Sutton Utd v Rochdale result

Full-time · Sutton Utd 1–2 Rochdale

National League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sutton Utd 1–2 Rochdale — Rochdale won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.1% of 622 landed (95% range 62.3–69.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale won 2–1 at Sutton Utd in the National League on Saturday 28 March. Rochdale have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sutton Utd: C. Bell (78’, assisted by J. Harris); Rochdale: Devante Rodney (89’, assisted by C. McBride) and Ian Henderson (90’, assisted by Devante Rodney). H. Muller (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ian Henderson’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Sutton Utd: Lewis Simper (58’), J. Taylor (71’) and H. Muller (90+4’); Rochdale: Ian Henderson (49’) and Ethan Ebanks-Landell (66’).

What it changes

Rochdale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Sutton Utd next travel to Harrogate Town on 24 October 2026.

Rochdale next host Accrington ST on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sutton Utd: Harrogate Town v Sutton Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v Accrington ST, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sutton Utd 1–2 Rochdale · National League
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sutton Utd 3 · draws 0 · Rochdale 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sutton Utd 2W 1D 2L · Rochdale 3W 1D 1L

Sutton Utd 1–2 Rochdale (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sutton Utd v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sutton UtdLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
RochdaleWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sutton Utd 3 · 0 draws · Rochdale 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-08-25 Rochdale 1–0 Sutton Utd
  • 2025-04-08 Sutton Utd 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2024-11-09 Rochdale 2–1 Sutton Utd
  • 2023-04-29 Rochdale 4–1 Sutton Utd
  • 2022-11-19 Sutton Utd 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2022-03-05 Sutton Utd 3–0 Rochdale
League standing · 2025/26
Sutton Utd#19 pos47 pts46 pl-20 GD
Rochdale#2 pos106 pts46 pl+47 GD
Goals per game
Sutton Utd scored1.28
Rochdale scored1.91
Sutton Utd conceded1.72
Rochdale conceded0.89

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sutton Utd v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sutton Utd v Rochdale was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sutton Utd and Rochdale?
In their last 6 meetings, Sutton Utd won 3, Rochdale won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sutton Utd and Rochdale?
Recent form — Sutton Utd 2W 1D 2L; Rochdale 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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