Harrogate Town v Tamworth result

Full-time · Harrogate Town 3–1 Tamworth

National League · · Exercise Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Harrogate Town 3–1 Tamworth — Harrogate Town won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Harrogate Town beat Tamworth 3–1 at Exercise Stadium in the National League on Saturday 12 September. Harrogate Town have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Tamworth have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Harrogate Town led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Tamworth: B. Milnes (6’); Harrogate Town: B. Hobson (16’, assisted by J. Hmami), W. McGowan (42’, assisted by L. Cass) and J. Hmami (63’, assisted by W. McGowan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with W. McGowan’s goal on 42 minutes.

What it changes

Harrogate Town move up from second to first (seven league matches played).

Tamworth stay 20th after this result (seven league matches played).

Harrogate Town have won their last three matches in all competitions. Tamworth are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Harrogate Town next host Bury on 20 October 2026.

Tamworth next travel to Gateshead on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Bury, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Tamworth: Gateshead v Tamworth, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Harrogate Town 3–1 Tamworth · National League
  • Venue: Exercise Stadium · Harrogate
  • Referee: Dean Watson
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L · Tamworth 1W 1D 3L

Harrogate Town 3–1 Tamworth (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Tamworth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harrogate TownWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
TamworthLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Harrogate Town#2 pos28 pts13 pl+12 GD
Tamworth#18 pos14 pts13 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Harrogate Town scored2.23
Tamworth scored1.62
Harrogate Town conceded1.31
Tamworth conceded2.31

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Tamworth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Tamworth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Tamworth?
Recent form — Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L; Tamworth 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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