St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC result

Full-time · St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 13 Sep 2026 01:30 BST · CITYPARK

Updated 26 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Louis City · Minnesota United FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC — St. Louis City won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.60 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 406 of 618 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

St. Louis City beat Minnesota United FC 4–2 at CITYPARK in Major League Soccer on Sunday 13 September. St. Louis City are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Minnesota United FC are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

St. Louis City led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Minnesota United FC: T. Chancalay (5’, assisted by J. Pereyra) and K. Yeboah (61’ pen); St. Louis City: D. Edelman (18’), C. Holse (22’, assisted by C. Wallem) and Rafael Navarro (38’, assisted by C. Holse; 57’ pen). K. Duncan (80’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Edelman’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: St. Louis City 2.85, Minnesota United FC 1.75, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Montero showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Minnesota United FC: Michael Boxall (47’), K. Duncan (64’) and K. Duncan (80’).

What it changes

It is St. Louis City’s first win over Minnesota United FC since 24 September 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). St. Louis City have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Minnesota United FC have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rafael Navarro (St. Louis City) 14.3, C. Holse (St. Louis City) 8.0 and J. Pereyra (Minnesota United FC) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

St. Louis City next travel to Columbus Crew on 22 October 2026.

Minnesota United FC next travel to Houston Dynamo on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for St. Louis City: Columbus Crew v St. Louis City, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Minnesota United FC: Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC · Major League Soccer
Venue: CITYPARK · St. Louis
Referee: R. Montero
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): St. Louis City 1 · draws 0 · Minnesota United FC 5 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: St. Louis City 2W 3D 0L · Minnesota United FC 1W 1D 3L

St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.63 / 5.25

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.7 yellows

Referee · R. Montero

1.8 home / 2.9 away

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	St. Louis City for / against	Line	Minnesota United FC for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Montero — 4.7 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 25.4 fouls over 10 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.9 to the away side).

Home 1.8Away 2.9

St. Louis City

St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Ault n 7	8.4	4.6 2/1	1.5 1/0	—
T. Ostrák n 8	23.9	2.8 5/1	0 0/0	—
C. Wallem n 8	84.1	2.7 7/5	0.9 4/2	—
L. MacNaughton n 8	56	2.4 6/4	0.8 4/0	—
M. Joyner n 8	28.6	2.4 2/1	1.6 2/1	—

St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Navarro n 8	82.1	2.7 6/6	1.2 4/3
S. Becher n 8	75.4	2.4 6/3	1.6 4/3
M. Hartel n 8	75.3	2.4 6/3	1.2 4/3
M. Joyner n 8	28.6	2 3/2	0.8 2/0
T. Ostrák n 8	23.9	1.9 3/1	0.5 1/0

St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Hartel n 8	75.3	0.6 4/0	0.4 2/1
S. Becher n 8	75.4	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
F. Fall n 8	43.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
T. Totland n 8	90.5	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Rafael Navarro n 8	82.1	0.5 3/1	0 0/0

St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Ault n 7	8.4	6.1 3/1
T. Ostrák n 8	23.9	4.2 5/3
Jaziel Orozco n 8	45.3	3.2 7/3
F. Fall n 8	43.9	3.1 4/3
C. Durkin n 8	85	2.8 7/6

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Burki n 8	90.6	1.7 5/2

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Taylor n 8	31.9	2.5 3/3	0.4 1/0	—
O. Gene n 8	73.8	2.4 7/5	0.8 4/1	—
J. Diaz n 8	68.1	2.1 7/5	1.2 4/2	—
D. Padelford n 8	40	2 3/3	0.3 1/0	—
J. Gressel n 8	27.8	2 3/1	0.4 1/0	—

Minnesota United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Gonzalez n 8	21.5	5.2 6/2	1 2/0
K. Yeboah n 8	55	3.7 7/5	2.3 6/2
Aziel Jackson n 8	38.9	2.9 6/3	1.7 5/1
T. Chancalay n 8	40.1	2.8 5/4	0.6 2/0
Marcus Caldeira n 8	50.4	2.7 7/4	1.1 4/1

Minnesota United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Marcus Caldeira n 8	50.4	0.9 3/1	0.7 2/1
K. Yeboah n 8	55	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
J. Pereyra n 8	91.1	0.5 3/1	0.5 4/0
M. Gonzalez n 8	21.5	1 2/0	0 0/0
A. Markanich n 8	90.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0

Minnesota United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	81.6	3.2 7/6
D. Padelford n 8	40	2.5 5/3
K. Duncan n 8	80	2.1 7/5
K. Chandler n 3	56.3	2.1 2/2
C. Harvey n 8	38.4	2.1 5/2

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Callender n 8	85.3	3 4/4
A. Smir n 8	84.6	2.8 7/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
St. Louis City		Minnesota United FC
65%	Possession	35%
2.85	Expected goals (xG)	1.75
14	Shots	11
8	Shots on target	3
2	Shots off target	8
4	Blocked shots	0
10	Shots inside the box	9
6	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	4
596	Passes	325
89%	Pass accuracy	80%

St. Louis City player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
R. Burki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Jaziel Orozco	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	6.2
T. Baumgartl	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
D. Polvara	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
C. Wallem	90	0	1	1	1	3	1	6.9
Rafael Navarro	90	2	0	3	2	0	4	8.9
F. Fall	76	0	0	0	0	1	4	7.5
S. Becher	76	0	0	1	1	1	0	6
D. Edelman	59	1	0	1	1	1	0	7.2
C. Holse	59	1	1	2	2	2	0	8.6
Rafael Santos	59	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.3
A. Mățan sub	31	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.9
C. Durkin sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
T. Totland sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. MacNaughton sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
D. Downs sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Minnesota United FC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Callender	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
C. Harvey	90	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	5.3
Michael Boxall	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.2
O. Gene	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
A. Markanich	90	0	0	2	0	3	4	0	7.3
J. Pereyra	90	0	1	1	0	4	2	0	7.2
T. Chancalay	83	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.6
K. Duncan	80	0	0	0	0	0	3	RY	6
N. Romero	75	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
W. Trapp	75	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Yeboah	75	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.9
N. Triantis sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Diaz sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Malone sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Aziel Jackson sub	14	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

St. Louis CityDWDWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Minnesota United FCLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

St. Louis City 1 · 0 draws · Minnesota United FC 5 · 3.83 goals/game

2025-07-27 St. Louis City 1–2 Minnesota United FC
2025-05-21 Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City
2025-05-18 Minnesota United FC 3–0 St. Louis City
2024-10-20 Minnesota United FC 4–1 St. Louis City
2024-09-15 St. Louis City 1–3 Minnesota United FC
2023-09-24 Minnesota United FC 1–2 St. Louis City

League standing · 2026

St. Louis City#2 pos51 pts30 pl+15 GD

Minnesota United FC#13 pos34 pts30 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

St. Louis City scored1.87

Minnesota United FC scored1.57

St. Louis City conceded1.37

Minnesota United FC conceded1.83

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC?: In their last 6 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, Minnesota United FC won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC?: Recent form — St. Louis City 2W 3D 0L; Minnesota United FC 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 26 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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