Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC prediction

Major League Soccer · · Subaru Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC, Major League Soccer on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC in Major League Soccer on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 21:00 UK).

The key numbers

Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Philadelphia Union have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Philadelphia Union’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Philadelphia Union’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Philadelphia Union have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.25. Philadelphia Union have scored 61 goals, the fourth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Philadelphia Union have conceded 48 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

10 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Toronto FC have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.50. Toronto FC have scored 46 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Toronto FC have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Philadelphia Union (sixth) and Toronto FC (10th) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Philadelphia Union the stronger side, 227 rating points above Toronto FC (Philadelphia Union 1796, Toronto FC 1569, after at least 336 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Toronto FC. The most recent meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.

Team news

Predicted Philadelphia Union XI (4-4-2): A. Blake, K. Wagner, N. Harriel, F. Westfield, N. Pierre, J. Lukić, C. Sullivan, D. Jacques, I. Vassilev, B. Damiani, M. Iloski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cavan Sullivan (5.0 per match over 33 appearances, 10 goals and 11 assists) and Milan Iloski (4.2 per match over 35 appearances, 20 goals and three assists) have been Philadelphia Union’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Philadelphia Union (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cavan Sullivan averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2268 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Milan Iloski averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 2838 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Toronto FC XI (4-4-2): L. Gavran, M. Pereira, R. Laryea, B. Kuscevic, N. Gomis, N. Dorsch, A. Coello, D. Sallói, T. Corbeanu, J. Sargent, L. Morgan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Dorsch (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Josh Sargent (3.7 per match over 23 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Toronto FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Toronto FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Dorsch averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 832 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Josh Sargent averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1799 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Subaru Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 1 · draws 3 · Toronto FC 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Philadelphia Union 4W 1D 0L · Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L

Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.63 / 6.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePhiladelphia Union for / againstLineToronto FC for / against
Goals scored
3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
18.13 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alejandro Bedoya n 88.8
6.43/2
00/0
—
Malik Jakupovic n 811
4.13/1
22/0
—
Bruno Damiani n 883.4
3.18/5
1.96/4
—
Ezekiel Alladoh n 819.1
2.42/2
2.94/1
—
Japhet Sery Larsen n 854.3
2.36/2
0.63/0
—
Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Iloski n 877.6
4.18/8
1.78/3
Malik Jakupovic n 811
3.13/0
11/0
Cavan Sullivan n 869.8
2.96/5
1.66/3
Q. Sullivan n 848.6
2.86/5
1.96/2
Bruno Damiani n 883.4
2.77/6
1.36/3
Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 883.4
1.26/2
0.11/0
Milan Iloski n 877.6
1.26/1
00/0
Indiana Vassilev n 855.6
0.21/0
0.82/2
Malik Jakupovic n 811
11/0
00/0
Cavan Sullivan n 869.8
0.63/1
0.32/0
Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Malik Jakupovic n 811
3.13/0
Jovan Lukić n 881.3
37/6
Jesus Bueno n 831
2.96/2
Neil Pierre n 867.6
26/3
Ben Bender n 865.1
1.96/3
Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 891
2.56/5
Toronto FC
Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
2.57/3
1.86/3
—
N. Dorsch n 883.9
28/3
1.58/3
—
R. Laryea n 875.5
1.85/4
2.58/4
—
Benjamin Kuscevic n 884.9
1.68/3
00/0
—
Jonathan Osorio n 866.9
1.56/3
0.74/0
—
Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Josh Sargent n 885.6
2.56/5
0.93/1
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
2.16/4
1.15/1
L. Morgan n 838.3
2.15/2
1.85/1
Emilio Aristizábal n 820.5
1.62/1
0.51/0
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
1.45/3
0.43/0
Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
0.42/0
0.53/0
D. Mihailovic n 866.8
0.32/0
0.52/1
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
L. Morgan n 838.3
0.62/0
00/0
A. Piedrahita n 863.3
00/0
0.52/1
Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
3.97/5
Kobe Franklin n 847.8
3.16/3
Nickseon Gomis n 848.8
2.85/4
Matheus Pereira n 875.1
2.56/5
N. Dorsch n 883.9
2.47/5
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 881.6
4.36/6
William Yarbrough n 888.9
3.57/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Philadelphia UnionWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Toronto FCLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Philadelphia Union 1 · 3 draws · Toronto FC 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-22 Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union
  • 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC
  • 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union
  • 2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union
  • 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC
  • 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union
League standing · 2026
Philadelphia Union#6 pos46 pts30 pl+13 GD
Toronto FC#10 pos36 pts30 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Philadelphia Union scored2.03
Toronto FC scored1.53
Philadelphia Union conceded1.6
Toronto FC conceded1.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1, Toronto FC won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC?
Recent form — Philadelphia Union 4W 1D 0L; Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L.

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