RochdaleAccrington ST

Rochdale v Accrington ST result

Full-time · Rochdale 0–5 Accrington ST

League Two · · Spotland Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 0–5 Accrington ST — Accrington ST won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.50 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST won 5–0 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Saturday 24 October. Rochdale are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Accrington ST led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Josh Woods (14’), Charlie Warren (38’, assisted by Tyler Walton), Tyler Walton (45+1’, assisted by David Tutonda; 51’) and Alex Henderson (66’, assisted by Charlie Warren).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Josh Woods’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rochdale 0.56, Accrington ST 3.36, from 5 shots to 26 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Rochdale: S. Beckwith (87’); Accrington ST: David Tutonda (23’), Donald Love (33’), Alex Henderson (50’) and Charlie Warren (58’).

What it changes

Rochdale move down from 12th to 17th (13 league matches played). Rochdale have scored 15 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 22 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Accrington ST move up from 11th to eighth (13 league matches played). Accrington ST have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Accrington ST have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Accrington ST’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 13, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tyler Walton (Accrington ST) 12.6, David Tutonda (Accrington ST) 8.8 and Charlie Warren (Accrington ST) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Accrington ST, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Rochdale next host York on 14 November 2026.

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rochdale 0–5 Accrington ST · League Two
  • Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
  • Referee: R. Watkins
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 5 · draws 0 · Accrington ST 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 2W 2D 1L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L

Rochdale 0–5 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 3
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRochdale for / againstLineAccrington ST for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: R. Watkins.

Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming1090900 min333.3 /9080.8 /9000 /90
Sam Waller390270 min82.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4
Sam Waller n 390
2.72/2

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kaiden Wilson13781014 min121.1 /9060.5 /9050.4 /90332.9 /90111 /9010.1 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling975677 min131.7 /9040.5 /9000 /90344.5 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90
C. Tasker887693 min101.3 /90131.7 /9030.4 /90293.8 /90111.4 /9000 /90
A. Flint790630 min20.3 /9020.3 /9091.3 /90344.9 /9010.1 /9000 /90
D. Moss685508 min61.1 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90244.3 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Brown n 883.1
1.87/4
1.25/3
J. Woods
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
0.64/1
0.32/0
Joseph Anderson
H. Gilmour n 881.5
1.55/3
1.76/4
—
B. Adeeko n 885.5
0.86/0
0.74/1
—
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 883.1
0.42/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
1.25/3
H. Gilmour n 881.5
2.57/7
B. Adeeko n 885.5
1.15/2
Kane Taylor n 876.3
3.17/6
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Brown13811049 min40.3 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /9070.6 /90110.9 /90
E. Dieseruvwe961551 min00 /9010.2 /90101.6 /9020.3 /9010.2 /9020.3 /90
H. Gilmour1282978 min00 /9000 /9010.1 /9000 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90
B. Adeeko1180881 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9010.1 /9040.4 /9040.4 /90
Kane Taylor977689 min00 /9010.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90111.4 /9040.5 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 883.1
2.38/5
1.17/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 881.5
00/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 885.5
0.74/1
00/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 883.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 881.5
00/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 885.5
00/0
0.11/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Moulden13901170 min352.7 /90141.1 /9000 /90
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
2.45/5

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joseph Anderson13901170 min282.2 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90675.2 /90161.2 /9050.4 /90
Devon Matthews12861033 min141.2 /90171.5 /9060.5 /90998.6 /90201.7 /9050.4 /90
S. Conneely872577 min91.4 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90467.2 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
F. Rawson690540 min30.5 /9061 /9040.7 /90366 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90
T. Moore472289 min20.6 /9061.9 /9010.3 /90165 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 890
15/2
0.96/1
Kaiden Wilson
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
J. Woods n 887.4
1.26/2
1.55/3
D. Brown
Devon Matthews n 888
1.87/5
16/2
—
D. Love n 881.9
15/2
1.44/1
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
28/5
J. Woods n 887.4
1.87/5
Devon Matthews n 888
1.37/3
D. Love n 881.9
1.66/4
C. O'Brien n 885.5
1.87/5
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Woods12881056 min60.5 /9010.1 /90302.6 /90110.9 /90171.4 /90110.9 /90
T. Walton1075749 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90101.2 /9091.1 /90
C. Caton866524 min50.9 /9000 /90234 /90122.1 /9020.3 /9040.7 /90
C. Warren751354 min20.5 /9000 /9092.3 /9041 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90
S. Whalley660360 min00 /9010.3 /9082 /9051.3 /9071.8 /9041 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 887.4
2.46/4
1.25/1
Devon Matthews n 888
0.96/1
0.11/0
D. Love n 881.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 887.4
0.64/1
0.11/0
Devon Matthews n 888
0.11/0
00/0
D. Love n 881.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RochdaleAccrington ST
58%Possession42%
0.56Expected goals (xG)3.36
5Shots26
1Shots on target10
4Shots off target10
0Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box15
3Corners3
2Offsides0
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves1
490Passes343
76%Pass accuracy72%

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sam Waller9000000004.9
Kaiden Wilson9000000005.7
H. Gilmour9000001206.2
E. Francis9000001006.2
A. Flint9000100106.6
D. Brown9000300006.2
G. Middleton8300001106.7
C. Tasker7000000205.2
C. Hayes7000000005.7
B. Adeeko5600000106.3
S. Sherring5600000005.3
L. Hannant sub3400110006.3
I. Henderson sub3400001206.6
S. Beckwith sub20000000Y6.7
J. Paterson sub2000001006.7
Z. Silcott-Duberry sub1100000206.6

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Moulden9000000006.9
D. Love90000001Y6.7
Devon Matthews9000100107.2
Joseph Anderson9000110107
C. O'Brien9000001206.6
Stefan Mols9000303207.2
D. Tutonda90011035Y7.3
T. Walton9021642009.3
C. Warren88113122Y7.7
Aidan Borland7300000207
J. Woods2010111007.6
Alex Henderson sub70103221Y8.2
C. Grant sub1700001106.9
C. Brown sub20011000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Accrington STDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rochdale 5 · 0 draws · Accrington ST 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2021-04-17 Rochdale 3–1 Accrington ST
  • 2020-10-10 Accrington ST 2–1 Rochdale
  • 2020-01-01 Accrington ST 1–2 Rochdale
  • 2019-10-12 Rochdale 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2019-04-09 Accrington ST 0–1 Rochdale
  • 2018-11-24 Rochdale 1–0 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.21
Accrington ST scored1.64
Rochdale conceded1.86
Accrington ST conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Accrington ST?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Accrington ST was Draw or Away (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Accrington ST?
In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 5, Accrington ST won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and Accrington ST?
Recent form — Rochdale 2W 2D 1L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.

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