Toronto FC v DC United prediction

Major League Soccer · · BMO Field

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TACTIX’s free model pick for Toronto FC v DC United, Major League Soccer on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Toronto FC host DC United in Major League Soccer on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 23:30 UK).

Form and the table

10 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Toronto FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Toronto FC have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 2.00. Toronto FC have scored 46 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Toronto FC have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

11 of DC United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of DC United’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, DC United have no wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.67. DC United have scored 37 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). DC United have conceded 51 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Toronto FC (10th) and DC United (13th) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toronto FC the stronger side, 180 rating points above DC United (Toronto FC 1569, DC United 1389, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished DC United 2–1 Toronto FC.

Team news

Predicted Toronto FC XI (4-4-2): L. Gavran, M. Pereira, R. Laryea, B. Kuscevic, N. Gomis, N. Dorsch, A. Coello, D. Sallói, T. Corbeanu, J. Sargent, L. Morgan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Dorsch (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Josh Sargent (3.7 per match over 23 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Toronto FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Toronto FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Dorsch averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 832 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Josh Sargent averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1799 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted DC United XI (4-4-2): S. Johnson, K. Kurokawa, K. Rowles, L. Bartlett, S. Hefti, A. Dozzell, K. Nono, J. Peglow, B. Servania, T. Baribo, L. Munteanu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Baribo (4.7 per match over 23 appearances, 16 goals and one assist) and Kimito Nono (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been DC United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for DC United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Baribo averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1984 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Kimito Nono averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 2509 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · BMO Field
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toronto FC 2 · draws 2 · DC United 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L · DC United 1W 1D 3L

Toronto FC v DC United (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.88
Corners
against 6.25 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameToronto FC for / againstLineDC United for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Toronto FC
Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
2.57/3
1.86/3
—
N. Dorsch n 883.9
28/3
1.58/3
—
R. Laryea n 875.5
1.85/4
2.58/4
—
Benjamin Kuscevic n 884.9
1.68/3
00/0
—
Jonathan Osorio n 866.9
1.56/3
0.74/0
—
Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Josh Sargent n 885.6
2.56/5
0.93/1
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
2.16/4
1.15/1
L. Morgan n 838.3
2.15/2
1.85/1
Emilio Aristizábal n 820.5
1.62/1
0.51/0
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
1.45/3
0.43/0
Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Theo Corbeanu n 862.9
0.42/0
0.53/0
D. Mihailovic n 866.8
0.32/0
0.52/1
Dániel Sallói n 878.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
L. Morgan n 838.3
0.62/0
00/0
A. Piedrahita n 863.3
00/0
0.52/1
Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Raheem Edwards n 854.8
3.97/5
Kobe Franklin n 847.8
3.16/3
Nickseon Gomis n 848.8
2.85/4
Matheus Pereira n 875.1
2.56/5
N. Dorsch n 883.9
2.47/5
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 881.6
4.36/6
William Yarbrough n 888.9
3.57/4
DC United
DC United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nikola Markovic n 820.4
4.45/2
00/0
—
Jared Stroud n 823
2.93/1
2.43/2
—
Conner Antley n 838
2.75/2
0.92/1
—
Jackson Hopkins n 852.9
2.17/3
1.13/2
—
Louis Munteanu n 875.9
1.56/3
1.36/3
—
DC United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baribo n 885.8
2.68/4
16/2
Louis Munteanu n 875.9
2.57/4
0.64/0
Hosei Kijima n 829.1
1.92/1
0.82/0
N. Ordaz n 845.9
1.75/2
0.52/0
Kimito Nono n 890
1.54/3
0.41/1
DC United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baribo n 885.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kimito Nono n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
Hosei Kijima n 829.1
00/0
0.41/0
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
DC United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conner Antley n 838
55/3
Silvan Hefti n 873.3
4.58/5
Jared Stroud n 823
3.95/3
Brandon Servania n 850.5
3.16/5
Hosei Kijima n 829.1
3.15/2
DC United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 890
3.87/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Toronto FC v DC United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Toronto FCLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
DC UnitedLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toronto FC 2 · 2 draws · DC United 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-07-25 DC United 2–1 Toronto FC
  • 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 DC United
  • 2025-02-23 DC United 2–2 Toronto FC
  • 2024-08-31 Toronto FC 1–3 DC United
  • 2024-06-01 DC United 2–2 Toronto FC
  • 2023-05-27 Toronto FC 2–1 DC United
League standing · 2026
Toronto FC#10 pos36 pts30 pl-9 GD
DC United#13 pos33 pts29 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Toronto FC scored1.53
DC United scored1.28
Toronto FC conceded1.83
DC United conceded1.76

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Toronto FC and DC United?
In their last 6 meetings, Toronto FC won 2, DC United won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toronto FC and DC United?
Recent form — Toronto FC 2W 1D 2L; DC United 1W 1D 3L.

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