St. Louis City v San Diego prediction

Major League Soccer · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT · CITYPARK

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 04:03 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for St. Louis City v San Diego, Major League Soccer on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 160 of 242 times (66.1%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

St. Louis City host San Diego in Major League Soccer on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is St. Louis City to win.

The key numbers

12 of St. Louis City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

San Diego have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. St. Louis City are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. San Diego are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of St. Louis City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, St. Louis City have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.71. St. Louis City have scored 58 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). St. Louis City have conceded 47 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 30 clubs.

13 of San Diego’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of San Diego’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, San Diego have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.38. San Diego have scored 55 goals, the 12th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). San Diego have conceded 58 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs.

St. Louis City (third) and San Diego (13th) are 16 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have St. Louis City the stronger side, 121 rating points above San Diego (St. Louis City 1556, San Diego 1435, after at least 70 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

San Diego are unbeaten in the last three meetings with St. Louis City, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished San Diego 2–0 St. Louis City.

Team news

Predicted St. Louis City XI (3-4-3): B. Lundt, T. Baumgartl, F. Fall, D. Polvara, C. Durkin, T. Totland, C. Wallem, D. Edelman, R. Navarro, S. Becher, J. Sang-Bin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rafael Navarro (7.1 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and three assists) and M. Hartel (5.0 per match over 16 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been St. Louis City’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for St. Louis City (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Rafael Navarro averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2781 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. M. Hartel averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 2219 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted San Diego XI (4-3-3): P. Sisniega, M. Duah, K. Sargeant, C. McVey, O. Verhoeven, A. Godoy, G. Pirani, J. Tverskov, A. Dreyer, C. Bakambu, E. Achouri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Dreyer (4.6 per match over 37 appearances, 14 goals and 13 assists) and C. Bakambu (3.9 per match over nine appearances, five goals) have been San Diego’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Diego (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Dreyer averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 3248 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. C. Bakambu averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 804 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT · Major League Soccer · CITYPARK
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): St. Louis City 0 · draws 1 · San Diego 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: St. Louis City 0W 2D 3L · San Diego 0W 3D 2L

St. Louis City v San Diego (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.29 / 5.13

Corners

against 5.43 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.71 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 5.57 / 7 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.14 / 2 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	St. Louis City for / against	Line	San Diego for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.29 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.71 for · 16.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.71 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.43 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

St. Louis City

St. Louis City Goalkeeper

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Burki	28	912547 min	742.6 /90	391.4 /90	00 /90
B. Lundt	4	90360 min	102.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Burki n 8	90	2.6 4/3
B. Lundt n 8	90	3 6/4

St. Louis City Defensive

St. Louis City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Baumgartl	32	912907 min	451.4 /90	381.2 /90	210.7 /90	1023.2 /90	230.7 /90	30.1 /90
D. Polvara	31	852628 min	551.9 /90	481.6 /90	230.8 /90	1374.7 /90	270.9 /90	40.1 /90
L. MacNaughton	18	681222 min	241.8 /90	171.3 /90	80.6 /90	705.2 /90	282.1 /90	10.1 /90
Jaziel Orozco	17	831409 min	402.6 /90	291.9 /90	50.3 /90	694.4 /90	291.9 /90	40.3 /90
F. Fall	12	66796 min	212.4 /90	111.2 /90	101.1 /90	546.1 /90	121.4 /90	30.3 /90
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St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	1.3 5/4	0.9 6/1	—
D. Polvara n 8	75.6	0.9 4/1	0.7 3/2	—
D. Edelman n 8	69.6	1 4/1	1.5 5/4	—
S. Becher n 8	50.6	1.3 4/1	1.6 4/2	—
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	1.5 7/3
D. Polvara n 8	75.6	2.1 6/3
D. Edelman n 8	69.6	0.8 5/0
S. Becher n 8	50.6	0.2 1/0
C. Durkin n 8	74.6	2.1 8/5
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St. Louis City Attacking

St. Louis City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Becher	30	722159 min	90.4 /90	40.2 /90	562.3 /90	281.2 /90	220.9 /90	170.7 /90
Jeong Sang-Bin	19	561072 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	161.3 /90	90.8 /90	231.9 /90	90.8 /90
M. Hartel	16	871398 min	60.4 /90	30.2 /90	463 /90	251.6 /90	463 /90	100.6 /90
C. Holse	11	59648 min	60.8 /90	20.3 /90	212.9 /90	131.8 /90	172.4 /90	40.6 /90
Rafael Navarro	10	79790 min	91 /90	30.3 /90	202.3 /90	141.6 /90	80.9 /90	111.3 /90
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St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Polvara n 8	75.6	0.7 3/2	0.4 2/1
D. Edelman n 8	69.6	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
S. Becher n 8	50.6	2.9 7/3	2 6/2
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Polvara n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Edelman n 8	69.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Becher n 8	50.6	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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San Diego

San Diego Goalkeeper

San Diego — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Ferree	17	911547 min	583.4 /90	311.8 /90	00 /90
C. J. dos Santos	16	901444 min	603.7 /90	271.7 /90	10.1 /90
P. Sisniega	6	90540 min	294.8 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90

San Diego — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Ferree n 8	91.4	2.5 6/5
C. J. dos Santos n 8	88.8	3.7 7/4

San Diego Defensive

San Diego — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Duah	36	893211 min	451.3 /90	521.5 /90	341 /90	1464.1 /90	210.6 /90	50.1 /90
O. Verhoeven	32	732349 min	351.3 /90	200.8 /90	130.5 /90	803.1 /90	220.8 /90	50.2 /90
C. McVey	31	772393 min	321.2 /90	381.4 /90	140.5 /90	712.7 /90	271 /90	120.5 /90
Kieran Sargeant	25	711780 min	442.2 /90	160.8 /90	60.3 /90	753.8 /90	140.7 /90	30.2 /90
Luca Bombino	22	761675 min	492.6 /90	221.2 /90	80.4 /90	1116 /90	291.6 /90	60.3 /90
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San Diego — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Dreyer n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0.6 4/1	—
M. Duah n 8	90	0.9 5/1	1.6 7/3	—
A. Godoy n 8	64.4	1.4 6/2	2.6 7/4	—
J. Tverskov n 8	66.5	1.4 5/1	2 6/4	—
O. Valakari n 8	58	0.8 4/0	1.2 5/1	—
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San Diego — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	88	0.4 3/0
M. Duah n 8	90	1.1 6/2
A. Godoy n 8	64.4	2.1 5/3
J. Tverskov n 8	66.5	1.5 4/3
O. Valakari n 8	58	1.4 5/1
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San Diego Attacking

San Diego — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Dreyer	37	883248 min	140.4 /90	130.4 /90	732 /90	461.3 /90	972.7 /90	230.6 /90
M. Ingvartsen	33	642117 min	120.5 /90	30.1 /90	602.6 /90	251.1 /90	220.9 /90	120.5 /90
A. Pellegrino	22	611337 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	261.8 /90	130.9 /90	151 /90	50.3 /90
L. Morgan	15	51765 min	00 /90	30.4 /90	121.4 /90	40.5 /90	101.2 /90	20.2 /90
A. Mighten	15	48727 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	81 /90	40.5 /90	101.2 /90	151.9 /90
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San Diego — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	88	2.2 7/6	1 6/2
M. Duah n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Godoy n 8	64.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Tverskov n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
O. Valakari n 8	58	0.8 4/0	0.4 2/0
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San Diego — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 8	88	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
M. Duah n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Godoy n 8	64.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
J. Tverskov n 8	66.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
O. Valakari n 8	58	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind St. Louis City v San Diego — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

St. Louis CityDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

San DiegoLDDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.8 scored / 3 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

St. Louis City 0 · 1 draw · San Diego 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-03-02 San Diego 2–0 St. Louis City
2025-05-11 St. Louis City 1–2 San Diego
2025-03-02 San Diego 0–0 St. Louis City

League standing · 2026

St. Louis City#3 pos51 pts32 pl+11 GD

San Diego#13 pos35 pts31 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

St. Louis City scored1.81

San Diego scored1.77

St. Louis City conceded1.47

San Diego conceded1.87

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win St. Louis City v San Diego?: TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Louis City v San Diego is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City and San Diego?: In their last 3 meetings, St. Louis City won 0, San Diego won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Louis City and San Diego?: Recent form — St. Louis City 0W 2D 3L; San Diego 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 04:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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