Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders prediction

Major League Soccer · · BC Place

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders, Major League Soccer on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 507 of 780 times (65%), against an average rating of 67.9%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vancouver Whitecaps host Seattle Sounders in Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Seattle Sounders are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Vancouver Whitecaps’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Vancouver Whitecaps’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Vancouver Whitecaps have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.43. Vancouver Whitecaps have scored 67 goals, the second-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Vancouver Whitecaps have conceded 33 goals, the second-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Seven of Seattle Sounders’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Seattle Sounders’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Seattle Sounders have one win, four draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.33. Seattle Sounders have scored 41 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Seattle Sounders have conceded 40 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Vancouver Whitecaps (first) and Seattle Sounders (eighth) are 15 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vancouver Whitecaps the stronger side, 128 rating points above Seattle Sounders (Vancouver Whitecaps 1594, Seattle Sounders 1466, after at least 343 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 August 2026, finished Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Team news

Vancouver Whitecaps have eight names on the availability list: A. Cubas (out, Ankle Injury), B. Halbouni (out, Knee Injury), E. Sabbi (out, Leg Injury), K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (out, Foot Injury), R. Elloumi (out, Red Card), S. Adekugbe (out, Muscle Injury) and two more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Vancouver Whitecaps XI (4-2-3-1): Y. Takaoka, T. Johnson, É. Ocampo, M. Laborda, R. Priso, R. Gauld, O. Larraz, A. Cvetković, Y. Diaby, J. Badwal, B. White — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Sebastian Berhalter (5.4 per match over 18 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and Andrés Cubas (4.4 per match over 29 appearances, two assists) have been Vancouver Whitecaps’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vancouver Whitecaps (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Sebastian Berhalter averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 3153 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Andrés Cubas averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 2929 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Seattle Sounders have six names on the availability list: N. Petkovic (out, Knee Injury), P. Kingston (out, Yellow Cards), P. de La Vega (out, Calf Injury), Y. Gomez Andrade (out, Hamstring Injury), D. Musovski (doubtful, Head Injury) and P. Rothrock (doubtful, Hamstring Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Seattle Sounders XI (4-2-3-1): A. Thomas, J. Ragen, N. Tolo, A. Roldán, K. Kossa-Rienzi, C. Roldán, A. Rusnák, S. Gomez, H. Dotson, J. Morris, D. Joveljic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Roldán (3.9 per match over 29 appearances, five goals and four assists) and D. Joveljic (3.7 per match over nine appearances, five goals) have been Seattle Sounders’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Seattle Sounders (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Roldán averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 2509 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. D. Joveljic averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 2634 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · BC Place
  • Referee: Alexis Da Silva
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vancouver Whitecaps 2 · draws 1 · Seattle Sounders 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vancouver Whitecaps 2W 2D 1L · Seattle Sounders 1W 2D 2L

Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.38 / 7.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVancouver Whitecaps for / againstLineSeattle Sounders for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 8 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Alexis Da Silva.

Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps Goalkeeper

Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Yohei Takaoka35903149 min762.2 /90290.8 /9000 /90
Isaac Boehmer477308 min92.6 /9072 /9000 /90
Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Yohei Takaoka n 890
3.98/8
Isaac Boehmer n 883.5
2.76/3

Vancouver Whitecaps Defensive

Vancouver Whitecaps — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tate Johnson36853045 min581.7 /90331 /9060.2 /901484.4 /90331 /9060.2 /90
Mathías Laborda35852976 min551.7 /90371.1 /90130.4 /901444.4 /90401.2 /9060.2 /90
Tristan Blackmon34862928 min280.9 /90321 /90170.5 /90993 /90371.1 /9050.2 /90
Édier Ocampo34852874 min652 /90381.2 /90120.4 /901554.9 /90501.6 /90110.3 /90
R. Priso20641277 min181.3 /90201.4 /9090.6 /90372.6 /90161.1 /9020.1 /90
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tate Johnson n 885.8
0.85/1
1.87/5
—
Yohei Takaoka n 890
00/0
0.63/1
—
Mathías Laborda n 883.1
1.25/4
0.43/0
—
Brian White n 886.9
15/3
0.64/1
—
Tristan Blackmon n 888
0.95/2
0.64/1
—
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tate Johnson n 885.8
1.76/4
Mathías Laborda n 883.1
1.87/4
Brian White n 886.9
0.42/1
Tristan Blackmon n 888
0.63/2
Édier Ocampo n 884.4
1.36/3
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Vancouver Whitecaps Attacking

Vancouver Whitecaps — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Brian White35812841 min180.6 /9030.1 /90922.9 /90501.6 /90361.1 /9060.2 /90
Bruno Quiñonez2244957 min60.6 /9030.3 /90343.2 /90181.7 /90111 /90232.2 /90
Kenji Cabrera1346594 min10.2 /9020.3 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90111.7 /90101.5 /90
Rayan Elloumi1250601 min10.1 /9010.1 /90131.9 /9060.9 /9091.3 /9040.6 /90
Emmanuel Sabbi31551710 min40.2 /9040.2 /90412.2 /90221.2 /90291.5 /90331.7 /90
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tate Johnson n 885.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Yohei Takaoka n 890
00/0
00/0
Mathías Laborda n 883.1
0.95/2
0.11/0
Brian White n 886.9
2.57/6
14/2
Tristan Blackmon n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tate Johnson n 885.8
00/0
0.11/0
Yohei Takaoka n 890
00/0
00/0
Mathías Laborda n 883.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
Brian White n 886.9
0.43/0
00/0
Tristan Blackmon n 888
00/0
00/0
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Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders Goalkeeper

Seattle Sounders — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andrew Thomas32912901 min1133.5 /90351.1 /9010 /90
Stefan Frei791634 min436.1 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Seattle Sounders — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrew Thomas n 890
2.65/2
Stefan Frei n 890.5
5.68/6

Seattle Sounders Defensive

Seattle Sounders — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nouhou Tolo38853228 min531.5 /90491.4 /90130.4 /901413.9 /90300.8 /9040.1 /90
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi35702440 min652.4 /90371.4 /9030.1 /901164.3 /90180.7 /9020.1 /90
Jackson Ragen30872622 min381.3 /90220.8 /90240.8 /901073.7 /90150.5 /9070.2 /90
Alex Roldán30732200 min381.6 /90331.4 /90200.8 /90943.8 /90150.6 /9030.1 /90
S. Hawkins18681225 min241.8 /90141 /90100.7 /90453.3 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90
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Seattle Sounders — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nouhou Tolo n 879.6
0.75/0
1.17/1
—
Albert Rusnák n 885.9
0.73/2
0.43/0
—
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 859.6
1.35/1
0.84/0
—
Snyder Brunell n 846.9
1.25/0
1.44/1
—
Andrew Thomas n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Seattle Sounders — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 879.6
1.35/3
Albert Rusnák n 885.9
0.85/1
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 859.6
1.56/2
Snyder Brunell n 846.9
2.94/3
Jackson Ragen n 882.5
1.55/4
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Seattle Sounders Attacking

Seattle Sounders — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Daniel Musovski25501243 min50.4 /9000 /90251.8 /90151.1 /90120.9 /9050.4 /90
Jordan Morris24621478 min20.1 /9050.3 /90342.1 /90181.1 /90291.8 /90110.7 /90
Osaze De Rosario1852934 min10.1 /9000 /90151.4 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90121.2 /90
D. Joveljic987779 min50.6 /9000 /90252.9 /90151.7 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
P. de la Vega11717 min00 /9000 /9015.3 /9015.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Seattle Sounders — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 879.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Albert Rusnák n 885.9
1.27/2
0.75/0
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 859.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Snyder Brunell n 846.9
14/0
0.21/0
Andrew Thomas n 890
00/0
00/0
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Seattle Sounders — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Albert Rusnák n 885.9
0.11/0
0.31/1
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 859.6
00/0
00/0
Snyder Brunell n 846.9
00/0
00/0
Andrew Thomas n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vancouver WhitecapsDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Seattle SoundersWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 · 1 draw · Seattle Sounders 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-08-17 Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2026-03-19 Seattle Sounders 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2026-03-13 Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle Sounders
  • 2025-09-28 Seattle Sounders 2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2025-06-09 Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Seattle Sounders
  • 2024-10-03 Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle Sounders
League standing · 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps#1 pos58 pts32 pl+34 GD
Seattle Sounders#8 pos43 pts32 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Vancouver Whitecaps scored2.09
Seattle Sounders scored1.28
Vancouver Whitecaps conceded1.03
Seattle Sounders conceded1.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders?
In their last 6 meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, Seattle Sounders won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders?
Recent form — Vancouver Whitecaps 2W 2D 1L; Seattle Sounders 1W 2D 2L.

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