21.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.75 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jon Freemon.

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alejandro Bedoya n 8	8.8	6.4 3/2	0 0/0	—
Bruno Damiani n 8	83.1	2.8 8/5	1.6 6/3	R. Aloko
Ezekiel Alladoh n 8	19.1	2.4 2/2	2.9 4/1	—
Japhet Sery Larsen n 8	54.3	2.3 6/2	0.6 3/0	—
Jesus Bueno n 8	31	2.2 5/1	1.8 3/1	—

Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	4.3 8/8	2 8/4
Cavan Sullivan n 8	67.9	2.5 6/5	1.5 5/3
Bruno Damiani n 8	83.1	2.4 6/5	1.2 5/3
Q. Sullivan n 8	47.5	2.4 5/4	1.7 5/2
Ezekiel Alladoh n 8	19.1	2.4 3/1	1.2 1/1

Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	83.1	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
Cavan Sullivan n 8	67.9	0.7 3/1	0.7 3/1
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	1.2 6/1	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	56.8	0.2 1/0	1 3/2
Malik Jakupovic n 8	12.1	0.9 1/0	0 0/0

Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jovan Lukić n 8	81.3	2.9 7/6
Jesus Bueno n 8	31	2.9 6/2
Malik Jakupovic n 8	12.1	2.8 3/0
Ben Bender n 8	65.1	1.9 6/3
Q. Sullivan n 8	47.5	1.9 5/2

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91	3 7/6

Charlotte

Charlotte — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Goodwin n 8	27.8	3.6 5/2	2 4/1	—
D. Diani n 8	53.3	3 5/4	0.4 2/0	—
R. Aloko n 8	27.1	2.1 4/1	1.7 4/0	Bruno Damiani
B. Bronico n 8	35.8	1.9 4/2	0.3 1/0	—
L. de la Torre n 8	38	1.8 4/1	0.9 3/0	—

Charlotte — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tyger Smalls n 8	21.1	2.7 4/1	2.1 4/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 8	71.5	2.2 6/4	1.3 5/2
L. Abada n 8	55.8	2.2 7/3	1.6 5/2
A. Saint-Maximin n 8	85.8	2 6/6	1 6/2
A. Goodwin n 8	27.8	1.2 2/1	0.4 1/0

Charlotte — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Tyger Smalls n 8	21.1	1.1 2/0	0.5 1/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 8	71.5	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
A. Westwood n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
A. Saint-Maximin n 8	85.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Pep Biel n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0

Charlotte — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Aloko n 8	27.1	4.6 5/2
Tyger Smalls n 8	21.1	3.2 5/1
L. de la Torre n 8	38	2.1 4/2
D. Diani n 8	53.3	1.7 4/2
N. Byrne n 8	57.6	1.6 4/3

Charlotte — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Kahlina n 8	90	6.3 8/8

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Philadelphia Union		Charlotte
40%	Possession	60%
2.65	Expected goals (xG)	1.65
21	Shots	13
5	Shots on target	3
9	Shots off target	6
7	Blocked shots	4
12	Shots inside the box	10
7	Corners	1
2	Offsides	0
18	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
302	Passes	469

Philadelphia Union player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Andre Blake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.4
Milan Iloski	90	1	0	4	1	1	0	6.8
Danley Jean Jacques	90	0	1	1	0	1	2	7.3
Neil Pierre	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	7.3
Cavan Sullivan	90	0	0	5	1	2	1	6.2
K. Wagner	90	0	0	1	0	4	2	6.6
Frankie Westfield	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.3
Jovan Lukić	90	0	0	0	0	3	3	6.5
Bruno Damiani	82	1	0	2	1	0	2	8.2
Indiana Vassilev	55	0	0	2	0	1	0	5.8
Q. Sullivan	35	0	0	2	1	2	0	6.7
Malik Jakupovic	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.5

Charlotte player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Aloko	102	1	0	3	1	0	3	0	7.3
A. Westwood	90	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	6.4
Idan Toklomati Jorno	90	1	1	2	1	2	0	0	8.6
H. Kessler	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Byrne	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Pep Biel	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.8
Morrison Agyemang	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
K. Kahlina	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Schnegg	83	0	1	0	0	2	0	Y	6.7
A. Saint-Maximin	83	0	0	4	1	1	0	Y	6.4
D. Diani	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
L. Abada	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. de la Torre	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
H. Toffolo	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Tyger Smalls	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Charlotte — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Philadelphia UnionWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

CharlotteDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Philadelphia Union 2 · 1 draw · Charlotte 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-04-04 Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union
2025-10-18 Charlotte 2–0 Philadelphia Union
2025-06-14 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte
2024-07-28 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Charlotte
2024-06-22 Philadelphia Union 0–2 Charlotte
2024-05-25 Charlotte 0–0 Philadelphia Union

League standing · 2026

Philadelphia Union#6 pos46 pts30 pl+13 GD

Charlotte#5 pos47 pts30 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Philadelphia Union scored2.03

Charlotte scored1.77

Philadelphia Union conceded1.6

Charlotte conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v Charlotte?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Charlotte was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Charlotte?: In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 2, Charlotte won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Charlotte?: Recent form — Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L; Charlotte 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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